Persian Gulf
INT'L MOD
For Jolani to get ANY concessions from Israel at all (they are greedy, as you say), they will demand normalisation. Are you saying Jolani will not offer normalisation with Israel under any circumstances? That seems hard to believe given how hard he is courting the West.Thats interesting, b/c I wouldn't accept Israel under any circumstances. Its preferable for Golan to be occupied and there to not be recognition than for it to be non occupied but an Egypt situation. I'm expecting there to be an opening in the future(long term not right now) where taking back the Golan is viable.
They took the highest point of Mount Hermon, that is strategicThe Zionists are greedy, they will not return that mountain, its too strategic. but otherwise, they haven't taken anything significant, a few villages in the buffer zone, don't really change the equation overall. Under those circumstances if the terms of 1974 can be followed even if LOC is not the official 1974 line, its acceptable under the current circumstances, as what the main priority here is buying time to consolidate and rebuild capacity.
Those fighters only want to go into Syria to join ISIS or fight Assad, I don't see any appetite to go to Syria to fight Israel...Gaza is different from Syria, Gaza is isolated and outside of Egypt no one has capacity to intervene in Gaza and Egypt doesn't seem interested. Turkey shares a land border with Syria, and there is capacity to bring fighters from all across the world into Syria b/c its not isolated like Gaza. It's a fundamentally different equation.
I would be very happy to see Turkey help replace Syria's now destroyed air defence network but so far all I see are fake reports. Israel will not allow that in a hurry.
We have. I have shared the statements before. Should I share them again?No Iran has not done that
This is true but that doesn't reflect the official government stance as reflected in numerous press releases / statements.I can show you IRGC generals commenting on Syria. Brig. Gen. Behrouz Esbati for example and his comments on supporting "resistance groups" inside Syria, you can understand why Syria would take exception to this, that not in line with the "Principle of Non Interference", thats a direct challenge to the territorial integrity and sovereignty of Syria. I referenced those professionally built standardized factory made IEDs that were recently confiscated being supplied into Syria, now those could be from Israel, and if it was found in the south, I would have suspected it was them, but this came over the Lebanese border in all likelihood, which would mean Hezbollah, which would mean Iran. Thats not tolerable for the New Govt. There is also the issue with the Syrian PKK and Iran supplying weapons there(although thats more related to Turkey than to Syria). This is the type of stuff that causes tension with Iran.
Various HTS members have not exactly said nice things about Iran, either.
Hezbollah has bigger problems than to try to fight HTS in Syria now, so don't really buy the idea they are trying to intervene and fight an insurgency against HTS.





