Adam Barfy
Registered Member
IRIAF planes have not yet returned to Iran after a month.
No point yet. Sitting ducks at Mehrabad.
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IRIAF planes have not yet returned to Iran after a month.
Is there anything more about this?Mr. Iran Eye's F-4"SM", AI controlled Kowsars and F-7 Erfanis played a huge role in the war.
Is there anything more about this?
Yep, major problem, too many insiders with their hands in the cookie jar.....too many Friday prayer loyalist in important positions. But, with that said, the missile program is 1000x better than the nuke program.Yes, hired or delusional supporters of Islamic republic and Supreme leader Khamenei get their panties in a tight twist when you point out to the fact that leadership of Iran deliberately destroyed IRIAF with budget cuts in favour of IRGC's missile forces.
Their usual defence strategy is claiming BS like IRIAF is secretly manufacturing F-4 this, F-14 that, AI controlled local F-5s etc. Few regularly post here.
GreetingsYes, hired or delusional supporters of Islamic republic and Supreme leader Khamenei get their panties in a tight twist when you point out to the fact that leadership of Iran deliberately destroyed IRIAF with budget cuts in favour of IRGC's missile forces.
Their usual defence strategy is claiming BS like IRIAF is secretly manufacturing F-4 this, F-14 that, AI controlled local F-5s etc. Few regularly post here.
I would say it is criminal of Iran to have its air force deteriorate like this. Recent conflict with Israel shows that while Iran has good missile force, one capable putting a hole in the enemy, it was completely defenseless against the IDAF and took a lot of damage, some of it unnecessarily. Worse even, Iran's coveted nuclear facilities were literally unprotected.Yes, hired or delusional supporters of Islamic republic and Supreme leader Khamenei get their panties in a tight twist when you point out to the fact that leadership of Iran deliberately destroyed IRIAF with budget cuts in favour of IRGC's missile forces.
Their usual defence strategy is claiming BS like IRIAF is secretly manufacturing F-4 this, F-14 that, AI controlled local F-5s etc. Few regularly post here.
Yep, major problem, too many insiders with their hands in the cookie jar.....too many Friday prayer loyalist in important positions.
But, with that said, the missile program is 1000x better than the nuke program.
I would say it is criminal of Iran to have its air force deteriorate like this. Recent conflict with Israel shows that while Iran has good missile force, one capable putting a hole in the enemy, it was completely defenseless against the IDAF and took a lot of damage, some of it unnecessarily. Worse even, Iran's coveted nuclear facilities were literally unprotected.
No matter what Iran does with its F-4 and F-5, they'll remain inferior to air power and air defence capabilities of the other regional countries. The reverse engineering of these jets is a frivolous exercise. The IRIAF is now at the stage where it exists nominally as an organization, without force, and any attempts to modernize it would tantamount to rebuilding it from the scratch. But sooner it is done, the better it is.
I have no affinity for the Iranian regime - although I have developed a particular disliking to Shah's son - but it would be a shame to have outsiders determine Iran's [governmental] future. The regime needs to accept the fact that defenseless Iran means defenseless regime.
It's not difficult at all for IAF to launch ALBM at southern Iran without involving (P)GCC or Using US airbases at all. All they need is to take the route of using Jordanian airspace to enter the southern Iraqi desert. Without even refueling they can max reach west or southwest of Najaf on external fuel from where they can launch ALBM at lofted apogee to gain range for a target in Khuzestan. OTH and long-ranged PESA or HF/VHF/UHF can pick up refueling "event" because RCS suddenly is comprised of a giant tanker with jets all gathered up in the same spot creating one large body.
The dilemma here for Iran is that even if IADS sees it what are they going to do about it? Fighter jets on QRA duty can not be scrambled to reach this zone quickly and even if they do, they will need wet thrusts in excess of 60K lbs and something like Meteor BVR to tackle this ALBM launching attack group this renders even fighters like R-37 armed SU-35S almost useless. The best bet will be if IADS layered assets can be positioned in the vulnerable zones. Iranian HIMADS/SHORADS batteries with AESA track radars positioned around Najaf or Baghdad can track F-15 (huge RCS when carrying ALBM) from 400-450 KM away as soon as they enter from Jordan. Terrain masking in the desert is difficult and reduces range. To launch ALBM they will have to break the terrain mask anyway.
View attachment 71362
Iran needs to arm Iraq in longer terms for its own sake. A mistake they made in Syria.
F-35I does not carry ALBMs and if it does carry them then its stealth factor is gone because of wearing them on pylons. ALBMs are huge RCS enhancers and also to launch them fighters have to break terrain masking, and reach a certain speed and altitude with "Elevated Angular Pitch" of nose which again enhances RCS. What you are suggesting, is that a group of ~10 F-35Is some of which are wearing ALBM and external drop tanks gather up for Buddy refueling, this will create huge blip on Search radars even from within Iran. Israelis know this so refueling does not seem like a good choice here. Without Stealth F-35 is below F-15 in MTOW and other physical characteristics.
Best choice remains Rampage or Sparrow from F-16/F-15, specially F-15 which can cover back and forth distance of ~1800 KM from Israeli FABs to South west of Najaf for ALBM launch. It will be seen yes and probably even tracked for some time but at such distance it can easily outrun any missile fired towards it from hundreds of KM away.
Iran practically has no defense against this route even with hypothetical SU-35S or current F-14AM on QRA from Kermanshah FABS or if we position S-300PMU2 or Bavar-373 HIMADS at the edge of Iran with Iraq, hence the dilemma.
In the future, IADS can be extended into Iraq or Iraqi AF can be cued in time if Iranian OTH's or long ranged PESAs pick activity over southern Iraqi desert.
OTH Search can get a blip easily if an RCS increasing event happens like Refuellings. Long-ranged PESA or V/UHF can also do the job because planes have to break terrain masking at some point to get the "launch" altitude/speed/coordinates.
The problem again is the same, even if Iranian IADS sees all of this happening 450 KM away from their borders around South west of Najaf what are they going to do about it? No F-14AM, MIG-29 or hypothetical SU-35S can reach that zone from Kermanshah QRA FAB to engage the enemy party, even if they go full afterburner. They will need to be around Najaf to get a track lock and fire thwarting Salvos of BVR at 150+ KM away to make a difference. Implausible scenario. Similarly even if place a Mehran, Bavar-373, or SU-300PMU2 at the edge of the border and somehow NAJM-804 AESA gets a lucky tracking lock on an ALBM carrying huge RCS F-15 some 350 KM away and the battery fires a few missiles, the Israeli pilots will comfortably lob the ALBMs and safely run back to Jordanian airspace.
Iran is pinned in this scenario completely. IRGC made this mistake in Syria as well where they just did not gradually increase a robust network of Radars, grids, and SHORADS/HIMADS starting from eastern Syria to West. The gradual establishment of IADS would have made sure that blind spots are gone with time, and layer after layer starts building up. Instead, they relied upon the legacy localized defense network of SyAAF where singular batteries are all doing their own thing. They need to do this in Iraq, put AESA tracking radars and HIMAD/SHORAD networks in southern corridors around Najaf, connect them with search OTH/PESA/HFs in Iran. Batteries get cues, track the enemy to engage them and provide same information to Iraqi Air Force.
The problem it is IRI has NO money for funding everything, from allies (even if their performances remains questionable) to IRIAF, IRIN and missile forces.I would say it is criminal of Iran to have its air force deteriorate like this. Recent conflict with Israel shows that while Iran has good missile force, one capable putting a hole in the enemy, it was completely defenseless against the IDAF and took a lot of damage, some of it unnecessarily. Worse even, Iran's coveted nuclear facilities were literally unprotected.
No matter what Iran does with its F-4 and F-5, they'll remain inferior to air power and air defence capabilities of the other regional countries. The reverse engineering of these jets is a frivolous exercise. The IRIAF is now at the stage where it exists nominally as an organization, without force, and any attempts to modernize it would tantamount to rebuilding it from the scratch. But sooner it is done, the better it is.
I have no affinity for the Iranian regime - although I have developed a particular disliking to Shah's son - but it would be a shame to have outsiders determine Iran's [governmental] future. The regime needs to accept the fact that defenseless Iran means defenseless regime.
Any purchase would take a couple of years to fulfill (at least) and pilots need to be trained, mechanics need to be trained. Infrastructure needs to be put in place to handle the new planes.
There is no quick light switch fix for Iranian Air Force problem even if they did manage to find someone who would sell them any plane worth buying.
Greetings
This is a subject that comes up periodically, like a recurring nightmare.
Well, assuming a buy of 40 J-10CE's and (?) YAK-130M's by Iran to support the J-10's wherever they can, it will still take years to turn the IRIAF into a smoothly pliable instrument. This has already been mentioned herein.
This does not only apply to the AF, but also to Iran's IADS. Fixed radar installations ... (again)???
I had often wondered how the Ukrainians' and the Israeli's are so successful in protecting their own long-range radar.
There's possibly an answer to this in there somewhere.
Piet
The problem it is IRI has NO money for funding everything, from allies (even if their performances remains questionable) to IRIAF, IRIN and missile forces.
At that point you must bet at the better solution and given the total isolation of IRI authorities bet for missile forces. And they were correct.
But I agree with you. IRIAF had some of the best aircraft and they sacrificed sacrificed heroically during the Irak-Iran war. They deserve being the next Artesh brand to be refurbished. The question it is if IRI would eventually increase the trade and economic development for such ambitious goal. At short term I am exceptical but at long term betting for asían trade will work. Donald Trump is sterelizing free trade to be mild.
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