Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[UKBengali]

Trump would have assured Netanyahu that US stands behind Israel no matter how it responds. He might have even threatened to bomb Iran before TP2 and it would have never happened

How exactly is US going to bomb Iran?

I presume they need some kind of base that would face a barrage of Iranian ballistic missiles in return.

US would potentially start a regional war to save the entity from its deserved spanking and that would mean the destruction of all their bases in ME, destruction of oil and gas fields in Gulf, destruction of US puppet regimes in Gulf and the elimination of the entity.


US has many reasons why it won't get involved in a tit for tat between Iran and the entity. Trump or no Trump the same constraints apply. When it comes to core US interests like ME, the POTUS is mainly a figurehead.

 

[Flotilla]

Than Russia truly deserves one Axis of Resistance with their central Asia's Muslims... I think that they are aware of value in their Iranian partnership, and they have no many other options...

After Ukranian war, Russian armes forces would disable their war mode economy. They must be building T90s and Su35 by hundreds monthly and 2 or 3 monthly approximately, so in 6 months they would fulfill previous war stocks and they would need desperately exports. Neither China nor India are expected to buy russian aircrafts, warships or helicopters. So Russia would need more Iran than Iran Russia. At least economically. Russia can retain an excellent customer for their war excedents while Iran can hold a good mediator between US and them.

 

[tsunset]

How exactly is US going to bomb Iran?

I presume they need some kind of base that would face a barrage of Iranian ballistic missiles in return.

US would potentially start a regional war to save the entity from its deserved spanking and that would mean the destruction of all their bases in ME, destruction of oil and gas fields in Gulf, destruction of US puppet regimes in Gulf and the elimination of the entity.


US has many reasons why it won't get involved in a tit for tat between Iran and the entity. Trump or no Trump the same constraints apply. When it comes to core US interests like ME, the POTUS is mainly a figurehead.

US has the tools to deal serious damage to Iran, we are talking about the US itself, not Israel, Israel is ridiculous compared to the US

It has the tools to deal massive damage, we are talking about a nation with 1000+ fighter jets and the bests in the world, countless of aircrafts, mobile, aerial radars to back them up, the most advanced and precise satellites, countless of massive ordnance, long, medium, short range, and advanced weapons in numbers, and i'm not even talking about US navy, no one in the world wants to face that

Of course they will not be able to destroy whole Iranian capabilities in one operation and will sustain big damage and casualties, but the damage would continue on Iran non-stop

What refrains the US and make it not in their interest is that they will have a terrible time to achieve their "goals" inside Iran such as forced govt overthrow and demilitarization of Iran and its BM program, which is near impossible to accomplish unless US is willing to go to full mobilization and war for at least a decade and losing tens of thousands of soldiers, and trillions of dollars spent into this, with an uncertain success at the end

The only deterrent weapon against the US is simply nuclear weapons ready to fire at New York and D.C at any time, western countries are typically terrified by the idea of losing civilians

 

[Flotilla]

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JD Vance: our interests will not always align with Israel's interests

JD Vance: war with Iran is "very much" not in our interests

Hope Trump doesn't involve more in the Middle East. Remember he fleed miserably from Talibans some weeks before getting out of the Office, letting the need administration the duty of swallow the bitter pill.
Anyway Irán is not Irak or Afganistán. So he would need to break the piggy bank to just break the defenses. But hey man. This guy has been charged of half US penal code, so we can expect any crazy idea. So just cross fingers.

 

[UKBengali]

Of course they will not be able to destroy whole Iranian capabilities in one operation and will sustain big damage and casualties, but the damage would continue on Iran non-stop

But what bases and US ships will still be left standing as Iran retaliates with its potentially 10s of thousands of ballistic/cruise missiles and drones?

US still needs launch points right like air bases, aircraft carriers and ships?

Any Gulfies that give US bases would be quickly destroyed, along with the host base. No US aircraft carriers are operating in or near the Persian Gulf due to the serious risk of being destroyed by Iranian attacks.

I am not denying the damage to Iran would be huge but think of Iran as being like a "porcupine" that US would do serious damage to itself by trying to swallow it. There is always a cost-benefit analysis that needs to be done.

We should not underestimate US capability but nor should we overestimate it either.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Hope Trump doesn't involve more in the Middle East. Remember he fleed miserably from Talibans some weeks before getting out of the Office, letting the need administration the duty of swallow the bitter pill.
Anyway Irán is not Irak or Afganistán. So he would need to break the piggy bank to just break the defenses. But hey man. This guy has been charged of half US penal code, so we can expect any crazy idea. So just cross fingers.

one line of thinking says Iran needs to show huge level of power and expose Israel's weakness in Operation TP 3 to deter Trump from any dreams of war with Iran

Arrow systems are built by IAI, the IAI base/factories are a huge soft target that Iran can easily pulverise (I posted satellite imagery and coordinates in databank thread) along with Mossad and IDF HQs in/near Tel Aviv. forget about massive air bases. this is the ideal target for TP 3 in response to Israeli strikes against Iran's missile facilities and air defences. seriously damaging IAI facilities also harms Israel's ability to replenish Arrow interceptors.

then the next level is their energy and water infrastructure if Israel responds by attacking Iran's oil facilities. Israel is very reliant on a small number of large power plants and desalination plants, which tend to be paired together in the same locations (even next to each other). Israel moved most of its petrochemical factories to the Negev (away from Haifa for fear of Hezbollah rockets), this is another large soft target for Iran that is also away from Tel Aviv and less well defended, and will create massive fires if hit (even by drones/cruise missiles).

then Dimona and the surrounding facilities if they hit Iran's nuclear facilities. some of these are built deep underground, which will be difficult for Iran to hit, but plenty aboveground as well.

and then direct attacks on cities is the final level of escalation.

 

[lightning f57]

US has the tools to deal serious damage to Iran, we are talking about the US itself, not Israel, Israel is ridiculous compared to the US

It has the tools to deal massive damage, we are talking about a nation with 1000+ fighter jets and the bests in the world, countless of aircrafts, mobile, aerial radars to back them up, the most advanced and precise satellites, countless of massive ordnance, long, medium, short range, and advanced weapons in numbers, and i'm not even talking about US navy, no one in the world wants to face that

Of course they will not be able to destroy whole Iranian capabilities in one operation and will sustain big damage and casualties, but the damage would continue on Iran non-stop

What refrains the US and make it not in their interest is that they will have a terrible time to achieve their "goals" inside Iran such as forced govt overthrow and demilitarization of Iran and its BM program, which is near impossible to accomplish unless US is willing to go to full mobilization and war for at least a decade and losing tens of thousands of soldiers, and trillions of dollars spent into this, with an uncertain success at the end

The only deterrent weapon against the US is simply nuclear weapons ready to fire at New York and D.C at any time, western countries are typically terrified by the idea of losing civilians

Iran should do a Trump, Pezeshkian should give a personal invitation to Trump to come to Tehran and give him the full guard of honour, the state visit. Trump loves this kind of thing and attention. These 4 years for him will be all about his legacy, he would love to go down as the President who came to Iran after 40 years and forged deals.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Iran should do a Trump, Pezeshkian should give a personal invitation to Trump to come to Tehran and give him the full guard of honour, the state visit. Trump loves this kind of thing and attention. These 4 years for him will be all about his legacy, he would love to go down as the President who came to Iran after 40 years and forged deals.

Trump murdered Soleimani

That is impossible

 

[mangekyo]

How exactly is US going to bomb Iran?

I presume they need some kind of base that would face a barrage of Iranian ballistic missiles in return.

US would potentially start a regional war to save the entity from its deserved spanking and that would mean the destruction of all their bases in ME, destruction of oil and gas fields in Gulf, destruction of US puppet regimes in Gulf and the elimination of the entity.


US has many reasons why it won't get involved in a tit for tat between Iran and the entity. Trump or no Trump the same constraints apply. When it comes to core US interests like ME, the POTUS is mainly a figurehead.

I don’t understand this forums obsession with miniaturizing US military prowess. If Israel can hit targets inside Iran by launching ABMs from Iraq, do you think the US who is incomparably superior to Israel in every single way won’t be able to hurt Iran?

 

[mangekyo]

But what bases and US ships will still be left standing as Iran retaliates with its potentially 10s of thousands of ballistic/cruise missiles and drones?

That’s a doomsday scenario. IRI is not going to start leveling US bases after the first, second or even third US strike.

 

[Comandante]

The time has come for an experimental nuclear explosion, and then you can sleep peacefully.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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architect of "maximum pressure" sanctions against Iran is leading Trump's transition team

very bad news for IRI and its supporters who fail to acknowledge the role of US sanctions under Trump in decimating Iran's oil exports...

 

[vmro]

Iran should do a Trump, Pezeshkian should give a personal invitation to Trump to come to Tehran and give him the full guard of honour, the state visit. Trump loves this kind of thing and attention. These 4 years for him will be all about his legacy, he would love to go down as the President who came to Iran after 40 years and forged deals.

Tricking to come for some awards, arresting him after arrival and public trial with capital punishment for the end... in the meantime, through torture making him to give statement about what crimes he has done... Then in press conference, Iranian officials to cheer for liberation of America from dictator...His opponent will be happy to take his position, and sign strategic partnership with Iran...

 

[Persian Gulf]

The time has come for an experimental nuclear explosion, and then you can sleep peacefully.

Iran certainly has to build some leverage before Trump comes into power again.

I think withdrawing from NPT and covertly enriching to 90% across several hardened sites is the best solution. currently all of Iran's sites are still under constant monitoring by the IAEA, it's very difficult to break out covertly under these circumstances.

at least withdrawing from NPT means Iran has something else to offer in the negotiations and thus can bargain for more in return.

 

[Flotilla]

one line of thinking says Iran needs to show huge level of power and expose Israel's weakness in Operation TP 3 to deter Trump from any dreams of war with Iran

Arrow systems are built by IAI, the IAI base/factories are a huge soft target that Iran can easily pulverise (I posted satellite imagery and coordinates in databank thread) along with Mossad and IDF HQs in/near Tel Aviv. forget about massive air bases. this is the ideal target for TP 3 in response to Israeli strikes against Iran's missile facilities and air defences. seriously damaging IAI facilities also harms Israel's ability to replenish Arrow interceptors.

then the next level is their energy and water infrastructure if Israel responds by attacking Iran's oil facilities. Israel is very reliant on a small number of large power plants and desalination plants, which tend to be paired together in the same locations (even next to each other). Israel moved most of its petrochemical factories to the Negev (away from Haifa for fear of Hezbollah rockets), this is another large soft target for Iran that is also away from Tel Aviv and less well defended, and will create massive fires if hit (even by drones/cruise missiles).

then Dimona and the surrounding facilities if they hit Iran's nuclear facilities. some of these are built deep underground, which will be difficult for Iran to hit, but plenty aboveground as well.

and then direct attacks on cities is the final level of escalation.

Maybe you can combine some hard line you suggest with soft policy.

You can flatten just IAI or Elta Factory. And one day before call Trump via Russia to let opened a window. 1 Finish Gaza Genocide, 2 stop Lebanon invasion and 3 return to hostages and mantain prior bello status quo. And Iran can give all guarantees not attack anymore Israel directly (True promises operations) or indirectly (HZ, Yemen or iraqui PMUs).

But for that you need to push a bit more the knife to the Netanyahu's throat.