Iranian Foreign & Resistance Front Strategy & Operations

[Nevsky]

Russia confirms Assad ordered a peaceful transfer of power and told SAA not to fight

And that he has left Syria he is probably in Russia already. They also said that Russia in in contact with the so called opposition and the bases are not under any threat.

 

[Persian Gulf]

And that he has left Syria he is probably in Russia already. They also said that Russia in in contact with the so called opposition and the bases are not under any threat.

will Russia keep its naval and airbase there?

in any event, Israeli airstrikes against Syria should turn HTS against them

 

[vmro]

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Syria is becoming another Libya, let Turkey deal with the costs of an occupation for a change

we should try to work with the new regime to preserve our interests only, nothing more

Why no one think about another regional power that is now in even worst position than Iran, and still can be very useful for Iran to neutralize efects of last unfavorable events...

KSA is now out of combination of their previous buddies, Israel has territorial aspirations to their land, usa doesn't need their oil, Qatar intention is to totally discredit them and take full market...

They are still influential in Lebanon sunni part, France and Iran have contacts about relations between Maronites and Hezbollah, Bibi told to Macron "shame on you"....

Lebanon is not lost, parts of Syria with Alawi majority also, there is a space to keep corridor Tehran-Beirut functional..

Crying is not very useful, Iran could left actual winners trapped in the Damascus endless calculations and eternal internal conflicts... And to reashape his coalition, but now not with poorest countries that spend Iranian money and resources...

Remember, KSA is in worse position than Iran, there are alredy mutual ideas, they canceled some military deals with usa and are aware of bad conditions...

With smart and simple decisions, Iran could end this contest in the better way than previous one...

 

[Nevsky]

will Russia keep its naval and airbase there?

Well, hard to say. I remember that I watched a TV report from the naval base as a kid, it has to be somewhere around 2010-2013, cant remember right, back than there were like 2 trucks and a few soldiers in the base and one of them said that the local population is giving them fruits etc, the point was that the base is useless.

Now most of the Russian think-tanks are saying that the base is an important logistical hub for the Russian operations in Africa. And the only way to replace it is with Iranian help. Via Caspian Sea and than Iran. So I guess they will prefer to keep it, but I doubt that the HTS will agree. Will see in the coming days I guess.

 

[Immortals]

Iran's interest in Syria can be just a logistical route to Hezbollah, there are ways to try to preserve that.

LOL.

Yes, please go send your Almas and Katuyshas to Hezbollah again. I’m sure Israel won’t notice where Hezbollah buries them. And I’m sure Hezbollah will be glad to fire them next time Iran is angry, but too scared to retaliate at Israel. I’m sure the Lebanese will love it when another village gets leveled in response and another high rise gets destroyed in Beruit with women and children inside.

Hezbollah is done for at least a decade. Even if by some miracle it got back to Nasrallah era strength, it won’t unlikely to go to war for Iran ever again. Lebanon and even the Shiites have had it. Sunnis and Christian’s have had it. Nasrallah knew this, that’s why he hadn’t gone to war for 17 years despite all the provocations. Lebanon is a borderline failed state economically. It’s dangerous situation.

In the end, everyone’s country got destroyed so war stays away from Iran’s borders. So our fellow Iranians can go to sleep at night safe and sound (but starving and broke). But don’t worry surely one of these days Israel will slip on a banana peel and collapse.

But look on the bright side, Iran sent $300 dollars + $8000 to Lebanon families who lost everything.

So no hard feelings….right?

 

[Tijani]

You know why Assad fell in less than 2 weeks? Because he had no economy. 90% of the country lived in poverty. In Northern Syria they used the Turkish Lira because Syrian currency was worthless.

Arab Monarchs wouldnt help with reconstruction aid without strings attached. Europeans wouldn’t either. Americans wouldn’t either.

The Cesar sanctions killed Syria.There was no prospect of improvement.

Iran couldn’t fix Syrian economy, its broke. Russia couldn’t fix Syrian economy, it doesn’t have the money either.

The solution was simple, Assad had to go. He was nothing after the war, just a guy that answered to Russia and Iran. A guy with no real power anymore. A guy with no demolished country. Just a guy that would get bombed by Israel every other week

Why would SAA fight for THAT Post-War Assad? For what? To live in poverty for the rest of their lives? Even cooking oil was too expensive in Syria. People lived in darkness in some areas. Iran had to send tankers of free gasoline and oil when times got really bad in the capital. And Israel knew and would attack those tankers and it got so bad that Russian warships escorted them in the Mediterranean.

In the final days as a desperate attempt they raised SAA wages by 50%. Too little and too late, the military realized what the people realized probably long time ago….country has no future under Assad, Russia, and Iran.

The world runs on the Dollar and Euro. Not the Ruble and Toman.

Assad bet on the wrong horse back in 2000’s.

You have valid arguments. The Arab tribes are difficult to work with and normal people cannot be expected to see the whole picture. The syrian population have shown themselves to care very little for the wellbeing of the state and it's institutions. They were not willing to fight! It's hardly surprising considering that there is very little of national identity.
I still adamantly believe in the resistance of against the zionist West colonial rule over most of world. No one expected it to for free. In this struggle there will be losses and some victories. Blows will landed, that's the whole point of resisting aggression. I am still assessing the situation and will be waiting for official response from the Supreme Leader before concluding whether this is one those losses. If so then it is IMHO one that will have very great consequences for all of West Asia for the foreseeable future. I for one will consider it one of the greatest losses. Since the loss of the great commander Soleimani things have been difficult for us who wholly support the resistance against western hegemony. I for one will continue to patiently persevere.

 

[Immortals]

Instead of trying to smuggle arms to Hezbollah, a smarter way would be to teach Hezbollah personnel to make the critical Iranian tech such as missiles, rockets and the air defence SAM+Loitering Missile hybrid weapons so that Hezbollah can mass produce it locally(at underground hidden facilities).

Also, teach Hezbollah some scientific engineering skills so they can have their own Tech R&D department to research Electronic Warfare, Laser Weapons, SAMs, MANPADs, and Next-Generation Anti-Tank Missiles and Next-Generation Long-Range Mortars with Anti-Personnel Warheads.

With an Indigenous Production going on, Hezbollah wouldn't need anymore resupply from Iran and be able to be self-sufficient in resisting Israel.

"Give a man a fish and he can only eat once, but teach him to fish and he can eat fishes anytime he wants by fishing it himself."

Uhhh We already did teach them.

The faculties got destroyed. In Syria and Lebanon. Hezbollah even had its own airfield on the border for arms shipments to arrive.

It would be best to not point out obvious things. The “why not build it in Lebanon” route was already undertaken years ago. It doesn’t matter when Israel can either bomb it or do a commando raid.

Also, teach Hezbollah some scientific engineering skills so they can have their own Tech R&D department to research Electronic Warfare, Laser Weapons, SAMs, MANPADs, and Next-Generation Anti-Tank Missiles and Next-Generation Long-Range Mortars with Anti-Personnel Warheads.

Anything else? Maybe teach them how to get to Space? Cure cancer? Solve nuclear fusion?

 

[vmro]

LOL.

Yes, please go send your Almas and Katuyshas to Hezbollah again. I’m sure Israel won’t notice where Hezbollah buries them. And I’m sure Hezbollah will be glad to fire them next time Iran is angry, but too scared to retaliate at Israel. I’m sure the Lebanese will love it when another village gets leveled in response and another high rise gets destroyed in Beruit with women and children inside.

Hezbollah is done for at least a decade. Even if by some miracle it got back to Nasrallah era strength, it won’t unlikely to go to war for Iran ever again. Lebanon and even the Shiites have had it. Sunnis and Christian’s have had it. Nasrallah knew this, that’s why he hadn’t gone to war for 17 years despite all the provocations. Lebanon is a borderline failed state economically. It’s dangerous situation.

In the end, everyone’s country got destroyed so war stays away from Iran’s borders. So our fellow Iranians can go to sleep at night safe and sound (but starving and broke). But don’t worry surely one of these days Israel will slip on a banana peel and collapse.

But look on the bright side, Iran sent $300 dollars + $8000 to Lebanon families who lost everything.

So no hard feelings….right?

No no no...Lebanese don't want to be new Gaza or west Bank, all of them...Of you think that Maronites will accept Israeli occupation for the sake of peace and being Zionia’s slaves, think twice... btw, idf is only one in all this clashes that is destroying churches, even HTS avoid to attack it...

 

[Persian Gulf]

LOL.

Yes, please go send your Almas and Katuyshas to Hezbollah again. I’m sure Israel won’t notice where Hezbollah buries them. And I’m sure Hezbollah will be glad to fire them next time Iran is angry, but too scared to retaliate at Israel. I’m sure the Lebanese will love it when another village gets leveled in response and another high rise gets destroyed in Beruit with women and children inside.

Hezbollah is done for at least a decade. Even if by some miracle it got back to Nasrallah era strength, it won’t unlikely to go to war for Iran ever again. Lebanon and even the Shiites have had it. Sunnis and Christian’s have had it. Nasrallah knew this, that’s why he hadn’t gone to war for 17 years despite all the provocations. Lebanon is a borderline failed state economically. It’s dangerous situation.

In the end, everyone’s country got destroyed so war stays away from Iran’s borders. So our fellow Iranians can go to sleep at night safe and sound (but starving and broke). But don’t worry surely one of these days Israel will slip on a banana peel and collapse.

But look on the bright side, Iran sent $300 dollars + $8000 to Lebanon families who lost everything.

So no hard feelings….right?

Israel learned from 2006 mistakes

Hezbollah can learn from 2024 mistakes (not using weapons in time)

either way, it is still in our interests to have a strong Hezbollah on Israel's border than a weak one. we can resupply via Russia's airbase or a deal with HTS for ground resupplies.

Hezbollah fought for Gaza, not Iran. I doubt Iran wanted them to fight at all.

 

[Tornado]

sunnis and shias will fight together, will have no choice, against the kabal

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[vmro]

sunnis and shias will fight together, will have no choice, against the kabal

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And two major Muslim powers, KSA as sunni leaders, still, and Shia Iran would have big ideological and symbolic impact, far more than Turkey/Qatar Siam twins in any case... Iran could develop own economic situation, and with Russia this trio alone is more important than OPEC...

 

[Immortals]

Israel learned from 2006 mistakes

Hezbollah can learn from 2024 mistakes (not using weapons in time)

either way, it is still in our interests to have a strong Hezbollah on Israel's border than a weak one. we can resupply via Russia's airbase or a deal with HTS for ground resupplies.

Hezbollah fought for Gaza, not Iran. I doubt Iran wanted them to fight at all.

If I was Trump, I’d call Iran on its nuclear bluff. I’d say enrich to 90%, hell pull out of NPT, go ahead and even build the bomb.

But here’s what will happen: No one will trade with you, even Iraq and Turkey, our submarines will sink every oil tanker in your inventory as they travel. Soon you won’t even have oil tankers to load oil onto, cruise missiles will knock out all your power plants and refineries. Your people won’t even have gas to fill their cars.

Oh you are going to call your friends?

Let me dial them for you:

Hamas? Dead

Hezbollah? Out of service

Assad? …..Whose that?

Iraq? Al-Sistani says they can’t come to the phone right now

Yemen? Oh no some ancient C-802s what ever will the U.S. Navy do?

Now go ahead and fire those two nukes you just made and see what happens.

 

[Persian Gulf]

If I was Trump, I’d call Iran on its nuclear bluff. I’d say enrich to 90%, hell pull out of NPT, go ahead and even build the bomb.

But here’s what will happen: No one will trade with you, even Iraq and Turkey, our submarines will sink every oil tanker in your inventory as they travel. Soon you won’t even have oil tankers to load oil onto, cruise missiles will knock out all your power plants and refineries. Your people won’t even have gas to fill their cars.

Oh you are going to call your friends?

Let me dial them for you:

Hamas? Dead

Hezbollah? Out of service

Assad? …..Whose that?

Iraq? Al-Sistani says they can’t come to the phone right now

Yemen? Oh no some ancient C-802s what ever will the U.S. Navy do?

Now go ahead and fire those two nukes you just made and see what happens.

in reality, Trump will not allow Iran to develop nuclear weapons in the first place. which suits IRI as it has no desire to build them. a capitulation deal is the most likely outcome, the steps are already being taken (declared openness to speaking directly with Trump, build up of 60% HEU production)

 

[vmro]

If I was Trump, I’d call Iran on its nuclear bluff. I’d say enrich to 90%, hell pull out of NPT, go ahead and even build the bomb.

But here’s what will happen: No one will trade with you, even Iraq and Turkey, our submarines will sink every oil tanker in your inventory as they travel. Soon you won’t even have oil tankers to load oil onto, cruise missiles will knock out all your power plants and refineries. Your people won’t even have gas to fill their cars.

Oh you are going to call your friends?

Let me dial them for you:

Hamas? Dead

Hezbollah? Out of service

Assad? …..Whose that?

Iraq? Al-Sistani says they can’t come to the phone right now

Yemen? Oh no some ancient C-802s what ever will the U.S. Navy do?

Now go ahead and fire those two nukes you just made and see what happens.

1. That 2 nukes are enough for tiny Israel to forget similar thoughts on Iran..
2. Hezbollah??? Good old blackmail, you want turkish corridor Ankara-Baku, we want Tehran-Beirut...
3. Trump??? Wtf with him, pentagon will not start war with Iran, they ignored him previously, now they alredy inform to not play such game....

4. Trading??? With countries that are worthy to trade with, f..k usa, f..k eu... ksa and Iran signed deal with China, BRICS...

Iran has chance to prove its chessmaster ability...

I am optimistic about this, because IRI and KSA already have serious contacts and coordination... first, but also crucial step...

 

[Garcia Sea]

It amazes me that people still think Iran is safe and negotiable when so many countries that have been hostile to Israel have been destroyed so quickly.

The US and Israel hesitated to invade Iran for fear that in the event of all-out war, Hezbollah, supplied by Syria, might rain missiles down on them.
Now Syria is in Israel's hands and Hezbollah's destruction is inevitable.
There is no longer any reason to hesitate to invade the Iranian mainland.
They must be calculating that they can dismantle Iran in no time by using the same methods that worked in Syria.

Israel's seemingly slow invasion of Lebanon was merely a preparatory offensive to reduce Hezbollah's strength for a surprise attack on Syria.
It is obvious now.
I am sure that if they were serious, IDF tanks would have flooded Beirut in no time.

There can be no halfway negotiations.
Iran's only realistic options are either to surrender unconditionally and accept becoming a U.S. colony, or to go nuclear and pursue the path of all-out confrontation.