Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

The sparing of UAE is the single biggest oddity of this war. It is absolutely senseless from a strategic perspective. There is at least some reasonable logic to limiting hitting certain countries, be it a range-related dilemma for Israel, political conflictions with KSA....but if i were Iranian, I would regard it as bordering on treasonous for my armed forces to leave this particular nation alone. It's so close and so easy to hit and nobody apart from the Arab world would give Tehran significant political backlash.

It makes me think there is some truth to the "pay off" conspiracy theory.
I think it is because Dubai used to be Iran's money laundering center. But the Emirates is already shutting down Iran's money laundering network. So, why would Iran still spare them? It makes no sense.

The only reasonable explanation is that the sons of the oligarchs in Iran love residing like parasites in Jumeirah. I cannot think of any other reason.



higher gas and diesel prices, and bond yields, are really hurting the Epstein axis, and there is a chance they will escalate

they didn't respond to Iran downing several drones and firing cluster munitions at Jordan, damaging 9 US jets. they are cooking something big.

no more in person meetings between the entire military / political leadership, all commanders in war time procedures immediately, set up ambushes and point defence systems ready to destroy drones surveilling around missile bases

@ShapurII

other Iranian accounts reported drone / jet violations and red alerts at missile bases earlier today, I didn't see it elsewhere so I didn't report it

I would take those reported drone activities with a grain of salt, but there's no doubt that the US would eventually unleash hell on Iran. But that will happen after November elections in my opinion.

If the US decides to make a move before the midterm elections, it could mean only one thing: they are confident that this time they would be able to finish their "regime change" plan. If not, why would the Republicans attack Iran and send oil prices even higher right before the elections over nothing? And most likely their regime change plan would be through a coup within the Iranian system, after large protests in Iran when the universities open or something. The US dollar is already approaching 250K IRT and people are angry even if they are silent.

Anyway, it doesn't matter. Iran has only a narrow window of opportunity to prepare for the next round. And Iran needs nuclear deterrence eventually. Otherwise, this cycle of war, siege, war will eventually break Iran.
 


EXCLUSIVE: Iran War Has the U.S. Military on the Brink of a “Breakdown”

As the U.S. military faces relentless attacks on its bases, the Iran conflict is “ultimately unsustainable,” one U.S. official told The Intercept.


If Iran drives out the US from the Middle East would be the impeccable time for Iran because once the US is out, no other superpowers can be prepared to replace the US role in the Middle East.

Iran will like control the oil lifeline, but perhaps to fight with Saudi Arabia for that monopoly.
 
GCC promised US 5 trillion in investments, I guess that and the petrodollar is at risk now hmm? Explains the issue with the treasury bonds and debt.

Reports and leaked claims suggest the Trump administration demanded up to $5 trillion from Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states in connection with the conflict in Iran, alongside broader multi-trillion-dollar investment pledges. [1, 2]

Alleged Iran Conflict Demands
    • The Claim: Leaks cited in media reports alleged that the U.S. administration pressured Gulf allies for massive financial payouts. [1, 2]
    • The Numbers: Reports claimed a demand of $5 trillion if Gulf states wanted a conflict with Iran to continue, or $2.5 trillion to make the U.S. stop the military campaign. [1, 2]
    • The Context: Gulf governments publicly opposed the conflict and faced economic and infrastructural fallout from retaliatory strikes, leading to regional strains. [1, 2]

Broader Investment Pledges
    • Global Commitments: Various U.S. allies previously made infrastructure and industry investment pledges totaling over $5 trillion to secure tariff relief or economic partnerships. [1]
    • GCC Share: GCC countries collectively accounted for a large portion of these long-term commitments. [1]
    • Reassessment: Economic pressure, shipping disruptions, and the cost of regional conflicts have led Gulf economies to review or consider scaling back these outward investment plans. [1, 2]
Their collective wealth fund pre-war was believed to be 5-6T. Why would they invest 83-100% of their entire fund in the US economy now?
 
If Iran drives out the US from the Middle East would be the impeccable time for Iran because once the US is out, no other superpowers can be prepared to replace the US role in the Middle East.

Iran will like control the oil lifeline, but perhaps to fight with Saudi Arabia for that monopoly.
Hate to break it to you but the US isn't leaving the Middle East anytime soon. I know that is your personal wish, but facts don't care about your feelings

I personally wish the US did leave the Middle East
 
I would take those reported drone activities with a grain of salt, but there's no doubt that the US would eventually unleash hell on Iran. But that will happen after November elections in my opinion.
Logically, I agree with you. But he is called Trump the Gambler for a reason...
 
The noose around keeps tightening and these idiots still sitting around thinking they can negotiate their way out of this existential war

 

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