Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Shags101]

They have no answer to Israeli drones and aircraft attacks, the Lebanese population blames them for getting involved in Gaza, their supply line from Syria is cutoff.

They did have answer to the drones we saw that in the past unless they are waiting for the inevitable of Israeli land offensive only thing really plausible at this point if they actually gave up and sent their operatives all up north Israel would solely be striking up north only I definitely believe these tunnels and depots in the south are mostly inactive same with supposed training grounds we would have heard far more casualties if they were still active Israel would love to hear about dozens of Hezbollah members in these supposed training centers but all we ever hear is one guy here a few injured there nothing epic

 

[mangekyo]

I agree completely. When Hizbollah is gone, next will be turkic influence in Syria. They won't change a Lion for a Tiger. Turkey will pose a much more threat than HZ.

Current leadership in Turkey is working with Israel. But there is no guarantee a future leadership will follow the same path. Israel wont tolerate Turkish influence for long.

 

[Watandar]

They did have answer to the drones we saw that in the past unless they are waiting for the inevitable of Israeli land offensive only thing really plausible at this point if they actually gave up and sent their operatives all up north Israel would solely be striking up north only I definitely believe these tunnels and depots in the south are mostly inactive same with supposed training grounds we would have heard far more casualties if they were still active Israel would love to hear about dozens of Hezbollah members in these supposed training centers but all we ever hear is one guy here a few injured there nothing epic

What I meant is if they shoot down one Israeli drone or airplane, or they fire some rockets in retaliation, the Israelis will resume their bombing campaign of Lebanon , targeting everything under the sun with special focus on Lebanese Shia. To this Hezbollah has no answer right now nor in the near future.

As to your claim that Israel is bombing mostly empty infrastructure in the south, that's possible but I don't know.

 

[Flotilla]

Current leadership in Turkey is working with Israel. But there is no guarantee a future leadership will follow the same path. Israel wont tolerate Turkish influence for long.

Yes. But even if Muhammad doesn´t go to the mountain the mountain will come to Muhammad. Israel is deploying and helping greeks with their best SAM systems, training and support.

I love the tread about Turkiye-Israel tensions.

 

[mangekyo]

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[Shags101]

What I meant is if they shoot down one Israeli drone or airplane, or they fire some rockets in retaliation, the Israelis will resume their bombing campaign of Lebanon , targeting everything under the sun with special focus on Lebanese Shia. To this Hezbollah has no answer right now nor in the near future.

As to your claim that Israel is bombing mostly empty infrastructure in the south, that's possible but I don't know.

Didn’t say all of it was empty didn’t say weapons weren’t stored at certain places it’s not up to Hezbollah to tell anywhere they are if Israel knew where all these caches were would’ve attempted to destroy them all at once but time will tell what will happen I’m still on side that Hezbollah is biding their time or definitely there are factions within Hezbollah that will carry out attacks one day but who knows

 

[Immortals]

Current leadership in Turkey is working with Israel. But there is no guarantee a future leadership will follow the same path. Israel wont tolerate Turkish influence for long.

Turkey is a part of NATO and houses U.S. nuclear weapon arsenal since the Cold War.

Turkey is not going to go against the West and attack Israel. Simply not going to happen. Israel will also not attack Turkey because then Turkey can invoke NATO to join the war.

And if NATO balks at defending Turkey (which supplies the largest land army in NATO) than that would expose NATO and unravel it. Without Turkish troops, NATOs soldier size shrinks dramatically and puts NATO at a disadvantage in a land war against Russia.

Thus I don’t see either side (Turkey or Israel) making a kinetic move against the other.

 

[Shags101]

Turkey is a part of NATO and houses U.S. nuclear weapon arsenal since the Cold War.

Turkey is not going to go against the West and attack Israel. Simply not going to happen. Israel will also not attack Turkey because then Turkey can invoke NATO to join the war.

And if NATO balks at defending Turkey (which supplies the largest land army in NATO) than that would expose NATO and unravel it. Without Turkish troops, NATOs soldier size shrinks dramatically and puts NATO at a disadvantage in a land war against Russia.

Thus I don’t see either side (Turkey or Israel) making a kinetic move against the other.

Israel doesn’t have to worry about an attack from nato America wouldn’t let that happen no matter what they hit Turkish troops accidentally(purposely) as they have done in the past be they American forces or unifil they will at most get you be careful there buddy by America.
Israel one day will make a calculated move strike Turkish troops in the midst of building up jolani military it will on turky to either respond in kind or just make a formal complaint and ask to be compensated like they did with the Turkish flotilla attack but I definitely agree turkey isn’t going to go toe to toe with Israel unless A they have their own nuclear weapons(not just holding on to American nukes that they can’t use) or B their Air Force is equipped with twice as many capable stealth aircraft I’m actually hoping KAAN becomes the go to stealth plane of Muslim countries and hopefully they start building their own engine for it

 

[mangekyo]

Turkey is a part of NATO and houses U.S. nuclear weapon arsenal since the Cold War.

Turkey is not going to go against the West and attack Israel. Simply not going to happen. Israel will also not attack Turkey because then Turkey can invoke NATO to join the war.

And if NATO balks at defending Turkey (which supplies the largest land army in NATO) than that would expose NATO and unravel it. Without Turkish troops, NATOs soldier size shrinks dramatically and puts NATO at a disadvantage in a land war against Russia.

Thus I don’t see either side (Turkey or Israel) making a kinetic move against the other.

Erdogan is not. But can you guarantee Turkish leadership will always be pro-Israel?

They have turned Syria into its proxy, its only a matter of time until Lebanon follows. They are improving relations with Saudi, with Qatar. They already have excellent relations with Azerbaijan and Pakistan. Turkey might lead 1.5B+ Muslims in the near future and control 2/3 of the worlds energy. If I were Israel, I would be extremely worried.

 

[Immortals]

Erdogan is not. But can you guarantee Turkish leadership will always be pro-Israel?

Turkish military is secular and historically been the cause of coups throughout Turkey’s history. Why do you think they routinely get purged after their last coup attempt?

Turkey might lead 1.5B+ Muslims in the near future and control 2/3 of the worlds energy. If I were Israel, I would be extremely worried.

2/3’s of the worlds energy? How is that even possible when Russia is #1 and Iran is #2 in natural gas reserves. When Iraq is #3 and Iran is #4 in oil reserves?

The Math ain’t Mathing.

Also the Muslim world won’t follow Turkey. At the end of the day, Turkey is is Turks and while other Turkic nationalities might follow them they are not Arabs. Arabs are very tribal by nature and will not follow secular Turks.

Not to mention Turkey’s currency situation is bad. $1 = 2 lira in 2015 is now $1 = 43 Lira in 2026. That’s with no sanctions. Imagine if West ever sanctions Turkey, they would collapse like a house of cards and Erodgan would be overthrown.

 

[mangekyo]

Turkish military is secular and historically been the cause of coups throughout Turkey’s history. Why do you think they routinely get purged after their last coup attempt?

Turks are also ultra nationalistic. Their dream of reviving the Ottoman Empire isn’t religious, it stems from nationalism.

2/3’s of the worlds energy? How is that even possible when Russia is #1 and Iran is #2 in natural gas reserves. When Iraq is #3 and Iran is #4 in oil reserves?

1/3* no body knows what’s going to happen to Iran and who’s going to control Irans oil and gas in the future.

Also the Muslim world won’t follow Turkey. At the end of the day, Turkey is is Turks and while other Turkic nationalities might follow them they are not Arabs. Arabs are very tribal by nature and will not follow secular Turks.

I disagree. I think they will. Just look at Syria.

Not to mention Turkey’s currency situation is bad. $1 = 2 lira in 2015 is now $1 = 43 Lira in 2026. That’s with no sanctions. Imagine if West ever sanctions Turkey, they would collapse like a house of cards and Erodgan would be overthrown.

Yes, Turkey will collapse if they try to go against the west. They almost went bankrupt a couple years ago before Jews showed them who’s boss by manipulating their inflation. Now Erdogan is running errands for Netanyahu. But you keep ignoring my point. It doesn’t matter to the Zionists. Turkey is still a potential threat. They are not going to keep their peace simply because they’ve got the Turks by the balls today.

 

[925boy]

Nukes and icbm will be the new safety guarantee for many countries if they want to stay independent.

Yes, but nukes and icbms dont protect against other Trojans the globalists can use like economic pressure, diplomatic pressure, support for separatist groups in the target country, injection of deadly drugs into the target country etc.

 

[925boy]

If history has proven one thing, times and times again, it is to never trust commies.

Sorry bro, but history doesn't prove that this time!! This ideological line you are taking is too expensive for Iran today with all the dangers lurking around(and within) it.

 

[Flotilla]

Turkey is a part of NATO and houses U.S. nuclear weapon arsenal since the Cold War.

Turkey is not going to go against the West and attack Israel. Simply not going to happen. Israel will also not attack Turkey because then Turkey can invoke NATO to join the war.

And if NATO balks at defending Turkey (which supplies the largest land army in NATO) than that would expose NATO and unravel it. Without Turkish troops, NATOs soldier size shrinks dramatically and puts NATO at a disadvantage in a land war against Russia.

Thus I don’t see either side (Turkey or Israel) making a kinetic move against the other.

With Netanyahu at charge everything is possible. I am pretty sure It won't happen a open war between them at short term.
But It was not possible to bomb Qatar and those suckers did It.
Even in you don't believe it Israel is more isolated than Irán in some áreas. Even Macron doesn't name them in his famous message to Trump.
They reach Greece, Marocco and recognized Somaliland completely alone.
That means that they enter in contested áreas supporting one side in a chaotic and highly problematic international agenda. Nowadays Israel seems more a infection than a normal country. And mistakes like bombing any general in Turkey is likely happen. And let's see how will Turkey react.

 

[shapurzolaktaf]

Yes, but nukes and icbms dont protect against other Trojans the globalists can use like economic pressure, diplomatic pressure, support for separatist groups in the target country, injection of deadly drugs into the target country etc.

Political and economic pressure only, but they wont think about direct military attacks anymore, specially if Iran would have second strike options from Submarines, ships.