Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

BREAKING:

Iraqi prime minister Ali al-Zaidi has told members of Iraq's ruling coalition that he has seen leaked war planes presented to President Trump, including a scenario in which American forces would enter southern Iran through Iraqi territory to launch a ground invasion – Al-Mada reports.

Al-Zaidi also outlined another possible scenario in which Iranian forces would invade Kuwait through Iraqi territory.

Al-Zaidi also warned Iraqi Shia militias not to get involved in the war on Iran's side. He told them if their groups take part in the fighting, the Iraqi government could move to arrest large number of their leaders.


 
And ultimately a big beneficiary of that will be Iran (assuming Iran hasn’t completely fallen to pro Western indoctrinated individuals like Deng).

For now Xi has kept Iran as a thorn in the West side, but his lucrative trade with the West/Europe and close relations with Arab countries like Saudi Arabia meant he was never going to seriously engage with Iran militarily (major weapon deals or ToT) or even economically and run the risk of making everyone else mad.

Even during the current war, Xi slashed oil imports by up to 5MBPD and kept the western world alive. I doubt a staunch Maoist would pass up an opportunity to weaken the west like Xi did.

In the end we will see how it all plays out. But I don’t think Xi will remain premier for too long and the next election might be his last.

Already there is a notable air in the party as individuals decide what they want the long term trajectory of China to look like. Xi will be in his late 70’s when his next term is completed. I think their will be pressure by then for him to step aside and let a Maoist take control.

Who would you say has the best chances to succeed Xi?

China's hardcore pro-west factions (equivalent to the Pahlavi faction) become almost non-existent in China.

The Dengist establishment (equivalent to the Iranian reformists) has suffered a deadly blow since 2022 when Xi pulled out the political stunt like this.



Xi is not 100% hardliner to the US, but at least he does realize the pro-US Dengist establishment is compromising China's national security, hence a major internal crackdown against the Dengists.

The rising Maoists (equivalent to the Iranian hardliners within the IRGC) is becoming the mainstream consensus of the young population and a sizeable portion of the older generation.

Right now, Xi's future successor might not be evident, but it could be someone 20-30 years younger than him.

The Maoists just behave like the IRGC, hardliner outside but ruthless pragmatist inside, when they were weak, they would only fight for survival and sometime being compromised for a cease fire, but when they become strong enough, they will deliver a deadly blow to its rival.
 
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US imposed a naval blockade on Iran --> we failed to respond or break the blockade

US imposes a land blockade on Iran --> we fail to respond

US bombs Iranian territory on a daily basis --> we fail to respond

if IRI does not want to fight, it's better to just surrender and end this bullshit show.




 
It is a mistake to think that only one person makes all the decisions in China. China is a complex country with many think tanks and experts who analyze everything e.g. body language of other countries' representatives. Their big decisions are not emotional or rushed; they are planned carefully behind closed doors by many different people. They don't make decisions all of a sudden.

Unlike what some Western media says, China does not work like a simple dictatorship. Instead, decisions are made through a group of representatives. For example, some people think China’s relationship with the West or its support for people like Elon Musk is a mistake. But from the view of Chinese leaders, these are smart moves to protect their national interests in the short and medium term. If it were up to me, i would tell the Chinese leaders: Hey don't allow Musk to use you and your labor forces. But from their point of view, it might be a way for importing new technologies at expense of their workforce.

The conflict between Trump and Elon Musk might look like a childish squabble, but allowing Musk to do business in China was likely a strategic choice by Chinese experts. Even when China gives concessions in trade wars, it is still part of their big plan. As an Iranian citizen, I respect the decisions of Chinese leaders, even though I sometimes disagree with them.
 

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