Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[tsunset]

My worry is not about our military capability. It’s the political will, or, more precisely, the lack of it within our government to act decisively.

Exactly, Israelis should die in a retaliation , this is what everyone hopes

 

[tsunset]

nothing to do with the consulate event

BREAKING: Reports regarding an attack using kamikaze drones targeting the Al-Tanf US militry base on the border with Jordan, where US troops are stationed.

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[Immortals]

"Patriot does not have enough KE to face higher tier Iranian missiles"

the point is Patriots have proven to be able to intercept Russian hypersonic missiles so to dismiss its chances of intercepting Emad because of kinematics is silly

Which hypersonic are you talking about? Khinzal? Have seen zero proof of any interception of Khinzal besides Ukraine propaganda.

no it isn't

MRV*

Typing fast

 

[Ali_Baba]

IMO the retaliation has to be proportionate and military targets should be taken not an embassy. Golan, Gaza, WB will have lots of targets. The question is around which ones will be essiest and likely to succeed.

Will attacking a military target re-establish deterrence? Or will Iran attempt to re-establish that via taking out the same number of Israeli Diplomats ? Iran may do some tactical strike for the pressure at home for now, but will they feel the need to make sure Israel feels it personally? That is the question. Deterrence has been lost. It has been for some while now as none of Irans responses to date have been equivalent.. ie when was the last israeli general that was killed in response etc?

Can you imagine India trying to take out a Pakistani general/admiral etc ?! Can you imagine what Pakistan will do in response? India knows that - that is why they dont attact at that level in South Asia.

 

[tsunset]

Getting out of the NPT after a retaliation would also be a good scenario

 

[Immortals]

Can you imagine India trying to take out a Pakistani general/admiral etc ?! Can you imagine what Pakistan will do in response? India knows that - that is why they dont attact at that level in South Asia.

Not an apples to apples comparison.

More like what would Pakistan do if US (or Israel) for whatever reason assassinated a general? Probably not much. I don’t see Pakistan going to war against Israel or US in either scenario due to the direct ramifications.

Israel is an extension of US. Attacking Israel soil is an attack on the US as they have made abundantly clear to Iran.

 

[Immortals]

Getting out of the NPT after a retaliation would also be a good scenario

They didn’t do that after Fakhrizadeh assasination. Why would they do that for Quds force generals?

Quds force are the most expendable force for Iran. Where ever they go they can expect to die one way or another. Some have even been killed inside Iran.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israel must understand that Iran is willing to take great risks and go to war if Israel crosses its red lines

Currently they do not fear this so they act with impunity

If they knew taking out Zahedi and his deputies would lead to war with Iran, would they be less likely to do it? Obviously yes

alternatively, and at this point this is the approach I favour, progress the nuclear program immediately.

 

[Agha Sher]

At least look at a map. Haifa and Eilat are in different areas. And Haifa is Israel’s main economic zone seaport.

Any BM launch is impossible to tell at time of launch where it’s going to land unless Iran overtly telegraphs the location so Israel knows.

If you are going to attack Israeli soil you might as well go for military targets like an airbase (where F-35 are housed) or military barracks.

If you are afraid of striking Israeli soil like so many are on here, then strike Israeli military encampments in Gaza or Golan Heights. Neither of those are Israeli soil under international law.

What you SHOULDNT do is attack an Israeli embassy. That’s just bad PR. No country will support such a strike on the international stage.

I meant Eilat, Haifa or Be er Sheva. I am very much aware of Israel's geography and economic/military centers.

 

[mangekyo]

Israel must understand that Iran is willing to take great risks and go to war if Israel crosses its red lines

Currently they do not fear this so they act with impunity

If they knew taking out Zahedi and his deputies would lead to war with Iran, would they be less likely to do it? Obviously yes

alternatively, and at this point this is the approach I favour, progress the nuclear program immediately.

But, Iran is not. I know it, you know it, they know it. Everybody knows it. Theres not a shred of patriotism left in the country.

 

[Xerxes22]

The road from here on is clear. The west Is busy with Russia and china. They cant contain either and the armament stockpile of almighty paper tiger NATO is dwindling. Now is the time, for the sake of STRATEGY and not IMPULSE, to do a Nuclear Test and announce Nuclear first strike/ retaliation capability. Then we have a gun to the whole region's head. Then we will be able to bully Israel, saudi, Jordanian and all the other little punks with our conventional might and our millions of DIE HARD volunteers.

Now is the strike. The establishment need to grow sum goddamn balls. Ayatollah Khamenei needs to wake up and be decisive or sumone in the military must tell him what he needs to hear to wake up. NOW IS THE TIME

 

[Immortals]

Then we will be able to bully Israel, saudi, Jordanian and all the other little punks with our conventional might and our millions of DIE HARD volunteers.

Yeah the country that cannot even attack Israel with conventional weapons will suddenly grow a spine if it has nukes? Unlikely. Israel will see right thru that bluff.

In fact Israel will conclude that Iran will never use nukes unless an invasion of its territory is happening. Much like Russia has not used nukes in Ukraine despite losing 100,000+ soldiers and territorial incursions by Ukraine into Russian motherland.

Nukes won’t suddenly make everyone afraid to attack you or retaliate. Especially when they know you are afraid of direct conflict to begin with.

 

[lightning f57]

Will attacking a military target re-establish deterrence? Or will Iran attempt to re-establish that via taking out the same number of Israeli Diplomats ? Iran may do some tactical strike for the pressure at home for now, but will they feel the need to make sure Israel feels it personally? That is the question. Deterrence has been lost. It has been for some while now as none of Irans responses to date have been equivalent.. ie when was the last israeli general that was killed in response etc?

Can you imagine India trying to take out a Pakistani general/admiral etc ?! Can you imagine what Pakistan will do in response? India knows that - that is why they dont attact at that level in South Asia.

To reestablish deterrance Iran has to make a retaliatory strike that will hurt Israel, it also needs to show the capability to do more if needed, like Swift retort you punch your opponent with a clean hit but your hands are not clinched so the damage is deliberately less.

This is why the target is key has to be different than before and Iran must be confident in its success.

IMO target and level a military base in the Golan, that is probably easiest to hit.

 

[Immortals]

Israel must understand that Iran is willing to take great risks and go to war if Israel crosses its red lines

Currently they do not fear this so they act with impunity

If they knew taking out Zahedi and his deputies would lead to war with Iran, would they be less likely to do it? Obviously yes

alternatively, and at this point this is the approach I favour, progress the nuclear program immediately.

Wait till they Sink Beshad.

That’s probably next on the list.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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