RUSSIA’S DISRUPTIVE AIR POWER IN UKRAINE
- Aviation Features
- Russia’s disruptive air power in Ukraine
By
Fahad ibne Masood 12th January 2023
FEATURE
Russia has taken the use of disruptive airpower to new heights in Ukraine. Fahad ibne Masood assesses the impact of technological warfare
Russia has been pursuing disruptive technologies (DTs) for the past few decades and has gained a competitive advantage in many spheres, hypersonic weapons being one of them. What follows is based on ongoing research through available open-source intelligence literature, looking at the impact of the DTs being employed in current Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Electronic warfare
Electronic warfare (EW) holds a special place within the concept of operations of both Russia and Ukraine. One concern that frequently features in Russian military news outputs is the massed aerospace missile attack (MRAU), which is essentially the combined use of air, space, land, and sea assets to deliver long-range air and missile strikes against the critical nodes of Russian manoeuvre formations as well as critical infrastructure. However, Russia does have radio-electronic warfare (REB), which is used by the Russian Armed Forces to degrade the combat systems of an opponent to such an extent that any technological superiority will be severely compromised.
MiG-31K (Bort No '89 Red', serial RF-95200) took part in a flypast over the Dubrovichi range near Ryazan, Russia, during the 'Aviamix' scenario of the international 'Aviadarts-2019' competition on August 10, 2019. The all-grey missile is the 9-S-7760-EDM display and training mock-up of the Kinzhal missile. Note its end cap with two horizontal stabilisers - this part is blown off shortly after it is released, exposing the engine nozzle seconds before ignition Russian MOD
To provide wide-area protection of critical nodes within a Russian formation there are the 1RL257 Krasukha-4 and the 1L260 Krasukha-2, 8x8 vehicles carrying EW payloads designed to jam the operational systems of aircraft such as the Northrop Grumman E-8C Joint Surveillance Target Attack Radar System (JSTARS) and the airborne warning and control systems (AWACS) of aircraft like the
Boeing E-3 Sentry respectively. The Krasukha-2 is used to jam S-band (2.3GHz to 2.5GHz/2.7GHz to 3.7GHz) airborne radars, while the Krasukha-4 is effective against X-band and Ku-band airborne radars (8.5GHz to 10.68GHz and 13.4GHz to 14GHz/15.7GHz to 17.7GHz respectively). The Russian news agency TASS states that the Krasukha-4 is specifically intended to protect command posts, troops, GBAD systems and industrial facilities from radar reconnaissance and precision weapons. It employs broadband active jamming.
Another system that has garnered considerable attention is RB-341V Leer-3.Based on a 6x6 truck and utilising an Orlan-10 UAV, which can carry its EW payload and extend its range. It reportedly has a mobile phone tower simulator built into the UAV that is designed to interact with and jam the GSM-900 and GSM-1800 mobile phone networks. Other EW systems, such as Pole-21 or R-330H Zhitel, can be used to jam or suppress GPS. This would have two effects: degrading the accuracy of GPS-guided weapons and preventing forward targeting cells from identifying its location.
Manufactured by Kronstadt Group, the Orion is a new-generation Russian medium-altitude, long-endurance (MALE) UAV used for ISR operations. These drones have been used extensively by Russia during its invasion of Ukraine and a number of examples have been shot down by the Ukrainian Armed Forces Kronstadt Group
Directed energy weapons
Russian President Vladimir Putin claims Russia has deployed its ‘secretive’ but powerful new-generation directed energy weapon in the war against Ukraine. Known as Zadira (Bully), this laser-based system can silently burn drone targets out of the sky, allegedly within five seconds. Moscow is using the new weapon to counter Ukraine’s
Baykar Bayraktar TB2 UCAVs that have been patrolling the waters near Odessa and were deployed near Snake Island to deter Russia’s dominance in the Black Sea.
Putin is also using his state-of-the-art laser weapon – the Peresvet, named after an ancient Russian warrior – which Russia’s military units are now using in its advanced combat operations against Kyiv’s military forces on the eastern flank. Moscow has been tight-lipped about the system, but Russia’s Deputy Prime Minister, Yury Borisov, noted that the main difference between the two is that Peresvet ‘blinds’ an enemy system, whereas Zadira destroys it. Air Force Technology analysts agree with this statement, noting that: “Russian EMP [electromagnetic pulse] guns mounted on aircraft significantly increase the combat capabilities of the Russian aerospace forces, because with them the aircraft can blind the defences [of] NATO – and they burned the drones.”
Developed by the Main Robotics Research and Test Center, the Stupor transmits an EMP to block the channel used to direct and operate unmanned systems. As a result, drones lose the connection with their controllers and crash to the ground. The weapon can also block drone cameras and their navigation and transmission channels. It reportedly has a range of 1.24 miles and a 20º field of effect.
In recent months, Russia has turned to Iran for the supply of 'kamikaze drones', such as the Shahed-136 platform pictured. These have been employed in various disruptive operations across Ukraine, mainly against key infrastructure targets in a bid to disrupt Ukraine's ability to operate IRGCASF
Cyber warfare
In modern military conflicts, cyberattacks are best used in combination with EW, disinformation campaigns, anti-satellite attacks and precision-guided munitions. The objective is to degrade informational advantage and intangible assets such as data, communications, intelligence assets and weapons systems to give an operational advantage.
Russia has used cyberattacks in three different ways. First, it has deployed cyberattacks to prepare and facilitate military conflict by attacking critical infrastructure such as government websites, IT servers, banks, media outlets and powerplants. In the past, it has also used cyberattacks as part of a hybrid strategy combined with other political techniques, such as disinformation campaigns and civil action in targeted countries. In these instances, Russia does not appear to intend imminent military action, but may seek to degrade defensive capabilities. Cyber operations can also be used for political effect by disrupting finance, energy, transportation and government services to overwhelm defenders’ decision-making and create social turmoil. However, as evidenced by its alleged attempts to disrupt the recent US presidential election, Russia has been unable to achieve any of these objectives at a meaningful scale.
The Russians have been able to attain immense cyber warfare competency over the past few decades, but this is being put to limited use vis-à-vis the kinetic operations taking place, especially in the airpower domain. It might potentially try to interfere with or destroy satellites or underwater communications satellites, which are not directly tied to cyberspace but facilitate military and civilian communications. Based on intelligence reports, Russia launched a broad cyber campaign shortly before the invasion of Ukraine, showing a huge increase in exploits on the first day to create disorder and overwhelm Ukrainian defences.
Russia sought to disrupt services and install destructive malware on Ukrainian networks, incorporating phishing, denial of service attacks and taking advantage of software vulnerabilities. Russia’s most significant cyber success so far was the disruption of Viasat Inc’s KA-SAT satellite.
Ukraine published a national cybersecurity strategy in 2016 and established a degree of redundancy and resilience for data and expanding the use of encryption before the invasion. It implemented some basic cyber ‘hygiene’ measures after 2015.
Wreckage of a downed RuAF-operated Mil Mi-24V/P Hind is recovered from the Dnepro River on June 6, 2022. As of October 14, the Ukrainian Ministry of Defence claims it has shot down approximately 240 Russian helicopters since the invasion began on February 24, 2022. The use of MANPADS have been key in disrupting Russian air operations over Ukraine since the war began Ukraine General Staff
Artificial intelligence
Armed conflict cannot be successfully resolved without the use of the latest weapons, modern intelligence, data transmission, control and destruction systems, all of which, at least in part, contains an artificial intelligence (AI) component. Use of AI – which is a combination of technologies that blend data, algorithms and computing power– is one of the most sensitive issues of the current conflict.
In March 2022, a radio transmission between multiple Russian troops in Ukraine was recorded via an unencrypted channel. It showed the soldiers evacuating in fear and confusion after coming under artillery fire. Several AI algorithms created by Primer, a US business that offers AI services for intelligence analysts, eavesdropped on the conversation and were used to automatically record, transcribe, translate and analyse everything they said.
Use of AI systems to monitor Russia’s army on a large scale illustrates the rising significance of sophisticated intelligence in military confrontations, even if it is unclear whether Ukrainian soldiers also intercepted the transmission. Russian transmissions that were not encrypted have been uploaded online, translated and discussed on social media. Similar scrutiny has been given to other data sources, such as social media posts and smartphone videos. However, what is particularly new is how natural language-processing technology is being used to examine Russian military communications.
There is little evidence of the use of the feared kamikaze drone KUB-BLA built by ZALA Aero, a subsidiary of the Russian manufacturer Kalashnikov, probably because of a lack of training data through which AI systems learn. The combination of a learning algorithm and training data is how AI systems can recognise what is shown in an image, but training data is generally application-specific. Satellite image recognition training data cannot use satellite image data to train an AI for a robotic drone’s targeting computer – at least not with today’s technology.
Designed for ground attack/strike operations and suppression/destruction of enemy air defense (SEAD/DEAD) missions, the Su-34 Fullback should have been key in locating and destroying Ukrainian air defence systems during the war, thus disrupting the country's air defence network and enabling Russia to gain greater air superiority over the combat zone. However, this has not occurred and the Russian Aerospace Forces have lost at least 16 Su-34s (more than 10% of its entire Fullback fleet) since the conflict began. Andrey Zinchuk
Hypersonics
The future of airpower in weapon delivery has been pushed to Mach 5+, which is hypersonic velocity. There were various hypersonic weapon categories announced by Putin in 2018, of which one – Kinzhal (Russian for ’dagger’) – has been used at least three times by the Russian defence minister. He stated that these missiles were launched against important targets in Ukraine.
Kinzhal is a nuclear-capable hypersonic air-to-surface ballistic missile with a range of more than 1,242 miles and capable of performing evasive manoeuvres at every stage of its flight. These missiles are difficult for defence systems to detect, while their sensors help to pinpoint targets more accurately. In addition, the damage they cause is much greater than that caused by conventional missiles.
This type of missile can be launched from Tu-22M3 bombers or MiG-31K fighters. The
Kinzhal can also be tipped with a nuclear warhead and is part of a suite of weapons unveiled by Russia in 2018 that were classified as “invincible”. The ‘dagger’ is joined by Zirkon and Avangrad, which have even greater speed and range but have not so far seen active use in the Russia-Ukraine war. The Russian military has said it has deployed warplanes armed with state-of-the-art hypersonic missiles to Chkalovsk Air Base in the country’s Kaliningrad region – right on NATO’s doorstep – as part of additional measures of deterrence.
A Tupolev Tu-22M3 Backfire-C long-range strategic bomber is seen taking off from Shaikovka Air Base, equipped with a single, conventionally tipped Kh-22 (AS-4 Kitchen) stand-off cruise missile. Tu-22s have fired a number of Kh-22s into Ukraine since the start of the conflict. The platform is also capable of launching the Kinzhal hypersonic missile Andrey Zinchuk