Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Tijani]

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SAA abandoning Damascus

If it didn't already then Iran needs to start speaking to HTS and other rebel groups

I swear I can't believe what I'm seeing. I never thought Syria would fold like a house of cards. Their military didn't even fight. Not even the Republican Guard! I have yet to understand the deal that was made. Iran and Russia seem to have accepted this. Has a deal been made with the Türkiye? All the investment of blood and treasure was only for this to happen? I'm waiting for comments from the Supreme Leader. Everything that Soleimani, Muhandas and so many brave fighters worked so hard to preserve gone in just a few days. I'll be honest and say that I totally didn't see things unfolding like this. My whole family is affected by this. My father- and brother-in-law are now unable to leave Damascus.

 

[Mehdipersian]

I swear I can't believe what I'm seeing. I never thought Syria would fold like a house of cards. Their military didn't even fight. Not even the Republican Guard! I have yet to understand the deal that was made. Iran and Russia seem to have accepted this. Has a deal been made with the Türkiye? All the investment of blood and treasure was only for this to happen? I'm waiting for comments from the Supreme Leader. Everything that Soleimani, Muhandas and so many brave fighters worked so hard to preserve gone in just a few days. I'll be honest and say that I totally didn't see things unfolding like this. My whole family is affected by this. My father- and brother-in-law are now unable to leave Damascus.

Probably the Syrian army staged a coup.

Iran and Russia cannot do anything when the Syrians themselves do not want to fight. Iran's presence in Syria has long been limited to Assad's request.

 

[Mobius]

What did I say? Hasn't been 5 minutes since Assad is gone and Israel is on the move again. Muslims got clowned. Arabs are now on their own and like I stated before, just wait and watch their fate.
I Hope all the Dajjals warriors (the deft dumb and blind) who were ejaculated over the break of Syria and topple of Asad at such a sensitive time, are happy now. Give yourself a pat on the back.

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[StrategicBear]

When will Iran launch TP3 against Israel?

The attack on Iranian soil can't go unanswered...

 

[Mehdipersian]

When will Iran launch TP3 against Israel?

The attack on Iranian soil can't go unanswered...

Soon.

 

[Lulldapull]

You don´t wanna talk real geopolitical but just wanna troll here I see.

I have seen some talk about greater zion lmao and I am like where will they get the manpower from. It can´t take a square meter in Lebanon.

Understand first scale

Is there suddenly a shortage of deen miskeen? Willing to sell themselves on da cheap?

Really?

 

[mulj]

Fall of syrian regime could have be therapeutic for Iran and resistance meaning to learn respecting local wishes and differences and make more realistic deals not punching above its weight.
Sorry to be guy who says i said so but alliance with assad has proven as the biggest strategic blunder for Iran ever.

 

[mulj]

He didn’t change. After he won the war he kept the status quo. No reforms, no power sharing. Assad also had a terrible economy, 90% of people lived in poverty. Mostly due to sanctions and partly due to corruption.

Iran gave Syria billions in credit lines and free oil to keep it functioning. But at that end of the day, Iran couldn’t prop up all of Syria. Iran is not Russia/China/US, iran didn’t build a strong economy and for war you need a strong economy.

Lastly, Assad was sold by his own men. His intelligence apparatus and his Generals sold him up the river. Hezbollah, Iraqi PMU, etc all arrived in Homs as did elements of Tiger forces and SAA/NDF loyal to him. But they were told to stand down and so Iran saw the writing on the wall, it was over. If SAA Generals won’t fight and have signed a deal with America/Turkey then there is nothing more to be done.

Of course Zarif/Argachi were more than happy to leave Syria since they always thought it was a bad idea to go in.

Your billions were well spent.

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[Lulldapull]

What does this have to do with anything. I said Pakistan has more refugess and worse economy and that is a fact

Pakistan is a real country. Afghanistan is a terrorist shit-hole that even you in your fantasies would think twice about before visiting.

I bet you money right now you wouldn’t go there for fear of being killed as a Pakistani.

 

[Merzifonlu]

Sorry to be guy who says i said so but alliance with assad has proven as the biggest strategic blunder for Iran ever.

No, Iran’s biggest mistake was not forming an alliance with the Assad regime. Iran’s biggest mistake was knowingly and willingly owning up to that regime’s crimes. In Yemen, where this is not the case, Iran’s influence is still present despite the USA. Despite being battered, Iranian influence continues and will continue in Lebanon and Gaza. But it is difficult to say the same for Syria and Iraq.

The crimes committed by The Mullah Regime within Iran or Iran's pursuit of adventures beyond its capacity in foreign policy are another topic of discussion.

I think difficult days are ahead for the Mullah Regime in Iran, not the Persians.

(By the way, unlike Iran, difficult days are ahead for the Turkish people, not the Turkish state. Because we have not ended the constitutional debate and it has become gangrenous as we postpone it. It cannot be postponed any longer.)

 

[Tijani]

Probably the Syrian army staged a coup.

Iran and Russia cannot do anything when the Syrians themselves do not want to fight. Iran's presence in Syria has long been limited to Assad's request.

In a case where the SAA didn't even fight one must conclude that there's collusion on the part of the higher echelons of power in both Syria and the other states involved. That's including Iran. Right now I don't understand why such a trade off has been made. Still waiting for comment from the Supreme Leader. Maybe this is a Afghanistan style compromise where the extremist are allowed to size power but have to recognize and accept some semblance of Iranian interest?

 

[mulj]

No, Iran’s biggest mistake was not forming an alliance with the Assad regime. Iran’s biggest mistake was knowingly and willingly owning up to that regime’s crimes. In Yemen, where this is not the case, Iran’s influence is still present despite the USA. Despite being battered, Iranian influence continues and will continue in Lebanon and Gaza. But it is difficult to say the same for Syria and Iraq.

You can call it like that also but that is just manifestation of wrong strategic assessment diving into syrian civil war because of potential consequence of losing land route to Hezbollah was big and haste blunder.
Lack of nuance and sectarian fear fueled by civil war clearly clouded their decision makers, they just did not comprehend how much assad regime is hated and never considered more neutral and nuanced approach.

 

[Nevsky]

if SAA doesn't want to fight, PMU and Iran alone can't fight for them

It wasn't about SAA tbh. But about the Syrian population. I really didn't expect this, but it looks like that everyone in Syria is happy(at least for now) that Assad is gone. I must admit that what happened was not about us, you, Turkey or the US. The people of Syria were too tired from Assad it seems.

 

[Mehdipersian]

In a case where the SAA didn't even fight one must conclude that there's collusion on the part of the higher echelons of power in both Syria and the other states involved. That's including Iran. Right now I don't understand why such a trade off has been made. Still waiting for comment from the Supreme Leader. Maybe this is a Afghanistan style compromise where the extremist are allowed to size power but have to recognize and accept some semblance of Iranian interest?

In a case where the SAA didn't even fight one must conclude that there's collusion on the part of the higher echelons of power in both Syria and the other states involved. That's including Iran. Right now I don't understand why such a trade off has been made. Still waiting for comment from the Supreme Leader. Maybe this is a Afghanistan style compromise where the extremist are allowed to size power but have to recognize and accept some semblance of Iranian interest?

Because Israel and the United States support terrorists in Syria, it is unlikely that Iran has agreed with them.

The Taliban is the enemy of the United States, and that is a different matter.

 

[Anza]

Soon.

Inshallah very soon.