Lebanon-Israel War | 2023-present

[Shags101]

I think Iran and Middle Eastern countries should realistically prepare for a Nuclear War with Israel. There's no telling what a mad dog would do when you injure it too much, so if Hezbollah and Iran wants to target Israel's critical infrastructure, ensure MAD systems in place or the ability to retaliate with own WMD within a week.

Nuclear weapons are for deterrence I prefer my family or friends living in Palestine not be effected by nuclear fallout or a direct hit

 

[Falcon29]

What have the Syrians done to fight the idf in this past few years nothing and that’s not a jab just being honest .Houthis get an A for effort I definitely guarantee, Iraqis again A for effort but they have disappeared, fighters in Gaza no matter their affiliations are lions.

Hezbollah fought fiercely they got battered they needed to regroup they acted like an army when they are supposed to operate from the shadows not openly you think they threw the white flag I think they needed to go back to their roots and plan their next move even if it takes 10 years but I don’t think we are going to have to wait 72 hours for the next move.

Seriously tone it down there are many Jewish people who are for Palestinians and I know quite a few that are if we want to say to take on military assets worldwide there are plenty to find many in many friendly Arab nations to Israel from Morocco to uae

The Jewish community is actively exterminating the Palestinian people and trying to end Palestinian identity in its entirety. They're engaging in something very dangerous that in the 80's would have triggered a very violent series of tit for tat attacks. Only reason it isn't is because Palestinains are consciously restraining themselves to allow good people of the world to hold the Jewish genocidal entity accountable , sanction it, and dismantle the Israeli army.

They just murdered 28 Palestinians in Lebanon a few days ago. For the sake of killing.

If the world doesn't stop these evil demonic autistic retards then the Palestinians will have to take measures to defend themselves. And Muslims will need to commit to Jihad against all the Jewish people. There aren't good Jewish people that whole terrorist community believes in massacring Palestinians wherever they are and actively seek to exterminate our people.

The West enabling this Jewish Autistic rampage is very dangerous one day people will explode and start targeting everything Israeli at the very minimum across the entire MENA region.

Arabs believe in God and mercy they aren't autistic terrorists like the Jews. They turn the cheek for a long time until things have gone too far and zero hour arrives.

This is the reality of what will happen if the West keeps enabling the Jews. I'm not angry or making threats on my behalf I'm simply an analyst that can see what will come in the late 2020's if Jewish people mental crash out continues to be armed and funded by the West.

As for Syria, those are paramilitary factions their experience in asymmetric warfare exists and they are motivated and creative. I'm sure they're closely watching the Israeli army, studying Israeli army tactics and Israeli armor to be able to adapt against the threat.

Hezbollah did not achieve anything exceptional against the Israeli army since 2006. That's a legitimate performance criticism of them emotions aside. If you or anyone emotionally feel compelled to Hezbollah I have nothing against that. I take emotions aside. Strictly looking at it from performance analysis they have been severely regressed militarily.

Others haven't.

Ansarallah has grown and has a local weapons industry. They can modify their own ballistic missiles, protect these factories and bury them underground. They can threaten global trade.

Syrian factions can get creative, quickly mobilize, and they toppled a regime. It took many years before the regime collapsed in a few days but those are achievements. Syrian factions were regularly under attack for 13 years straight and proved to be able to adapt, recruit new members, and organize offensives.

Hamas is self explanatory and outright incredible what they were capable of and how creative they were despite being in the worst condition of every paramilitary force and being under the most heavily enforced and longest blockade of human history.

Show me what Hezbollah achieved in this time. Nothing. They're lazy and incompetent under Nasrallah. Under Imad Mughienyeh they were very effective and creative. He was the reason for their success in 2006 war. Unfortunately Iran and Hezbollah corrupt chiefs that line their pockets didn't like him and saw him as a threat so they killed him.

 

[Persian Gulf]

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Israel is preparing for a major escalation in its war against Lebanon by the end of the year or early 2026

Hezbollah will probably be passive and sit and wait for Israel to strike, like Iran

 

[Persian Gulf]

Hezbollah has a greater understanding of the nature of its confrontation with Israel: the era of large-scale missile exchanges is considered useless and effectively over unless the situation reaches a non-return option. Even the eventual assassination of its newly appointed Secretary General (Sheikh Naeim Qassem) or any senior decision-makers would not automatically push the organisation into a retaliatory missile campaign. Hezbollah’s leadership has determined that long-range and precision missiles will only be used in extremist if Israel deliberately targets mass civilians. This shift represents a major doctrinal transformation. The organisation’s patience is now explicitly tied to the protection of civilian life and the avoidance of a Gaza-style destruction scenario in Lebanon. Israel understands this red line clearly. It also knows that Hezbollah has now prioritised building a defensive strategy designed to clash with any Israeli ground forces attempting to seize or occupy villages in south Lebanon, rather than engaging in open missile warfare.

Hezbollah’s Post-Deterrence Strategy: Why Assassinations Will Not Trigger a Missile War with Israel

By Elijah J. Magnier Hezbollah has a greater understanding of the nature of its confrontation with Israel: the era of large-scale missile exchanges is considered useless and effectively over unless the situation reaches a non-return option. Even the eventual assassination of its newly appointed...

ejmagnier.com

it makes sense. Hezbollah's rockets were mostly useless against an enemy with powerful air defences and the ability to deliver disproportionately massive blows against it.

they don't want to turn Lebanon into destroyed ruins and irreversible destruction of all forms of life for 100+ years like in Gaza. sensible.

 

[Falcon29]

Hezbollah has a greater understanding of the nature of its confrontation with Israel: the era of large-scale missile exchanges is considered useless and effectively over unless the situation reaches a non-return option. Even the eventual assassination of its newly appointed Secretary General (Sheikh Naeim Qassem) or any senior decision-makers would not automatically push the organisation into a retaliatory missile campaign. Hezbollah’s leadership has determined that long-range and precision missiles will only be used in extremist if Israel deliberately targets mass civilians. This shift represents a major doctrinal transformation. The organisation’s patience is now explicitly tied to the protection of civilian life and the avoidance of a Gaza-style destruction scenario in Lebanon. Israel understands this red line clearly. It also knows that Hezbollah has now prioritised building a defensive strategy designed to clash with any Israeli ground forces attempting to seize or occupy villages in south Lebanon, rather than engaging in open missile warfare.

Hezbollah’s Post-Deterrence Strategy: Why Assassinations Will Not Trigger a Missile War with Israel

By Elijah J. Magnier Hezbollah has a greater understanding of the nature of its confrontation with Israel: the era of large-scale missile exchanges is considered useless and effectively over unless the situation reaches a non-return option. Even the eventual assassination of its newly appointed...

ejmagnier.com

it makes sense. Hezbollah's rockets were mostly useless against an enemy with powerful air defences and the ability to deliver disproportionately massive blows against it.

they don't want to turn Lebanon into destroyed ruins and irreversible destruction of all forms of life for 100+ years like in Gaza. sensible.

This is a cope. Iran trying to milk Hezbollah as leverage for negotiations because it's so scared of coming under attack again as it doesn't have many missiles left to fight back against Israel.

Israel killed maybe 800 Lebanese civilians in one day back in October 2024. It attacked everything there was to attack. You get destroyed and don't destroy back. Because the enemy has psychologically manipulated you badly.

Hamas punched the terrorist Jews with a violent uppercut to their face, burned down the Gaza Envelope. The Jews are afraid of living there again. They only stay there temporarily. All their long term living goals have changed. Hamas didn't want Gaza ruined but allies and Arabs , Muslims all abandoned Gaza refused to stand behind Gaza in any way, refused to draw red lines for Gaza. Gaza got destroyed because the Arab and Muslim cowards that behaved like Hamas did 9/11 and begged the West for forgiveness, told them sure go ahead burn Gaza. It's not because of Hamas.

This is not the case for the north life is normal there. Hezbollah is predictable just wants to survive politically and socially and be left alone. Netanyahu isn't escalating because he's mostly just attacking Lebanon and pretending there's a war there to continue obstructing his trial. As a result he will always limit strikes. Do a more major one a year apart. But will quickly cease and not commit to a ground invasion.

Iran likes this equation because it thinks Hezbollah existing is leverage for it . Iranian leadership is just as stupid as Hezbollah leadership. If they established deterrence early on this axis would have been truly feared.

 

[Falcon29]

And I guarantee you Hezbollah nor Iran won't make any preparations. Hezbollah will perform like they had no idea it was coming. Someone will say they're barely hitting back to spare Lebanon all while Lebanon gets hit with thousands of airstrikes.

..
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Katz: If Hezbollah does not relinquish its weapons by the end of the year, we will act forcefully again in Lebanon.

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[Kyussis]

This is a cope. Iran trying to milk Hezbollah as leverage for negotiations because it's so scared of coming under attack again as it doesn't have many missiles left to fight back against Israel.

Israel killed maybe 800 Lebanese civilians in one day back in October 2024. It attacked everything there was to attack. You get destroyed and don't destroy back. Because the enemy has psychologically manipulated you badly.

Hamas punched the terrorist Jews with a violent uppercut to their face, burned down the Gaza Envelope. The Jews are afraid of living there again. They only stay there temporarily. All their long term living goals have changed. Hamas didn't want Gaza ruined but allies and Arabs , Muslims all abandoned Gaza refused to stand behind Gaza in any way, refused to draw red lines for Gaza. Gaza got destroyed because the Arab and Muslim cowards that behaved like Hamas did 9/11 and begged the West for forgiveness, told them sure go ahead burn Gaza. It's not because of Hamas.

This is not the case for the north life is normal there. Hezbollah is predictable just wants to survive politically and socially and be left alone. Netanyahu isn't escalating because he's mostly just attacking Lebanon and pretending there's a war there to continue obstructing his trial. As a result he will always limit strikes. Do a more major one a year apart. But will quickly cease and not commit to a ground invasion.

Iran likes this equation because it thinks Hezbollah existing is leverage for it . Iranian leadership is just as stupid as Hezbollah leadership. If they established deterrence early on this axis would have been truly feared.

You are doing a fantastic job of alienating the only Muslims that have sacrifices life and limb to defend Palestine. You are such an ingrate.

 

[Falcon29]

Some members want to steer discussion into one of emotional nature.

Their mindset is same mindset of Hezbollah and Iranian leadership that failed to establish deterrence.

Now as a result an attack on Lebanon is being telegraphed ahead of time. Hezbollah doesn't know how to fight back and doesn't have will to fight back.

Iranian Supreme leader is putting out meaningless statements saying Iran beat Israel and US in 12 day war. Also essentially indirectly saying they won't help Hezbollah because they won the war and proved they're a regional power.

After Lebanon they'll turn to focus on Gaza again.

AoR leadership incompetence and cowardice is reason we are at this point.

 

[Falcon29]

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[Kyussis]

Some members want to steer discussion into one of emotional nature.

Their mindset is same mindset of Hezbollah and Iranian leadership that failed to establish deterrence.

Now as a result an attack on Lebanon is being telegraphed ahead of time. Hezbollah doesn't know how to fight back and doesn't have will to fight back.

Iranian Supreme leader is putting out meaningless statements saying Iran beat Israel and US in 12 day war. Also essentially indirectly saying they won't help Hezbollah because they won the war and proved they're a regional power.

After Lebanon they'll turn to focus on Gaza again.

AoR leadership incompetence and cowardice is reason we are at this point.

If Axis of Resistance are cowards, what are the 1.5 billion Sunnis surrounding occupied Palestine?

 

[Falcon29]

Hezbollah is falling into same traps. Listening to Iran and Israel.

Israel enforces a new equation on them because they refuse to make any effort to enforce an equation of their own.

It's just wait and do nothing. Try to wait it out. While Israel picks off its leaders and members. And eventually will do devastating attacks on their timing.

The only reason? Political leadership is scared to take initiative and aren't creative. And rather listen to Iran which tells them to absorb all hits because if you continue exist with vague capabilities it benefits Iran in that they won't turn their guns on us right away.

 

[Falcon29]

If Axis of Resistance are cowards, what are the 1.5 billion Sunnis surrounding occupied Palestine?

Sunnis aren't the axis of resistance. But the Sunnis in the axis of resistance were practically only ones being creative, standing up to Israel on consistent basis, and dealt Israel biggest blow of its lifetime. You guys were watching Sunni Gaza lead. Now that Gaza is sidelined , you are crumbling apart.

As far as I'm aware Israel is afraid to attack Egypt, Turkey or Saudi Arabia. When they do, you can then make judgement about how Sunnis will respond.

Now it would be nice if if you could stop bringing up 'Sunni' this and that whenever performance of AoR (internal matter) is brought up. Performance hindered by poor leadership and decision making as opposed to means.

 

[Watandar]

Sunnis aren't the axis of resistance. But the Sunnis in the axis of resistance were practically only ones being creative, standing up to Israel on consistent basis, and dealt Israel biggest blow of its lifetime. You guys were watching Sunni Gaza lead. Now that Gaza is sidelined , you are crumbling apart.

As far as I'm aware Israel is afraid to attack Egypt, Turkey or Saudi Arabia. When they do, you can then make judgement about how Sunnis will respond.

Now it would be nice if if you could stop bringing up 'Sunni' this and that whenever performance of AoR (internal matter) is brought up. Performance hindered by poor leadership and decision making as opposed to means.

Why would Israel attack its collaborators ? Turkey teamed up with Israel to tear apart Syria, Egypt has been its enforcer in Gaza, Saudis were part of GCC alliance that provided radar data and also shot down Iranian missiles headed towards Israel, among other adventures.

There are many other examples as well like the Gaza force being assembled to tackle Palestinian resistence.

You have a huge blind spot when it comes to Sunnis but attack the Shia day and night.

 

[Falcon29]

Hezbollah game plan is the same. Major assassination over weekend. Hezbollah says will do important speech on Friday. Thinking it deters Israel in some way. Israel does strikes before Friday. Empty warnings during Friday speeches. Never follows through on them in any way.

Israeli policy continues as is. Only reason they spare Hezbollah and Iranian regime is because they're beneficial to keep a divide in the region and beneficial for Netanyahu corruption trial.

 

[Falcon29]

Why would Israel attack its collaborators ? Turkey teamed up with Israel to tear apart Syria, Egypt has been its enforcer in Gaza, Saudis were part of GCC alliance that provided radar data and also shot down Iranian missiles headed towards Israel, among other adventures.

There are many other examples as well like the Gaza force being assembled to tackle Palestinian resistence.

You have a huge blind spot when it comes to Sunnis but attack the Shia day and night.

I don't take little kid delusions as reality. Calling these nations collobarators or enforcers of Israel is little kid delusional propaganda talk.

I'm sure US refuses to allow Egypt to develop ballistic missile program because it's a collaborator. Or refuses to sell it air to air missiles for its jets. Or militarily enforces Egypt's military activity in Sinai. Or destroy the Turkish Lira on purpose, or refuse to sell F35 to either Turkey or Saudi Arabia. Must mean they are collobarators.

I don't have soft spot for anybody. We are part of the AoR alliance as Gaza based Palestinains and going to criticize the alliance for what is pure incompetence , stubbornness, and cowardice that opened the appetite of the enemy against the entire alliance. And stupid anti-Sunni sectarianism like yours.