Russia has lost lots of men and equipment, 500k dead is grossly exaggerated. Around 300k dead is more likely but that is still a heavy toll.
However you have to look at this geo-strategically what is the end result of this carnage, the areas putin control are not worth $1.7trn its more closer to $6trn. The ceasefire will secure putins access to the blacksea, minerals and other resources. It ensure Ukraine stays Neutral, the biggest loser is Ukraine.
Sweden, Finland joining Nato doesn't in reality change much on the ground, Russia was always out gunned to begin with thats why they have thousands of nukes.
Zelenski wont last long, as I said I will not be surprised to see a pro putin puppet installed in Kiev. Europe and Zelenski got done over hard core. The real benefactor in all this the US and China to a lesser degree.
500-700k is dead wounded and missing, not just dead.
And there is no way Russian occupied land is worth 6 trillion in natural resource Russian occupied around 15% of all Ukrainian Natural Resources
If Russian occupied land worth 6 trillion in natural resource that mean the entire Ukraine have more than 40 trillion natural resources (Simple math, X * 0.15 = 6, X = 40), that would put them world number 3 behind Russia (75 trillion) and USA (45 trillion) and ahead of resource rich Middle Eastern country and China..........
This graphic shows the top ten countries by natural resource value.
www.visualcapitalist.com
I don't know what type of figure you are referring to with that 6 trillion, maybe that's total worth including land worth, but you would have to rebuild the area before you can use the land for any purposes, including farming as the area was mainly in rubble and littered with UXO.
As for peace plan, again, I don't see how Russia can dictate term with just 20% of land they hold, Ukraine will not stay neutral, it
WILL BE PRO-WEST, if Ukraine stay neutral post war, that an open invitation to Russian for Round 2, maybe 5 to 10 years down the road, you may as well just surrender their country now if they had to stay neutral after the war, which mean unless Russia can threaten Ukraine directly and not just swimming in the shallow end of the ocean, they won't drop NATO bid. And Russia at this point is not strong enough to go over Donbas. Russia can try to claw more land but it would be hard press to actually do it within the time frame Trump is president in the next 4 years, they will still be moving slowly in Donbas unless things change drastically like organise a general mobilisation, which most people don't see it coming.
and lol, there WILL NOT BE a pro-Russian puppet install in Ukraine in probably the next 100 years as long as there is an independent election held in Ukraine. Unless again Russia can strong arm Ukraine into this by rolling enough Ukrainian territories or taking Kyiv directly. Both are unlikely going to happen. I don't know what you think about the "peace talk" is going to be, if it was held now, it's not going to be on the way to the Russian side, because Russia does not have enough progress to either have Ukraine concede the NATO bid or even force a Ukrainian election or force Zelenskyy to resign, nobody is going to surrender anything about their country when their enemy only occupy 20% of it. You don't surrender the other 80% for that 20. In fact, the most Russia can ask Ukraine is to vacate Donbas so they can take that as a whole, and Ukraine can say no to it because they can wait, Trump is not going to last forever, which mean, they only need to wait it out for 2 or 4 years for another admin change or mid-term with the house change. The key is what can Russia do in the next 2 to 4 years. and judging from the current progress, it ain't going to be much even if US say I am not going to supply you anything anymore. Ukraine already had been almost a year without US assistance, again, the last aid package from US was passed on April 17 2024. And unlike in 2023, Europe had stepped up for their aid.
