Iranian President Raisi and Foreign Minister Abdollahian die in helicopter crash in East Azerbaijan

It was his last year, last 4 years

He was surely better than the last one but not the best or any superhero


They are all 60ish years old besides the pilot
I thought FM was younger but after hard landing (best case) who knows how is their physical condition.
 
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I'm not doing the medium or spreading fear, but what would happen if they are found dead? Are there replacements that the people could vote to immediately replace them?

Yeah it’s an FM and a figurehead President. It’s not like we lost the equivalent of Putin or Xi. I think out of respect for the FM, I won’t comment on my thoughts of his performance. Needless to say alternatives will be found, his deputy is a very sharp individual and a technocrat.

There will be elections in 2 months, likely the same or similar candidates to the last one. Someone wins and will come in and replace the president’s former cabinet most likely and install his own people just like every election.

I mean Israel goes thru elections like every year it seems like with their messed up parliamentary system.

The implications to Raisi is more that it sets up Mojtaba and others to succeed the Supreme Leader or they may decide to do a “Council of Supreme” And just have a few people rather than concentrate power or they may just remove the position and elevate the Supreme National Security council alongside IRGC generals as the decision making body.

Lots of questions in the coming months and years about the ramifications of what happened to Raisi.
 
Iranian media

President of the Iranian Red Crescent:
- We are heading to a place where rescue teams reported that the smell of fuel was emanating
- The place from which the smell of fuel is emanating is identical to the announced location of the accident scene

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Yeah it’s an FM and a figurehead President. It’s not like we lost the equivalent of Putin or Xi. I think out of respect for the FM, I won’t comment on my thoughts of his performance. Needless to say alternatives will be found, his deputy is a very sharp individual and a technocrat.

There will be elections in 2 months, likely the same or similar candidates to the last one. Someone wins and will come in and replace the president’s former cabinet most likely and install his own people just like every election.

I mean Israel goes thru elections like every year it seems like with their messed up parliamentary system.

The implications to Raisi is more that it sets up Montana and others to succeed the Supreme Leader or they may decide to do a “Council of Supreme” And just have a few people rather than concentrate power or they may just remove the position and elevate the Supreme National Security council alongside IRGC generals as the decision making body.

Lots of questions in the coming months and years about the ramifications of what happened to Raisi.
The Islamic Republic is an ideology, it has nothing to do with certain person in Iran. Each person is quickly replaced. This is less understood by foreigners
 
Iranian media

President of the Iranian Red Crescent:
- We are heading to a place where rescue teams reported that the smell of fuel was emanating
- The place from which the smell of fuel is emanating is identical to the announced location of the accident scene

This doesn’t make sense if you knew where the location was then what have you been doing the past 14 hours?
 
Do we know if assassination/sabotage is ruled out or considered ? Iranian FM was one of better FM's out there. Sad loss if true.
 
This doesn’t make sense if you knew where the location was then what have you been doing the past 14 hours?

Point scoring that's all, if it was true then they would have informed the Turks and scanned the area using Akinci.
 
The drone is scanning an area with 8km X 3km dimensions.
 
The Islamic Republic is an ideology, it has nothing to do with people in Iran. Each person is quickly replaced. This is less understood by foreigners

IR of Iran has only had 1 other transition of power (Khomeini to Khamenai) in its entire history.

Given the IR is made up of many [often times] competing factions, the SL position is the most coveted spot for each respective group’s faction to achieve their long term goals and comes around very infrequently.

Just look at Saudi Arabia how different internally it became when MBS jumped the line and circumvented the transition process. Before it was just a long list of old dying kings keeping the same conservative viewpoints.

If Iran has the SL position taken by a reformist (Hassan Khomeini or Rouhani) that can spell disaster for the Republic. Much like the last couple Soviet Union presidents before 1991.

And there is no guarantee that whoever becomes SL could match the political prowess and strategic foresight of the current Rahbar. Great leaders don’t exactly fall out of the sky.
 

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