I think Iran learnt their lesson now. Before the old leader was quite anti war right? Now they are dug in for the long haul probably preparing for a ground invasion also.
Iran hasn’t learned their lesson because they are de facto accepting an economic blockade of Iranian ports with no response on the aggressor or their supporters. Those ships cannot stay out there without Oman naval base and Diego Garcia and UAE providing fuel and supplies.
Would China accept a U.S. blockade?
Would Russia accept a U.S. blockade?
Would Pakistan accept a U.S. blockade?
Would North Korea accept a U.S. blockade?
Would Turkey accept a U.S. blockade?
We are back to this “strategic patience” of waiting out the blockade. A stupid idea and shows that the power centers of IR are out of ideas and taking the least confrontational way and opening that a breakthru comes from the skies.
Clearly the idea that $4 gasoline and $5.50 diesel will make Trump give up is not working. Trump is selfish enough to not care for himself or his party or any other human alive.
China has also once again show itself as a western appeaser as it cut oil imports starting in March thru the summer to help the West survive its war. What did China receive from doing this? It’s unclear. But China has 1 billion+ oil reserve that it can tap into to make up for the 10MBPD shortfall coming out of Hormuz. That’s what they did in June.
So in short, Iran’s attempt to wait the U.S. out is not the best strategy and a symptom of decision paralysis. This anti confrontational behavior has time and time again backfired on Iran.