Russia - Ukraine war part ll. News and Discussions

Much of Ukraine's oil comes from Russia via Europe. If they bomb Russia's refineries, they run out of oil and won't be able to move their tanks.
there are other options. Ukraine can buy oil from the US or the Arabs. Now as protector the Ukraines can buy oil and gas with great discount. Ukraine will earn billions USD. Where is Putin? Where is the Russia army?

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A scene from the assault on a Ukrainian stronghold in the Zaporizhzhia region by soldiers of the Russian 38th Guards Brigade of the "East" group of forces. The Russian group, guided by UAVs, made a forced march behind Ukrainian units. The surrounded Ukrainian soldiers surrendered after the unit coming to their aid was destroyed by drones. Some of the captured soldiers are shown in the video.

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The Oskil river continues to be a major headache for Ukrainians.

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there are other options. Ukraine can buy oil from the US or the Arabs. Now as protector the Ukraines can buy oil and gas with great discount. Ukraine will earn billions USD. Where is Putin? Where is the Russia army?

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Iran war won't last forever. A few months at best. Russia has time. 50 years from now Syrsky is dead and Zelensky might also be dead from old age. Russia wins by default.
 
Iran war won't last forever. A few months at best. Russia has time. 50 years from now Syrsky is dead and Zelensky might also be dead from old age. Russia wins by default.
That would be the longest Three Day Special Military Operation on record.
 
That would be the longest Three Day Special Military Operation on record.

Correct. Russians are the toughest people on the planet other than perhaps Canadians. Russians grow up in some of the harshest climatic conditions on the planet. For Russians, three days is nothing. Heck, 300 years is nothing. Ukrainians grow up in fairly warm climatic conditions. Ukrainians are nowhere close to Russians when it comes to toughness.
 
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The supply routes are almost completely cut. Lyman is in serious danger of falling.

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Footage of strikes by Russian drones, presumably Lancet-51s, on a Ukrainian Patriot air defense system battalion near Vasylkivske in the Zaporizhia region. The drones struck an M902 launcher and an AN/MPQ-53 radar, part of the Patriot air defense system. Judging by the interface, the Lancet drones have been updated. The extent of the damage to the Patriot air defense systems is unknown; some media outlets believe they are dummy units.

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The GUI looks like the latest Klin kamikaze drones. It appears to be Klin, not Lancet.


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Ukraine Is Running Out of Cash to Pay for the War as Aid Falters
Ukraine risks running out of money to pay for its defense against Russia within two months as a multitude of factors converge to threaten tens of billions of euros in assistance from the country’s key donors.
Kyiv currently has only enough funds to cover spending until June, according to estimates shared by both domestic and foreign officials, who spoke on condition of anonymity to discuss sensitive information. Support from western allies has been crucial in keeping Ukraine in the fight during more than four years of Russia’s full-scale invasion.
A series of recent setbacks from Hungary’s veto of a €90 billion ($104 billion) European Union loan to a spat over the International Monetary Fund’s latest aid package and a faltering NATO weapons initiative have significantly reduced Ukraine’s room for maneuver.
Ukraine’s central bank Governor Andriy Pyshnyi told Bloomberg in an interview earlier this month that, unless international funds arrive, his institution may have to resume direct lending to the Finance Ministry in the worst-case scenario. That money would pay salaries for troops and workers and fund essential services.
The challenge to finance Ukraine’s defense comes as Russia is increasingly reaping a budget windfall from the surge in global oil prices sparked by the war in Iran. That conflict is also consuming US military resources and the attention of President Donald Trump, sidelining diplomatic efforts to reach a peace deal in Ukraine.
The US has all but ended direct assistance to Ukraine since Trump returned to the White House in January last year, leaving Europe to pick up the tab by paying for weapons and financial support to the government in Kyiv.
The fresh infusion of EU funding was due to start as early as next month after the bloc’s leaders agreed in December to provide loans for this year and 2027.
But that timetable was thrown into turmoil after Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban said he’d block the release of loans until Ukraine resumed transit of Russian oil across its territory through the Druzhba pipeline, which was damaged in a strike by Moscow’s forces.
The Finance Ministry in Kyiv didn’t respond to a request for comment. On Wednesday, Finance Minister Serhiy Marchenko said on Facebook that he expects disbursements from the EU “in the near term.”
The fate of the loan is likely to remain in limbo at least until after Hungary’s April 12 general election. Orban, the EU’s most Kremlin-friendly leader, is facing the most serious challenge to his 16 years in power as his Fidesz party trails far behind its main challenger.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has dismissed the Hungarian tactics as blackmail.
In a post on Telegram on Thursday, the president said his country was hoping “for an alternative that would allow Ukraine to access these funds” or else the “army will face underfunding.” He warned that the lack of funding would affect production of various types of drones and the purchase of air defense systems, which are both key for sustaining the war effort.
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen has reassured Kyiv that the EU will deliver on the loan to Ukraine “one way or another.”
There’s no sign of that so far.
Orban has staked his entire reelection campaign on Ukraine-bashing. Even if he’s ousted as Hungarian leader, his Slovak counterpart, Prime Minister Robert Fico has warned that he would uphold the veto.
The deadlock is likely to complicate talks over €30 billion in additional funding for Ukraine that the EU was hoping to secure from other countries, including from the Group of Seven economies, when finance ministers gather in Washington in April for the IMF meetings.
Kyiv is also struggling to fulfill commitments under the IMF’s latest $8.1 billion loan program approved last month, amid an escalating political standoff between Zelenskiy and Ukraine’s parliament. Lawmakers have yet to pass amendments to tax legislation sought by the IMF that would pave the way for further disbursements after $1.5 billion was paid out under the four-year program.
While they have until the next scheduled review in June to make the reforms, the clock is ticking. The fund’s staff, led by mission chief Gavin Gray, met with Ukrainian lawmakers earlier this month to assess parliament’s ability to approve the changes, people earlier told Bloomberg.
Compounding Ukraine’s growing predicament is the reluctance of some NATO allies to contribute fresh financing for the program to purchase US weapons, known as PURL. The Ukrainian ambassador to NATO, Alyona Getmanchuk, told Bloomberg that only a small handful of countries are paying for the bulk of the equipment and it’s becoming difficult to approach them over and over for help.
Kyiv has estimated that it needs $15 billion for purchases of US weapons this year.
Overall, Ukraine needs $52 billion in foreign assistance in 2026, according to estimates by its financial authorities.
If the current funding crunch persists, Ukraine may face “a financial tragedy” as soon as April, Danylo Hetmantsev, head of the parliamentary finance committee, said in an interview with Forbes Ukraine last month.

Source: Bloomberg
 
Iran war won't last forever. A few months at best. Russia has time. 50 years from now Syrsky is dead and Zelensky might also be dead from old age. Russia wins by default.
You are wrong.
If the current war in Middle East is over, the next war is coming. The people there are stuck in endless circle of violence.
Same for the russians
If Putin dies, the next Stalin will replace him.
That will never change.
The mix of money, lands grab, resources greed, religious fanaticism is too toxic.
Ukraine with all deficiencies is part of western civilization, and such, it learns from mistakes.
 
Finland to audit whether US is actually delivering NATO-bought weapons to Ukraine


Remember when Trump always used to say "Nobody respects us anymore?"

Turns out it was a campaign promise!
 
Finland to audit whether US is actually delivering NATO-bought weapons to Ukraine


Remember when Trump always used to say "Nobody respects us anymore?"

Turns out it was a campaign promise!

Finland is a nobody. They have no say in anything. They can pay 100 billion dollars for a single US made bullet and not have it delivered to Ukraine.
 
Ukraine's mightiest army still losing ground to a weakling like Russia. Go figure.

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Footage of a Russian Su-34 fighter-bomber using an RBK-500 cluster munition bomb in Ukraine. The video was filmed in a forest belt near the village of Maryivka, in the Dnipropetrovsk region of Ukraine. The RBK-500 bomb struck positions of the 42nd Separate Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Armed Forces. Note the continuous destruction zone; the RBK-500 bomb detonates, creating a cloud of 154,000 steel balls.

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