As I've been saying for months. Any Israeli operation in Lebanon will be centered around a rapid ground invasion in order to reduce range of Hezbollah rockets and denying Hezbollah the ability to deploy them in their intended capacity.
It's not going to be three-four weeks of airstrikes, during which Hezbollah can deploy lots of firepower. They can't stop Hezbollah rockets that way. Instead they will target Lebanese state and civilian infrastructure heavily, to put pressure on the state and the people of Lebanon. While rapidly deploy ground forces to distract Hezbollah and deny them ability to deploy their capacity.
This means Hezbollah could even struggle to heavily damage the north. Let alone the Israeli center, which is what needs to be leveled in order to deter Israel.
Israel will immediately try creating buzzer zone up to 15km into Lebanon, pushing Hezbollah short/medium range rockets out of range of more significant cities in the north. And trying to make it extremely lopsided against Lebanon to destroy Lebanese morale.
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Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant threatened Hezbollah on Wednesday with a
potential ground invasion of Lebanon that would “be rapid, surprising and decisive,” Israeli media reported.
“We can swiftly shift our main effort from the south to the north in an instant,” Gallant said during a visit to the northern border, according to the Yedioth Ahronoth newspaper.
‘We can swiftly shift our main effort from the south to the north in an instant,” Yoav Gallant says in visit to northern border - Anadolu Ajansı
www.aa.com.tr