Putin and Russia are losing — the least desperate move is to accept a truce
Vladimir Putin is losing his brutal war on Ukraine; what will make him accept a truce?
Kyiv’s
“Operation Vivaldi” keeps pounding away, driving Russian forces back and liberating villages in the Donetsk region, erasing most of Moscow’s (meager) gains of the last year.
The offensive has so far liberated nearly 68 square miles of territory from Russian forces, taken 250-plus Russian prisoners and inflicted 2,000 casualties.
Even his hold on Crimea is weaker than it was.
Meanwhile, Ukraine’s
drones are striking deep inside Russia and occupied Crimea, disrupting supplies to the front and slamming Putin’s oil refineries.
With his battlefield strategy a total bust, he’s falling back on terror —
targeting airstrikes on innocents far behind the lines and bombing energy infrastructure to maximize civilian suffering this winter — in a desperate hope that it finally breaks Kyiv’s will (which he’s been expecting for nearly five years now).
He’s also hoping elections in Western Europe end those nations’ support for Kyiv, but so far his war has only united Europe against him, with defense outlays growing and NATO expanded to his doorstep — when his invasion was supposed to push the alliance further away, if not break it entirely.
If he keeps it up, Lithuania will wind up hosting a US military base, with nuclear deployment; does he want one in Finland, too?
After the November elections, President Donald Trump can be more aggressive in pushing Putin to the table, including by exercising the powers granted him under the bipartisan Lindsey Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act.
In the meantime, the renewed flow of oil and gas out of the Middle East will soon drive down global prices, further cutting into the Kremlin’s energy revenues.
The longer Putin waits, the greater the risk of more unpleasant surprises, including a domestic economic collapse that would leave him far more vulnerable to some kind of coup.
His generals, his spies and his diplomats have failed him for five years now;
nothing has worked out for him as promised.
He can stop the conflict now, even holding his gains to have peace now — or keep pretending some miracle is around the corner, while risking even greater humiliation . . . or worse.
The longer Putin waits, the greater the risk of more unpleasant surprises.
nypost.com