r3alist
Elite Member
Bro, it's kind of bothYou guys, on the other side, cannot hold a diametrically contradictory assertion simultaneously.
You say, “SoH blockade is ineffective because your data shows oil flow is back to pre war levels”.
Then say, “can Iran enforce the blockade indefinitely without pushback from third countries?”
Which one is it, bro?
When you make your mind up - I will reply to you.
Oil can simultaneously flow yet Iran can maintain a disruptor capability, it's not a zero or everything binary
So to my mind, and it's fair to question strategy, what's the decisive win from blocking the waterways, and is the target even Israel anymore? They have regrouped
these feel like cards to save Iran the nation state
I think the mix of missiles, waterway disruption, proxies and nuclear ambiguity that made them powerful are eroding to some extent, the world is still running though at more cost still running, Israel is even more ambitious and tolling cannot be enforced for years in my opinion





