Pakistan Is Ending The Government's Power Monopoly Will It Work?

[_NOBODY_]

Pakistan Is Ending The Government's Power Monopoly. Will It Work?​

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For decades, the government was the only buyer of Pakistan's electricity. That's about to change: under CTBCM, industries can buy power directly from producers. The promise is cheaper electricity, higher exports, and fewer inefficiencies. But the first auction covers just 200 MW. In this episode of PowerPlay, we look at May's generation numbers, what broke the old system, and whether this one can actually work.

Thank you to Reon Energy for supporting Pakistan & Counting.

 

[hydrabadi_arab]

Next 5-6 years will continue to be pain in the ass because of CPEC IPPs debt. But by 2035 Pakistan can potentially provide cheapest electricity rates in the region.

Energy Source	FY 2025 (TWh)	FY 2025 Share (%)	FY 2035 (TWh)	FY 2035 Share (%)
Hydropower	~35.8 TWh	28%	86.0 TWh	49.0%
Nuclear	~20.5 TWh	16%	33.0 TWh	18.8%
Solar (Grid-scale)	~2.6 TWh	2%	20.0 TWh	11.4%
Wind	~10.2 TWh	8%	15.0 TWh	8.5%
Local Coal	~14.1 TWh	11%	11.0 TWh	6.3%
Imported Coal	~12.8 TWh	10%	5.0 TWh	2.8%
Natural Gas	~11.5 TWh	9%	4.0 TWh	2.3%
RLNG	~14.1 TWh	11%	0.629 TWh	0.4%
Bagasse	~1.3 TWh	1%	0.908 TWh	0.5%
RFO / SPP / Other	~5.1 TWh	4%	0.0 TWh	0.0%
Total Grid Energy	~128 TWh	100%	~180 TWh	100%

 

[SoulSpokesman]

@_NOBODY_ @hydrabadi_arab

It is very much doable, provided a reasonable transition time is given. The government will have to pull up the operational efficiency (read T&D losses) of the existing discoms.

Regards

 

[Samlee]

Yes It Will There Will Be Some Short Term Disruption But If Bureaucracy Doesn't Ruin It (Which I Fear They Most Likely Will),It Will Do Wonders

1.Bifurcate The DISCOs Into Retail Supply and Infrastructure Companies.Privatize Only The Retail Supply Companies.

2.Auction Retail Supply Licenses In The Same Way Telecom Licenses and Spectrum Are Auctioned So To Create Competition

3.Starting With LNG Power Plants Of Punjab Nuclear Power Plants and Old GENCOs As Well As KAPCO Whose PPA Has Already Expired.Add A Clause In Their PPA By Which Through Mutual Consent Some Capacity Will Be Taken Away From The PPA And Transferred To The Open Competitive Market

 

[hydrabadi_arab]

Mean the CPEC gift that keep giving.

"Chinese power companies refuse to revise energy agreements and waive late payment surcharge of 170 billion rupees 423 billion rupees outstanding under the government's responsibility for 18 power plants under CPEC"

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