To understand the future impact of the conflict between Iran and Israel, it is necessary to analyze the information received, which relates to the following:
The United States spent THAAD munitions in Israel at a cost of $2 billion, and the total number of Israeli air defense missiles fired reached 800, i.e. 1.5 times the number of Iranian missiles launched.
Israel stored Israeli fighter jets at Greek air bases to ensure their survival from Iranian strikes.
There are rumors that Israeli fighter jets may also be launching from American bases in Iraq, although this is not entirely confirmed. However, the next round may occur, as the Iraqi government has no real authority over its territory.
Although Trump wants to deliver B-2 bombers to Israel for use in striking Iran, there are disasters related to this bomber, not only the cost, but also its combat readiness rate in the United States, which was 50%. America lost 50% of its stockpile of GBU-57 bombs, making it more of a media deterrent.
Iranian proxies Most of them were destroyed in Lebanon, Iraq, and Syria, of course, which caused Iran to lose these arms, on which it spent tens of billions of dollars.
This contradicts what the United States and Israel are promoting, that Israel is a power that will dominate the Middle East. However, if Israel sustains similar strikes while neutralizing Israeli air defenses, its losses will be much greater after testing the capabilities of Iranian missiles, which can be doubled in a short time, unlike the process of building up Iranian air defense systems and the Air Force.
Perhaps it would be more effective for the Iranians to convert their old fighters to UCAVs. First, the possibility of converting them more quickly and without losing pilots would also be a significant factor, whether that be exhausting Israeli air defenses or leaving them as easy targets for Israeli aircraft.
Iran must provide an Iranian layer of missile power by providing missile launches from naval platforms. The results of the strikes should be analyzed to determine what Iran needs to maximize the destructive capabilities of its weapons against Israel and what can be implemented to inflict heavy losses on Israel.
It is believed that Iran will double the number of platforms. It is trying to obtain ballistic missiles from non-Iranian sources, in addition to accelerating domestic production.
Iran needs to provide better drones capable of penetrating Israeli airspace and bypassing Western aircraft in Iraq, Jordan, and Syria.
Iran must work to neutralize the Gulf states from supporting Israel. Saudi Arabia has used AWACS aircraft to provide radar detection of Iranian missiles and drones launched from Iran, which cross Iraqi and Jordanian airspace, providing information to Israel. Therefore, Saudi Arabia is considered a key partner of Israel, and what is being said about Saudi Arabia applies to Qatar and the UAE.
Therefore, carefully analyzing all the results of this short period and working to maximize Iran's available capabilities will not lead to Iran winning, which is difficult, but at the very least, any victory for Israel and the Gulf will be costly and taste like defeat.
