Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[UKBengali]

The problem is if Hezbollah can't protect the skies of Lebanon from Israeli planes, then the enemy planes keep bombing civilian targets having the possibility of turning Lebanese civilians against Hezbollah for starting a war without the means to protect civilians from airstrikes.

It's OK if Hezbollah fighters are martyred in air strikes because fighting is their job, but civilians are not fighters and should not die needlessly just because their own armed forces do not have the means to defend their skies properly...

It will be pointless as Iran and Hezbollah would not even be able to set up any systems smuggled into Lebanon since Zio-US would detect and destroy them.

I don't know if Iran has or is developing a self-contained(everything on single truck - radar, missiles and battle-management) road mobile MRSAM system as that could be doable both in terms of a cost and operational basis. It could have both CIWS for short-range defence and have up to 70km range MRSAMs to shoot down Zionist planes and missiles that are trying to bomb Lebanon.

Of course this won't stop the Zionists but raise the cost of bombing Lebanon by aircraft to "unacceptable" levels for them.

 

[Bharatah]

Defense against air attacks is one of the most complex and expensive defenses that exist, see that the Zionist entity itself has difficulty defending itself where many drones, missiles (various types) and even rockets pass directly through the iron dome and other defense systems continuously. The problem is that Lebanon and Palestine have 0% against air attacks and now it's time to test some type of defense over there.

International law says that civilians cannot be killed but Zionism will continue to kill them with the support of the media, the only solution is the military evolution of those who are being attacked.

 

[Kharral]

Oct 7th is marked as a historical strategic defeat for Zionia. Tactically, the 'ceasefire' with Hezbollah is another deep defeat for Zionia as well. Note, if there were any chance Zionia thought it could make progress in Lebanon it would not have accepted defeat and humiliation ('ceasefire'). All Zionia has to show is genocide in Gaza, international humiliation, exhausted and humiliated military, a battered population, and a shattered economy. Not to mention destroyed deterrence. It will grapple with all of this for the remainder of its existence. Everything else is dust in the wind and for the dimwitted to pluck on like so many chickens stuck in an intellectual chicken coop.

This translates into a significant strategic victory for The Axis Of Resistance.

It doesn't take too many words to describe the obvious. It does take a lot of words, however, to weave something into something else when it is far from the case.

Occam's Razor reigns.

Trust the Muslims to almost always squander their hard earned victory on the battlefield with their surface level post battle commentary & assessment of their adversary’s desperate & demoralised state.

To see so many seasoned posters and contributors here succumb to utterly ill informed judgment of geo political realities is frustrating to say the least.

This failure to recongnise their wins & translate it into intelligent, smart narratives is a major weakness.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israel withdraws from Lebanese land and stops targeting HZ assets
Israel reserves the right to attack HZ if it returns to southern Lebanon border or plans more attacks.

Netanyahu claimed it was broader than that. He claimed there is a clause that prevents Hezbollah from rebuilding its military infrastructure south of the Litani or if it rebuilds missile building factories ANYWHERE in Lebanon or if it brings in missiles from Syria.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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[Flotilla]

It will be pointless as Iran and Hezbollah would not even be able to set up any systems smuggled into Lebanon since Zio-US would detect and destroy them.

I don't know if Iran has or is developing a self-contained(everything on single truck - radar, missiles and battle-management) road mobile MRSAM system as that could be doable both in terms of a cost and operational basis. It could have both CIWS for short-range defence and have up to 70km range MRSAMs to shoot down Zionist planes and missiles that are trying to bomb Lebanon.

Of course this won't stop the Zionists but raise the cost of bombing Lebanon by aircraft to "unacceptable" levels for them.

I agree at that point. Other possibility would be containers with parts of Sayyad missiles and then assemble them under earth.

But the problem remains on search radars and illuminator radars for SARH missiles like Sayyad.

 

[Persian Gulf]

That’s one way of seeing it. A more charitable and, I’d argue, realistic way to look at it is that Hezbollah stepped in to try to stop a genocide when no one else was willing to act. They underestimated the 'license to kill' granted to their enemy by the international community, but their willingness to stand up in dire circumstances speaks to their determination, not disgrace.

They stepped in to open a new front, sure, but in a very limited way and without a clear plan. Remember it was Israel that decided to rapidly escalate by launching constant assassinations in Beirut and the pagers attacks then the ground invasion. Hezbollah wanted a very limited exchange but underestimated Israel's willingness to take risks and fight a hard war.

Your formulation implies that seeking a ceasefire is a sign of weakness or failure, but that perspective only makes sense if both sides were on an equal playing field–which they obviously are not. Hezbollah was the underdog from the very beginning, up against overwhelming odds. If they had achieved their goal, it would have been nothing short of a miracle. Even if they fell short, their effort was still a worthy and courageous stand in the face of overwhelming power.

I never denied their courage. To the contrary.

But I would expect them to start a conflict with Israel with a solid plan and end goal, and not to make public promises they cannot keep and have to walk back from within a few months.

Success is not always measured by immediate victories but by the integrity and courage to act when others won’t. In a few generations when this genocide will be taught in history, Hezbollah will be remembered as the heroes who took a stand despite knowing no one else would.

That's nice. I hope it's true. But I doubt it.

 

[Persian Gulf]

I agree at that point. Other possibility would be containers with parts of Sayyad missiles and then assemble them under earth.

But the problem remains on search radars and illuminator radars for SARH missiles like Sayyad.

We saw one destroyed Sayyad-2C missile in south Lebanon then never saw Sayyad SAMs again.

We saw one LACM launch in the final days of the war but no others.

We did not see a single ASCM or ASBM launched, despite reports of Abu Mahdi LACM being in Hezbollah's possession.

Even the relatively few (< 50) ballistic missiles fired by Hezbollah were largely upgraded Zelzal rockets or Fath-120 missiles.

 

[Flotilla]

Netanyahu claimed it was broader than that. He claimed there is a clause that prevents Hezbollah from rebuilding its military infrastructure south of the Litani or if it rebuilds missile building factories ANYWHERE in Lebanon or if it brings in missiles from Syria.

With the time passing on, I have suspicion that Israel asked this truce because Irán.

They have understood that TP3 is real and coming. They know they don't have enough interceptors to stop a big volley of missiles. So they decided to close HZ front to put all their systems working against TP3.

 

[tsunset]

Syria Tu-16s made multiple bombing runs today on rebel positions

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[Persian Gulf]

Some rare happy news: 17 Hezbollah members who the leadership had lost communication with for over a month, and had declared them to be martyrs, were found to be alive and well. They were inside a Lebanese border town that Israel claimed it 'controlled'. They never fled or ran away, even under the worst circumstances.

 

[Persian Gulf]

With the time passing on, I have suspicion that Israel asked this truce because Irán.

They have understood that TP3 is real and coming. They know they don't have enough interceptors to stop a big volley of missiles. So they decided to close HZ front to put all their systems working against TP3.

Yes, they said it themselves that their focus now is Iran's nuclear program. Especially with Trump coming into office soon.

In 2025 we will probably see major Israeli airstrikes against Fordow and Natanz designed to destroy Iran's latent nuclear capability.

 

[Persian Gulf]

"Hezbollah cannot return to the south"

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[tsunset]

Yes, they said it themselves that their focus now is Iran's nuclear program. Especially with Trump coming into office soon.

In 2025 we will probably see major Israeli airstrikes against Fordow and Natanz designed to destroy Iran's latent nuclear capability.

If we see this in 2025, then we will also see Dimona and weapon productions as well as Israeli hospitals explode completely, all of this while Iran quickly develops a nuclear device and test it out in the open, it doesn't matter whether Fordow or Natanz explodes or be completely destroyed, the result will be the same

 

[LongLiveIran]

If we see this in 2025, then we will also see Dimona and weapon productions as well as Israeli hospitals explode completely, all of this while Iran quickly develops a nuclear device and test it out in the open, it doesn't matter whether Fordow or Natanz explodes or be completely destroyed, the result will be the same

What are you going to do about the nuclear fallout when Dimona is destroyed?
Surely you don't think that the West will just ignore that and let Iran do that. Right?