Lebanon-Israel War | 2023-present

[hyperman]

His views on the blunders of US foreign policy are gaining increasing acceptance. The Syrian civil war was primarily an American operation called Timber Sycamore with GCC adding their resources to it.

Covert Action in Irregular Wars: Unraveling the Case of Timber Sycamore in Syria (2012-2017)

Editor’s Note: this article is being republished with the permission of Small Wars Journal as part of a republishing arrangement between IWI and SWJ. The original article was published on 03.04.2025 and is available here. Abstract The Central Intelligence Agency ran a covert operation in Syria...

irregularwarfare.org

No it wasn't, the groups under Timber Sycamore were not dominant factions, the dominant factions were the Ones fighting under Jabhat Al Nusra, Nusra literally fought and disarmed and took the weapons of groups that were US funded, I've been following this war for about 15 years in great depth, from all the groups, who funds which groups, what each groups alignment and history is, etc etc.

The GCC(and thats a vast term, for example the Saudis, Qatar and the Emiratis were not on the same page in Syria) funded groups were also not the dominant factions, outside of Ahrar Al Sham and Al Zenk, which Saudi funded, and both groups were hostile to Al Nusra, which eventually fought and took those groups over. The Idea that the US or the GCC or Israel engineered this is incorrect. The UAE was literally mediating between the US and Assad on sanctions relief and normalization in exchange for Assad cutting off Iran.

 

[hyperman]

I really wish Hezbollah was still in the war like Houthi's are

those twin rack Almas Anti-tanks missiles really devastated the IDF on the border regions

anyone remember the one that went straight into the back of the Israeli military people carrier while everyone was inside ?

they had drone footage right over Haifa port and even knocked out the Iron Dome batteries

their comms were compromised and unfortunately they never controlled the ladder of escalation

but the comms was the real issue

These guys went in half heartedly and never bothered to actually use their full arsenal to fight Israel and in the end they are getting dismantled.

Oh we can't use the missiles otherwise Israel will bomb beirut, but then Israel bomed beirut regardless. You saw the Israelis call their bluff over the Haniyah assassination when Iran did nothing, that emboldened them to kill Nasrallah and when they saw nothing from iran, they went with the full ground invasion.

 

[Watandar]

No it wasn't, the groups under Timber Sycamore were not dominant factions, the dominant factions were the Ones fighting under Jabhat Al Nusra, Nusra literally fought and disarmed and took the weapons of groups that were US funded, I've been following this war for about 15 years in great depth, from all the groups, who funds which groups, what each groups alignment and history is, etc etc.

The GCC(and thats a vast term, for example the Saudis, Qatar and the Emiratis were not on the same page in Syria) funded groups were also not the dominant factions, outside of Ahrar Al Sham and Al Zenk, which Saudi funded, and both groups were hostile to Al Nusra, which eventually fought and took those groups over. The Idea that the US or the GCC or Israel engineered this is incorrect. The UAE was literally mediating between the US and Assad on sanctions relief and normalization in exchange for Assad cutting off Iran.

US funding and weapons from 2012 onwards was what supercharged the conflict and transformed into the massive war it became. Other actors then got involved in response like Iran/Russia. It was similar script to what happened in Afghanistan in the 1980s, with the US/GCC/Pakistan supporting various factions in Afghanistan, and the Soviets supporting their Afghan communist allies. More details to fill in the blanks will emerge as the years go by.

 

[Musings]

Stay on topic

 

[hyperman]

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Iran making deals with Israel.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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Iran making deals with Israel.

only 2 points for this weak troll attempt I am afraid

 

[Persian Gulf]

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[hyperman]

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What constituency did Hezbollah win in, that is didn't win in before? lol its not about winning more or winning less, essentially everyone knows how everyone in Lebanon is aligned, so the only shifts possible are either more shia voting for Amal than Hezbollah or more Amal votes than Hezbollah, and so far there is no evidence of hezbollah taking more votes from previously Amal held constituencies or vice versa.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Hezbollah recon drone flew over Haifa and successfully returned to Lebanon this month

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worth noting north Israeli settlements near the Lebanon border remain evacuated and the settlers have not yet returned

 

[hyperman]

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Israel continuously bombing Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon, I remember when "Resistance" people were mocking and gloating over Syria being bombed and saying its "Weak", or "zio agents just letting it happen", they don't keep the same energy in Lebanon, now that Syria has quieted down and Lebanon has heated up.

 

[hyperman]

Hezbollah recon drone flew over Haifa and successfully returned to Lebanon this month

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worth noting north Israeli settlements near the Lebanon border remain evacuated and the settlers have not yet returned

Let us know when they actually hit an Israeli. All those Ballistic Missiles and "100,000 rocket Salvos" for nothing. Just one sides Israeli assassinations or Hezbollah commanders, completely unanswered by Hezbollah, their PMU best friends and their velayat e faqih overlords in Tehran.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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Israel continuously bombing Hezbollah in Southern Lebanon, I remember when "Resistance" people were mocking and gloating over Syria being bombed and saying its "Weak", or "zio agents just letting it happen", they don't keep the same energy in Lebanon, now that Syria has quieted down and Lebanon has heated up.

when you learn where Baalbek is and stop crying about the Israeli-turk imposed Al Qaeda regime in Syria then we can think about taking your incessant crying and trolling about Iran seriously

until then, no dice.

 

[hyperman]

when you learn where Baalbek is and stop crying about the Israeli-turk imposed Al Qaeda regime in Syria then we can think about taking your incessant crying and trolling about Iran seriously

until then, no dice.

First off why do you assume That I said Baalbek is southern Lebanon. My reference to southern lebanon is the totality of recent strikes, most of which have been in Southern Lebanon. See Map of Strikes. I just linked the video as that was the latest Israeli airstrike video.

Lebanon news on live map - lebanon.liveuamap.com

Explore Lebanon local news alerts & today's headlines geolocated on live map on website or application. Focus on politics, military news and security alerts

lebanon.liveuamap.com

Secondly, Baalbek is still very much part of Hezbollah's area of operation in the Shia areas of Lebanon.



Lastly lets point out that Syrians are overall quite happy/supportive with the new govt, so this idea of disparaging them is moot, as you don't came more about Syria and Syrian interests, than Syrians themselves. And If anyone was so interested in talking and obcessing about Al Qaeda, they you should start with Iran, considering the entire Al Qaeda Senior leadership is in Iran, including its leader Saif al-Adel. Especially post Al Zawahiri.

https://www.jstor.org/stable/resrep55431?seq=1

Unlikely Alliance: Iran's Secretive Relationship with Al-Qaeda | Brookings

Regional tensions in the Middle East have created a strong incentive for Iran to cooperate with terrorist groups such as al Qaeda, but internal politics within both Iran and al Qaeda are likely to limit their closeness, writes Daniel Byman.

www.brookings.edu

 

[Sultan Baybars]

I agree.

Hamas is far more damaged and decimated than Hezbollah and in far more dire condition but still they dont give a up and fight.

I understand the concerns for IDF airstrikes, but NO WAY the IDF can flatten Libanon like they do with Gaza. No way.

Gaza has no international backers and no Western support. Gaza is no sovereign nation, just civillians in a open concentration camp. They are left alone.

Lebanon is a different story. A independant sovereign nation with a UN-seat. A country with a great Christian minority and hundreds of churches. They have connections with the Orthodox and the Catholic Church worldwide.

They have former colonial French backing and a big lobby in France. They have great diplomats. They have a army, a airport and a port, all working. They have a large amount of UNIFIL troops stationed there, which was blocking IDF movements the last time.

They are connected with international trade; NO WAY Israel can put a blockade on Lebanon for food or electricity. NO WAY Israel can massacre Lebanon. NO WAY Israel can save herself from this.

Israel cant even dodge the international pressure when they attack helpless Gaza, let alone when they start attacking Lebanon.

Hezbollah is giving away the opportunity for to long.

Ansarullah cant do it alone. The Gazans need rest and that rest comes only with a Norther front. The IDF always fears a Northern front.

A Northern front who delivers rocket barrages and Israeli bodybags would break Netanyahu’s knees and exhaust and outsource Israel because they need more and more ammunition.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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