Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

Qatar Jordan Iraq UAE and now Saudi all said this

Jordan, and UAE are allowing USA aerial refuellers to operate from their land will be part of the attack force "logistically", so they are playing with words in reality, ie no to fighter jets but "yes" to aerial refuellers, drones, EW for intelligence gathering and logistical support.
 
Jordan, and UAE are allowing USA aerial refuellers to operate from their land will be part of the attack force "logistically", so they are playing with words in reality, ie no to fighter jets but "yes" to aerial refuellers, drones, EW for intelligence gathering and logistical support.
Will see what happens when Iran hits American bases there because of the result of them helping even if it’s only in “support” but I feel like those 10s of thousands of troops in Qatar will be put up in 5 star hotels in both countries those who aren’t considered essential in the fight for the time being
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
To view this content we will need your consent to set third party cookies.
For more detailed information, see our cookies page.
 
I have been on this forum for well over a decade, starting from 2011 onwards and have seen this argument regurgitated over and over. Honestly this argument is getting boring and repetitive. Being part of a larger defence ecosystem revolves mainly around standardization and commonality rather then dependence. We are neither dependent on "Western advisors" or "Technological acces", as we have been shadow sanctioned for decades already. Does it speed up progress? Absolutely since we could test the viability of the Kaan platform for example before our domestic engines were ready. But there is no single part of the fighter jet that we critically need from US/Western component that we can't make ourselves.

We are part of the global trade and international insitutions, like most countries on earth. Every country in the world is so interconnected that any conflict can cause shockwaves in parts of the world that are completely politically disconnected from said conflict. So technically yea if the US or western countries completely pulled out it would cause big problems, but unlike Iran we partake in the international order rather then become a pariah rogue state. Your situation is extremely abnormal, and done so by your own hands. We are still the country who refused US/Israel jets through our airspace to strike Iran, and we are the country who actively lobbied against any strike on Iran, nor do we accept any destabilization effort of Iran but yet still somehow we are firmly in "US orbit" somehow. Make it make sense.

When all is said and done, you will find any reason to somehow justify your views on Turkey. The idea that you are somehow being objective has kind of lost is credibility a long time ago. At the end your many ballistic missiles were not enough to stop Israel and US to penetrate Iranian airspace at their will. For the longest time many Iranian touted their ballistic missiles as a wunderwaffe, well where did that sentiment go i wonder.
Here we go again. We have a Turkish neighbor who has strayed off the pasture and has come smack in the middle of Iranian affairs.I will answer your post. This answer is fact-based, and I will keep it short.
Turkey does not possess hardened “missile cities,” nor does it field thousands of long-range ballistic or hypersonic missiles. Just ask the Israelis how their US-built Arrow systems performed. They are still hiding the damage seven months after they asked for a ceasefire. Turkey lacks the industrial depth required to design, manufacture, and deploy such systems at scale, and it has not demonstrated the ability to mass-produce or field them operationally. A handful of prototypes does not equate to mature, battle-tested weapons systems or sustained industrial output.

Turkey is also not a nuclear threshold state. It does not have an indigenous nuclear weapons program, nor does it possess a legacy weapons design effort dating back decades, such as Iran’s early-2000s Emad project. Assertions of strategic independence are inconsistent with reality.

Despite claims to the contrary, Turkey remains heavily dependent on Western technology, financing, and institutional support. Its defense sector relies substantially on foreign inputs, licensing, and supply chains. Even the Bayraktar UAV is an assembled platform whose critical components are sourced from Western suppliers. Their performance in the Russia–Ukraine conflict showed its limitations.

By contrast, Iran has demonstrated a different trajectory. Russia has purchased large quantities (Thousands) of Iranian-designed Shahed drones and established licensed production facilities in Russia. The design has since been replicated by multiple major powers, including the United States. Iran also achieved indigenous satellite launches nearly two decades ago, using domestically developed space-launch vehicles—something Turkey has not done.

Iran operates under the most extensive sanctions regime in the world and is the most sanctioned country in history. Its scientists have been targeted for assassination, its students restricted from studying sensitive fields abroad, and its access to global capital markets are non-existnet. Why? because Iran has developed strategic capabilities outside the Western ecosystem.

Iran’s external debt stands at roughly 1% of GDP—approximately $5 billion—while Turkey’s total external debt approaches $600 billion. This disparity shows the degree of exposure to external financial leverage and geopolitical dependency (World Jewry).

I will leave it there. Others in this forum have extensive knowledge and can expand further on the technical distinctions. In sum, Turkey is another vassal state and nothing more.
 
Last edited:
I have been on this forum for well over a decade, starting from 2011 onwards and have seen this argument regurgitated over and over. Honestly this argument is getting boring and repetitive. Being part of a larger defence ecosystem revolves mainly around standardization and commonality rather then dependence. We are neither dependent on "Western advisors" or "Technological acces", as we have been shadow sanctioned for decades already. Does it speed up progress? Absolutely since we could test the viability of the Kaan platform for example before our domestic engines were ready. But there is no single part of the fighter jet that we critically need from US/Western component that we can't make ourselves.

We are part of the global trade and international insitutions, like most countries on earth. Every country in the world is so interconnected that any conflict can cause shockwaves in parts of the world that are completely politically disconnected from said conflict. So technically yea if the US or western countries completely pulled out it would cause big problems, but unlike Iran we partake in the international order rather then become a pariah rogue state. Your situation is extremely abnormal, and done so by your own hands. We are still the country who refused US/Israel jets through our airspace to strike Iran, and we are the country who actively lobbied against any strike on Iran, nor do we accept any destabilization effort of Iran but yet still somehow we are firmly in "US orbit" somehow. Make it make sense.

When all is said and done, you will find any reason to somehow justify your views on Turkey. The idea that you are somehow being objective has kind of lost is credibility a long time ago. At the end your many ballistic missiles were not enough to stop Israel and US to penetrate Iranian airspace at their will. For the longest time many Iranian touted their ballistic missiles as a wunderwaffe, well where did that sentiment go i wonder.
more than one thing can be true

Turkey is firmly in the US orbit and part of the US-led security alliance

but Turkey is also firmly against aggression in Iran, and has help Iran economically in the past (to circumvent sanctions), and has no interest in its neighbour devolving into chaos

the most useful thing Turkey can do is set up air defences in Syria, but this doesn't seem imminent
 
Likely route of attack by US will be from Arabian Sea and overflights from Syria>Iraq. I think the Arabia Sea routes are more risky due to Iranian navy and subs.
 
the most useful thing Turkey can do is set up air defences in Syria, but this doesn't seem imminent

That would be the most useless thing. Turkey doesn’t do it because it would get destroyed (at worst) or it would be a fancy pile of metal doing nothing (like the Russian controlled S-300 did in Syria).

Hell will freeze over before Turkey fires on an Israeli jet.
 
"The United States is highly likely to carry out long-term attacks and blockades against Iranian oil tankers, similar to its approach with Venezuela."
 
Here we go again. We have a Turkish neighbor who has strayed off the pasture and has come smack in the middle of Iranian affairs.I will answer your post. This answer is fact-based, and I will keep it short.
Turkey does not possess hardened “missile cities,” nor does it field thousands of long-range ballistic or hypersonic missiles. Just ask the Israelis how their US-built Arrow systems performed. They are still hiding the damage seven months after they asked for a ceasefire. Turkey lacks the industrial depth required to design, manufacture, and deploy such systems at scale, and it has not demonstrated the ability to mass-produce or field them operationally. A handful of prototypes does not equate to mature, battle-tested weapons systems or sustained industrial output.

Turkey is also not a nuclear threshold state. It does not have an indigenous nuclear weapons program, nor does it possess a legacy weapons design effort dating back decades, such as Iran’s early-2000s Emad project. Assertions of strategic independence are inconsistent with reality.

Despite claims to the contrary, Turkey remains heavily dependent on Western technology, financing, and institutional support. Its defense sector relies substantially on foreign inputs, licensing, and supply chains. Even the Bayraktar UAV is an assembled platform whose critical components are sourced from Western suppliers. Their performance in the Russia–Ukraine conflict showed its limitations.

By contrast, Iran has demonstrated a different trajectory. Russia has purchased large quantities (Thousands) of Iranian-designed Shahed drones and established licensed production facilities in Russia. The design has since been replicated by multiple major powers, including the United States. Iran also achieved indigenous satellite launches nearly two decades ago, using domestically developed space-launch vehicles—something Turkey has not done.

Iran operates under the most extensive sanctions regime in the world and is the most sanctioned country in history. Its scientists have been targeted for assassination, its students restricted from studying sensitive fields abroad, and its access to global capital markets are non-existnet. Why? because Iran has developed strategic capabilities outside the Western ecosystem.

Iran’s external debt stands at roughly 1% of GDP—approximately $5 billion—while Turkey’s total external debt approaches $600 billion. This disparity shows the degree of exposure to external financial leverage and geopolitical dependency (World Jewry).

I will leave it there. Others in this forum have extensive knowledge and can expand further on the technical distinctions. In sum, Turkey is another vassal state and nothing more.

I have been in the middle of Iranian affairs before you were born. Trying to little-boy me ain't all that when I have 15 years of dealing with Iranians as basically a work experience on my resume within this forum alone. You are neither the first to be repetitive nor will you be the last. I don't know how you looked typing that nonsense, but I know you were breathing heavy doing it lol.

I don't quite understand what the whole point of a "missile cities" would do when you don't have the proper infrastructure or equipment to meet even the most basic requirements of your armed forces. Having thousands of missiles, as you put it, will never replace the shortcomings of other areas, nor would it be particularly economically viable. Ballistic missiles are not exactly accurate or would ever replace the roles meant to be filled by a properly equipped and staffed air force. If all you have going is ballistic missiles, then you have basically already forfeited any chance of defending your sovereignty. At no point did I even compare Iranian and Turkish missile capabilities, and to say Turkey has no industrial capacity to mass produce them is just a joke, surely. We literally reached over 10 billion dollars in revenue exports.

What's the point of being a nuclear threshold country when you are sanctioned into oblivion, to the point that your government can't provide even basic needs such as water for its people? What's even the point of having legacy design when they are just that, legacy systems already far out of date and technologically inferior? You focus on ballistic missiles purely because you have absolutely nothing else going for you; that much is obvious.

All managed to convey across was that you are woefully ignorant regarding the Turkish defence industry. Explain exactly in which supposed area we are dependent on Western technology. We quite literally actively started exporting to western countries instead lmao. You have made general, overarching, vague claims without going into details, because you know once you look through a microscope, it all falls apart. The Bayraktar is a microcosm of your ignorance, for there has not been a SINGLE Western component on that drone for MANY years. I dare you to name one single component. All the while Iranian drones were completely made out of external, including Western, components.

I have been here long enough to see pictures released by the Iranian regime clearly showing commerically western available GPS/INS components installed on drones. Aaww whats the matter? I though Iran had "decades of experience thanks to legacy design", yet you could not even make a simple GPS/INS system? Guess who found your president when his heli was down, was it Iranian drones? Nope it was a Turkish made drone with Turkish made FLIR.

Basic kamikaze drones have been around for many decades; you neither created nor revolutionized them by any stretch. Their prominence literally came after the Karabakh war, with Israeli Harpy's and Harops being used effectively within that conflict. So I literally don't understand what's there to boast about when all you are is a sweatshop for Russia to make cheap and basic drones. Your trajectory was also buying all the crap from Russia because you lacked the necessary technology, production capacity, know-how, and resources to make it yourself. If you can't even make MRAP's or basic APC's then wtf made you think it was a worthy endeavor to compare yourself to others lol.

Iran is in that position because of your own actions and choices, don't try to play the victim after trying to export a violent revolution to other countries and destabilizing them by supporting proxies. Which brings me to the next point: your GDP-to-debt is low precisely because you are completely excluded from international financial institutions and systems, not because of some noble goal to remain debt-free lol. To frame Turkish debt in that light is one of the most blatant misrepresentations of facts I have ever seen. Turkey literally has one of the lowest GDP-to-debt ratios in the world, with only 24%, and it continues to shrink each year, according to the IMF and Worldbank.

To sum it all up, trying to diminish other countries to make yours seem better for the terrible decisions they have made are the symptoms of a failed society and state. Try to fix your shit before you come at others with half-assed zealous remarks.
 
That would be the most useless thing. Turkey doesn’t do it because it would get destroyed (at worst) or it would be a fancy pile of metal doing nothing (like the Russian controlled S-300 did in Syria).

Hell will freeze over before Turkey fires on an Israeli jet.
We were literally in a massive proxy war in Syria, are you really surprized Turkey would not risk war with anyone for Iran? We don't support the destruction of Iran, neither do i but to say there are not grievances toward you would be an understatement. If you are forced to hope that your geopolitical rival helps you out, then that means you already lost. I mean i am all for having closer partnership and relations with Iran but I don't thats possible under the current regime. That being said I fully support setting up air defence in Syria, if only to keep others out and respect its sovereignty.
 
That would be the most useless thing. Turkey doesn’t do it because it would get destroyed (at worst) or it would be a fancy pile of metal doing nothing (like the Russian controlled S-300 did in Syria).

Hell will freeze over before Turkey fires on an Israeli jet.
whether it is possible or likely is a very different question to whether it is useless (it is obviously not)
 
We were literally in a massive proxy war in Syria, are you really surprized Turkey would not risk war with anyone for Iran?

My point is Turkey will not do such a thing for itself.

If Turkey places air defenses in Syria it will be all for show, it will never be preemptively against Israel for Turkey’s sake (let alone Iran’s sake who it doesn’t even have a defense treaty with).

I have gone to Turkey many times in my life and lived there, as my family has Turkic roots. When I was there years ago Lira was 2 for $1 USD. It’s now 42 lira for $1 USD. Turkish population doesn’t want to turn into Iran. Bibi controls the White House right now. Turkey has to be careful.
 
My point is Turkey will not do such a thing for itself.

If Turkey places air defenses in Syria it will be all for show, it will never be preemptively against Israel for Turkey’s sake (let alone Iran’s sake who it doesn’t even have a defense treaty with).

I have gone to Turkey many times in my life and lived there, as my family has Turkic roots. When I was there years ago Lira was 2 for $1 USD. It’s now 42 lira for $1 USD. Turkish population doesn’t want to turn into Iran. Bibi controls the White House right now. Turkey has to be careful.
maybe its not wise to think in such a way. We Pakistanis used to think the same about our country that its an agent of the US etc etc, but it surprised all Pakistan in what their real planning was when Indian pygmies attacked mosques in our country.
 
If US wants to attack Irán again It is because something. You can call it enriched uranium, nuclear enrichment facilites or ballistic missile program. They're coming not vice-versa.
Either the nuclear program was not completely "obliterated" or Trump is dumb.
Trump is being blackmailed by Zion videos. Haven't you noticed the pattern? Before every action there is a big whoa about Epstein files and then it is hushed up as he follows the orders from Netanyahu.
 
Last edited:

Users who are viewing this thread

Pakistan Defence Latest

Back
Top