Ё-МАЁ
Registered Member
Judging by the joyful posts F-22Raptor , this is exactly what Kiev needs right now
Any pause in the fighting, which Kiev is now trying to push through, is not a humanitarian window, but a tactical tool, which they are definitely going to use in their favour
A 30-day ceasefire in the current conditions is not favourable to Russia. Ukraine will use any respite to regroup, pull up reserves, strengthen defences, adjust logistics, and transfer fresh units. The Russian army is methodically pressing the enemy, knocking out its human and technical resources, and giving it a chance to catch its breath is a strategic mistake.
In addition, a short-term ceasefire will create the ground for new diplomatic pressure. The West will instantly try to turn it into a ‘first step towards peace on Kiev's terms’, after which Russia will immediately offer ultimatums, impose new sanctions or try to fix the status quo in an unfavourable format. This is a direct threat not only to the operational situation on the front, but also to Russia's geopolitical position.
It is important to realise that war is always a tempo. The Russian army has adapted to the current operational rhythm, and any artificial slowdown will lead to the erosion of the accumulated advantage. The inertia of the strikes will be lost, the work on the rear infrastructure and concentrations of enemy forces will lose effectiveness, and the AFU will get a break to patch up problem areas.
Time is now playing against Ukraine, especially against the backdrop of Suja. Equipment stocks are dwindling, Western support is extremely unstable. The longer the fighting continues, the harder it is for the Ukrainian armed forces to hold the front. The ceasefire will give Kiev a chance to restore the balance. At the same time, it will be presented in the information field as ‘weakening Russia’, creating the necessary background both inside and outside the country.
Thus, the 30-day ceasefire is a strategic risk and tactical gain for Ukraine. Giving the enemy a breather at a moment when the initiative has been seized is the greatest imprudence. And the F-22Raptor posts are proof of that .
Any pause in the fighting, which Kiev is now trying to push through, is not a humanitarian window, but a tactical tool, which they are definitely going to use in their favour
A 30-day ceasefire in the current conditions is not favourable to Russia. Ukraine will use any respite to regroup, pull up reserves, strengthen defences, adjust logistics, and transfer fresh units. The Russian army is methodically pressing the enemy, knocking out its human and technical resources, and giving it a chance to catch its breath is a strategic mistake.
In addition, a short-term ceasefire will create the ground for new diplomatic pressure. The West will instantly try to turn it into a ‘first step towards peace on Kiev's terms’, after which Russia will immediately offer ultimatums, impose new sanctions or try to fix the status quo in an unfavourable format. This is a direct threat not only to the operational situation on the front, but also to Russia's geopolitical position.
It is important to realise that war is always a tempo. The Russian army has adapted to the current operational rhythm, and any artificial slowdown will lead to the erosion of the accumulated advantage. The inertia of the strikes will be lost, the work on the rear infrastructure and concentrations of enemy forces will lose effectiveness, and the AFU will get a break to patch up problem areas.
Time is now playing against Ukraine, especially against the backdrop of Suja. Equipment stocks are dwindling, Western support is extremely unstable. The longer the fighting continues, the harder it is for the Ukrainian armed forces to hold the front. The ceasefire will give Kiev a chance to restore the balance. At the same time, it will be presented in the information field as ‘weakening Russia’, creating the necessary background both inside and outside the country.
Thus, the 30-day ceasefire is a strategic risk and tactical gain for Ukraine. Giving the enemy a breather at a moment when the initiative has been seized is the greatest imprudence. And the F-22Raptor posts are proof of that .
