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How many people does TTP or BLA kill????
In a year it's into the hundreds
And we kill a few thousand TTP or BLA is response
We are a nation of 250 million, what effect does a few hundred deaths mostly of locals in the middle of nowhere have on the state and population at large?
The answer is NOTHING
The situation is difficult, not because of the terrorists who we can destroy
It's because the locals are COMPLICIT and we can't find out who is a local and who is a terrorist, the locals are the grass within which the snakes hide
And this will be a ongoing low-level situation maybe FOREVER, because the underlying tension is ethnic
The same with the BLA
However afghans behaviour has resulted in the REPEATED COLLAPSE of Afghanistan now
Millions of Afghans have been thrown out of Pakistan
The border closures and end of trade has resulted in massive economic pain for Afghan traders
Denial of ports and airports have resulted in major consequences for afghans
And now we even have a low level civil war in Afghanistan, which we can make worse to keep afghans busy
The attacks of terrorists we can absorb, but our response can be devastating
We have chosen to be muted , given afghans time, tried to trade and talk, nothing works with afghans and it's now time to punish them severely
Insurgencies don't have to take over to win. Their mere existense let alone the scale of attacks, Pakistan is facing is a win for them.
We have 40% of the country's landmass now unsafe for anyone working with the Pakistani state.
Few countries in the world except maybe some in Africa (Sudan-Somalia) have a worse internal security outlook than Pakistan.
The bleed by a thousand cuts will eventually break down an already fragile bankrupt state. No investment is coming to Pakistan.
Your assumptions about whole ethnicities and an ethnic war already point towards fractured future. Pakistan already has a bad history when it tries to corner whole ethnicities.
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