Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

BigMela2onin said:
Worst they may do is court Russia to reduce ties with Iran in exchange for throwing Ukraine under the bus. Otherwise foreign policy of Trump and Harris are the same.

Trump will also likely increase pressure on China so we won't necessarily see reduction of oil imports by them.
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Than Russia truly deserves one Axis of Resistance with their central Asia's Muslims... I think that they are aware of value in their Iranian partnership, and they have no many other options...
 
I believe that the Iranians would gain a lot from the Russian strategic partnership initiative, this would certainly make them even more resilient in facing any kinetic attack from the US and Israel, even though the Russians have their problems of lack of action in defending their allies and only their interests, a partnership at this strategic level is something that would hardly not be in their interest.
 
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Iran will be fine and even Trump cannot do much as China is a much more powerful country than in 2016. It won't accept US dictats as easily as it did before.

Russia also has been monumentally "betrayed" by what it always saw as it's "white brethen". Trust will take 1-2 generations to restore.There is not much that Trump can offer Russia as it will win in 1-2 years even with Harris coming back into the White House. Trump cannot stop the billions of dollars in US financial and military aid that has already been budgeted for Ukraine as enough Republicans will join Democrats to block any moves by Trump to immediately stop further aid.

Iran itself is more powerful as it now pretty much has a near complete IADS(e.g. Khordad 15 and Bavar 373), and it has managed to bring into service sizeable numbers of new generation ballistic missiles(including the imminent Fattah-2 HGV) that Zio-US are defenceless against.

Trump will just be a "little different" but not much will change in the ME.
 
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Nuffle said:
I believe that the Iranians would gain a lot from the Russian strategic partnership initiative, this would certainly make them even more resilient in facing any kinetic attack from the US and Israel, even though the Russians have their problems of lack of action in defending their allies and only their interests, a partnership at this strategic level is something that would hardly not be in their interest.
Click to expand...
Ukraine could be piece of cake to next plan of third superpower, Turkistan, with projected zone of power from China to North Africa... Turkey is not ideal for anyone, but far more preferred than Russia and Iran, and with decreasing American presence in Eurasian heartland, full acceptable partner for usa...

This could be very dangerous for Iran and almost certainly fatal for half of Russian land...Without strong Iran, only Turkey is possible candidate to fulfill emptiness in the heart of heartland....

Iran is oriented to other zone of influence, so they can make pact of non-aggressive relations between them, Russian new doctrine have no problem with Iranian expansion on entire azeri state, while Armenia in Russian zone, but Turkish expansion is potentially fatal scenario...


It's far more easy with mutual efforts to neutralize rise of Turkish mega-empire, and very hard for solo-playing against it...

For now, Russians are ok, they transferred hi-tech air technology, they increased their presence in Syria, their military staff is in Tehran this days, and they informed Israel that will not accept any fatal scenario for Iran... And I am sure that more things are going on, but of course, only few people from both sides know whole story....


No love in geopolitics, but they have to cooperate now and in projected future...
 
Alter_Ego said:
Iran should have waited with the election will US election was over.
A couple months here and there wouldnt have mattered much.
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it mattered a lot
it simply was law, after 50 day from mr. raesi death if vice president didn't held the election, the government was not legitimate anymore.

also thinking decision making is only made by president show serious lack of understanding of Iran power structure
 
BigMela2onin said:
Worst they may do is court Russia to reduce ties with Iran in exchange for throwing Ukraine under the bus. Otherwise foreign policy of Trump and Harris are the same.

Trump will also likely increase pressure on China so we won't necessarily see reduction of oil imports by them.
Click to expand...
Do you think TP 1 and 2 would have happened if Trump was president?
 
vmro said:
Iran is oriented to other zone of influence, so they can make pact of non-aggressive relations between them, Russian new doctrine have no problem with Iranian expansion on entire azeri state, while Armenia in Russian zone, but Turkish expansion is potentially fatal scenario...
Click to expand...

This is not the first time you have posted this, but now I feel like I have to ask: What the hell are you smoking.

Iranian expansion on Azerbaijan? How do you even imagine that to happen? What kind of influence can Iran possibly have over Azerbaijan?

Btw, Azerbaijan and Russia signed a bilateral alliance agreement in 2022.

president.az

Declaration on allied interaction between the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Russian Federation » Official web-site of President of Azerbaijan Republic

president.az president.az
 
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Qaraca said:
This is not the first time you have posted this, but now I feel like I have to ask: What the hell are you smoking.

Iranian expansion on Azerbaijan? How do you even imagine that to happen? What kind of influence can Iran possibly have over Azerbaijan? What do you even mean by “expansion”. Are you smoking some new potent stuff from Afghanistan?

Btw, Azerbaijan and Russia signed a allied partnership agreement in 2022.

president.az

Declaration on allied interaction between the Republic of Azerbaijan and the Russian Federation » Official web-site of President of Azerbaijan Republic

president.az president.az
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If you make your opinion based on daily news report and actual politicians, you will probably say that Armenia is French protectorate... There are some interesting turkish sources and investigating journalism about all above, great packaged by mit and other more than informative authors, you can check them...i can find for you if you want...

And about power projection, it is not atomic science, there will be probably 2 superpowers, few more big powers and rest of the world in one or other way under their influence...

This is long-term politics, strategic planning and management...cheers

Edit
You can start with ideological author on the next Russian doctrine, Dugin...chapter about Russian Iranian relations...
 
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vmro said:
If you make your opinion based on daily news report and actual politicians, you will probably say that Armenia is French protectorate... There are some interesting turkish sources and investigating journalism about all above, great packaged by mit and other more than informative authors, you can check them...i can find for you if you want...

And about power projection, it is not atomic science, there will be probably 2 superpowers, few more big powers and rest of the world in one or other way under their influence...

This is long-term politics, strategic planning and management...cheers
Click to expand...

How is that an example of daily news? It’s a bilateral alliance agreement, similar to the one Russia and Iran is apparently working on. Unlike Armenia, Azerbaijan is not economically or otherwise depenent on any state. It neither hosts foreign military bases, so I don’t see how you even compare Azerbaijan and Armenia.

Yeah, let’s see those “sources”. I asked you a very simple question tho, that how would Iran possibly exert influence over Azerbaijan.

Last time I checked, Azerbaijan was giving loans to Iran:

en.apa.az

Iran agrees to get loan from Azerbaijan for construction of Rasht-Astara railway

Iran’s Cabinet of Ministers has confirmed necessary consent to get a loan of $500 million from Azerbaijan for construction of Rasht-Astara railway
en.apa.az en.apa.az
 
Qaraca said:
How is that an example of daily news? It’s a bilateral alliance agreement, similar to the one Russia and Iran is apparently working on. Unlike Armenia, Azerbaijan is not economically or otherwise depenent on any state. It neither hosts foreign military bases, so I don’t see how you even compare Azerbaijan and Armenia.

Yeah, let’s see those “sources”. I asked you a very simple question tho, that how would Iran possibly exert influence over Azerbaijan.

Last time I checked, Azerbaijan was giving loans to Iran:

en.apa.az

Iran agrees to get loan from Azerbaijan for construction of Rasht-Astara railway

Iran’s Cabinet of Ministers has confirmed necessary consent to get a loan of $500 million from Azerbaijan for construction of Rasht-Astara railway
en.apa.az en.apa.az
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Cultural or religious influence for example, just start...economic and political next...but because you are claiming Azerbaijani full independence, while for any ordinary viewers is obvious their special relation with Turkey and Erdogan...it's OK. you are right. Tnx for enlightenment...

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