Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

Yeah thats true i doubt the people want to live that type of lifestyle and don't know how much support IRGC can get if they do go underground and resort to assymetrical guerilla warfare.
There is a Chinese vlogger on the social media platform Douyin (distinct from the international version, TikTok). He is an ore trader who has long been active across Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Iran, maintaining close ties with local government officials, major landowners, and regional power brokers in all three countries. He posts vlogs almost daily. ------ During the height of the US/Israel-Iran conflict, he even visited Hormuz Island in person (with special permission from the Iranian military, of course).

Watching his vlogs can shift many of the perceptions one might have about these three nations.

For instance, many Pakistani officials actually maintain very close and friendly relations with the Afghan Taliban...

Anyway, I won't go into too much detail here; you can check out his vlogs for yourself.
 
In a documentary from one of Israel's television channels, an air force officer whose appearance was blurred said that our expectation from the twelve-day war for completing the nuclear targets was a maximum of 5 days, and we predicted that Iran would fire 1200-1500 ballistic missiles, but ultimately they fired 530 rounds.
And even in such case they forbid to take pictures of the places hit to the point to jail people or not allowing international press to enter in hit áreas.

So no problem to me.
 


3 tankers hit by Iran today, 8 in 5 days

early signs that Iran intends to escalate by hitting more tankers


Trump will likely launch an immediate attack on Iran if his party loses badly in the midterm election.

- He wants to become a war-time president. As to attack a country of the size of Iran, the length of war campaign will definitely outlast the end of his presidential term in Jan 2029, so he can avoid the impeachment even if the democrats control both house and senate.

- Even the democrats manage to win the congress, the republicans can still control the congress up to Jan 3rd of next year.

Now it is better for Iran to hoard more missiles and drones for the upcoming onslaught in the coming November.
 
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Missiles can do plenty of damage and if Iran went after the tankers/awacs on the ground and the air then it would have been a different story.However, when The will isn’t there to launch many missiles or escalate the war then it won’t happen. If Iran can fire 25 missiles at one Jordan airbase, it could have fired 50 at an Israeli one. No one forced Iran to stop the war just as Israeli air defense supply got depleted. Iran decided too.

The fact Israel could fly every day to Iran with drones and fighter jets means that Iran grossly underestimated their opponent and the strike packages required to hinder that.

But Iran could have 10,000 missile in inventory and it wouldn’t matter. If you have birds in the sky 24/7 waiting to hit your teams then your fire rate goes down. When you don’t build long range missiles in the east and north east to take off pressure from the west then your fire rate and flexibility goes down.

A launcher maybe easily replaceable but the teams that set up the missiles and prepare the targeting modules are not. Iran grossly underinvested in air defense for last 20 years and all those OTH radars proved useless.



Good post and at the time(early April) I did not understand why Iran stopped the war when Zio-US were out of interceptors.

US threats to destroy Iranian civilian infrastructure were hollow as Iran then had the ability to destroy critical infrastructure in Zionist Palestine.

I think Iran has moved hundreds of MRBMs/IRBMs to more secure central and eastern missile bases and it does have capability but simply lacks will to fight the war it needs to fight.
 
we tried that twice in perfect scenarios (all the time in the world to set up launchers etc with empty skies). Operations True Promise I and II. both were epic failures.



Critical difference as they were single waves and so could not deplete Zio-US interceptors enough.

Also in TP1 Iran did not use any of its most advanced missiles.
 
Oh! So, Iran is not a dictatorship?

It’s a pluralistic society like we always said!

We know the west prefers dictatorships in Muslim lands because they are easy to deal with.

They want the western puppets, and those puppet governments are guaranteed to be 100% dictator to their own people.
 
Trump will likely launch an immediate attack on Iran if his party loses badly in the midterm election.

- He wants to become a war-time president. As to attack a country of the size of Iran, the length of war campaign will definitely outlast the end of his presidential term in Jan 2029, so he can avoid the impeachment even if the democrats control both house and senate.

- Even the democrats manage to win the congress, the republicans can still control the congress up to Jan 3rd of next year.

Now it is better for Iran to hoard more missiles and drones for the upcoming onslaught in the coming November.

Trump will go hard during the recess but he will have no choice but to stop once dems take control of congress.

Both ICE and Iran war funding will be cutoff. I am the only one in this forum making this prediction. So, we’ll see!

Dems will neuter Trump first by removing ICE funding then they will go after Iran war funding.

Those who think this war will drag into 2030 are delusional and have no idea about social security crisis that will engulf USA.

Next election will be about making social security solvent.

And there will be a long line of anti war candidates.
 
Trump will go hard during the recess but he will have no choice but to stop once dems take control of congress.

Both ICE and Iran war funding will be cutoff. I am the only one in this forum making this prediction. So, we’ll see!

Dems will neuter Trump first by removing ICE funding then they will go after Iran war funding.

Those who think this war will drag into 2030 are delusional and have no idea about social security crisis that will engulf USA.

Next election will be about making social security solvent.

And there will be a long line of anti war candidates.

He has to make sure the incoming war against Iran becoming unstoppable.

And never overestimate the democrats, they are just equally corrupt but speaking with a silver tongue.

He just wants to avoid the impeachment, and doesn't care if the Iran war turns into the Ukraine war 2.0 and becoming detrimental to the US national interest.

And the democrats also wouldn't stop the war if the US has becoming too embedded into the Iran war as everything is at stake.
 
Good post and at the time(early April) I did not understand why Iran stopped the war when Zio-US were out of interceptors.

US threats to destroy Iranian civilian infrastructure were hollow as Iran then had the ability to destroy critical infrastructure in Zionist Palestine.

I think Iran has moved hundreds of MRBMs/IRBMs to more secure central and eastern missile bases and it does have capability but simply lacks will to fight the war it needs to fight.

I said from the beginning the strategy is to time Trump out with minimal damage.

This is still the best strategy.

However, IRGC will go scorch earth if Trump escalates after the mid terms.

Trump will not sign the deal because that will humiliate him. He will go big one more time then blame the democrats for the humiliation.

But only his rabid MAGA dogs will believe him.

Rest will want to move on like they did after Vietnam humiliation. Speilberg will make movies where Trump “wins” on points.
 
I said from the beginning the strategy is to time Trump out with minimal damage.

This is still the best strategy.

However, IRGC will go scorch earth if Trump escalates after the mid terms.

Trump will not sign the deal because that will humiliate him. He will go big one more time then blame the democrats for the humiliation.

But only his rabid MAGA dogs will believe him.

Rest will want to move on like they did after Vietnam humiliation. Speilberg will make movies where Trump “wins” on points.

He might order the US aircraft carriers getting very close to Iran's coast in order to strike Iran into depth.

Then if one carrier got sunk by Iran's ASBM, then the war would very likely become unstoppable, and probably the scenario he wants to prolong the war after the 2028 election.
 
He has to make sure the incoming war against Iran becoming unstoppable.

And never overestimate the democrats, they are just equally corrupt but speaking with a silver tongue.

He just wants to avoid the impeachment, and doesn't care if the Iran war turns into the Ukraine war 2.0 and becoming detrimental to the US national interest.

And the democrats also wouldn't stop the war if the US has becoming too embedded into the Iran war as everything is at stake.

Bro! We’ll see! We don’t have to wait long.
 

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