hyperman
INT'L MOD
No, its more sophisticated than MANPADS, Yemen for example.
Turkey Syria - News & Updates
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No, its more sophisticated than MANPADS, Yemen for example.
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- #3,587
Syria and Türkiye are in the mids of negotiating a new maritime agreement for the sea borders in the Eastern Med.
Greeks are very unhappy.
South Cyprus is quietly raging.
Greek netizens are asking if 'we soon have to ask the Turks for permission to stick our toes into the Aegean Sea'.
Greeks are very unhappy.
South Cyprus is quietly raging.
Greek netizens are asking if 'we soon have to ask the Turks for permission to stick our toes into the Aegean Sea'.
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- #3,591
No official confirmation yet but hopefully it's true.
In addition, I've read the statement of the American ambassador. How can he be so decisively pro-Turkish? It's almost too good to be true.
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- #3,592
US Envoy Tom Barrack sends a clear message: “The SDF must accept that Syria is one country, one army, one people. Federalism won’t work here.”
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lol
Keep in mind, he also indicated that a rapid disintegration of SDF is not in the best interest of the region. Either he plays both sides or Golani is making friends in Washington.
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lol
Keep in mind, he also indicated that a rapid disintegration of SDF is not in the best interest of the region. Either he plays both sides or Golani is making friends in Washington.
hyperman
INT'L MOD
Before becoming ambassador he was a businessman with a lot of ties to the middle east and people suspected he has investments in Turkey. Turkey is also becoming an important player in the region and the shift the US Turkey policy started under Jeff Flake. I think its just the regional alignment is currently favoring Turkey. The people in charge of the previous disaster like Brett McGurk have been sidelined with the new administration.
hyperman
INT'L MOD
I think the only way to decisively deal with this is a Turkish intervention, honestly I've probably been saying it for years now, but no movement as of yet. I'd rather move now rather than later, while they are still distracted with Iran and other stuff. One Swift offensive around Ain Al Arab to connect the Tal Abyad pocket and the rest of the areas south of it should crumble easily as they are majority Arab Arabs. Hasakah is the only place where it would be messy, but just isolating the PKK to Hasakah will significantly increase leverage on the PKK.
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I do not believe that the government will take action during the ongoing negotiations with the PKK to lay down their weapons. If any party should act, it ought to be the Syrian government, which thenshould be shielded from Israeli aggression by a strong Turkish position concerning Israeli incursions into Syrian territory. But AKP is preoccupied with consolidating their power, fully aware that they are going to lose the next election.I think the only way to decisively deal with this is a Turkish intervention, honestly I've probably been saying it for years now, but no movement as of yet. I'd rather move now rather than later, while they are still distracted with Iran and other stuff. One Swift offensive around Ain Al Arab to connect the Tal Abyad pocket and the rest of the areas south of it should crumble easily as they are majority Arab Arabs. Hasakah is the only place where it would be messy, but just isolating the PKK to Hasakah will significantly increase leverage on the PKK.
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The government is incredibly fortunate that every foreign conflict in the Middle East is unfolding in their favor.
hyperman
INT'L MOD
It will be up to Turkey to decisively settle this, the Syrian govt won't act. For a multitude of reason, there is no military superiority necessarily between them and the SDF. And they would have to commit to significant resources to take it by force, including pull troops from Latakia and southern Syria. The israelis would also capitalize on this via the druze drama "see they are attacking the kurds, druze can only be safe with israel", and possibly try to expand to annex in areas.
Right now, without Turkish intervention, this whole "negotiation to integrate" game will go on indefinitely. hakan Fidan himself laid out that turkey will do it themselves, if the SDF/YPG doesn't heed to Ocalan's call. The Syrian branch has gone rogue and is not accepting dictates from Qandil. Qandil accepted disarming after Ocalan called for it. They don't have capacity in Turkey and nothing in iraq either outside of a few mountain, no signficant presence in Iran. Syria is their main branch now, and with the power dynamics their main operation.
Abdulaziz
Registered Member
Uh yes there is alot of military superiority between the Syrian Gov´t and SDF. Just HTS alone without TFSA can dispatch SDF within 2-3 weeks in the entire Northeast from two direction using Turkey via the area they controll on that side and coming from River.
HTS has approx 200.000 forces which doesn´t include T-FSA who number 300.000 forces trained by Turkey, then there is the Southfront which has approx 150.000 forces + 50000 to 70000 tribals from central Syria around and betwen Hama and Homs. in total that is around 720.000 forces.
They are already better armed then SDF, more battle hardened as they were fighting Russians and Assadist for 10 years and SDF barely even fought anyone outside of ISIS in the desert with air cover they haven´t even properly tasted war yet and the only time they did was when they come up against the T-FSA and Turkish incursions and each time they were dispatched in like within few days.
HTS alone without even using T-FSA and Southfront can dispatch SDF within days.. Turkestan party, Chechens, Uzbekis and other strong merecenaries who have been nationalized with Syrian citizenships are within HTS. They are probably the strongest fighting force and 2nd going to T-FSA and 3rd is Southfront then SDF is 4th.
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hyperman
INT'L MOD
No they don't have capacity, outside of moving all their Stabilization forces from all the fronts, Latakia, Southern Syria etc to the North to begin a full scale operation, trying to cross a river for an assault on an enemy thats dug in, without an air force even. And the fallout on other front will be a mess to deal with. The Insurgency in Latakia will take advantage of the redeployment and stress, as will the Druze Separatists and the Israelis.
The Easier operation is one that Turkey will be able to do, which is to take out the PKK in Ain Al Arab, that right there will cause a domino effect for all the areas outside of Hasakah. But lets see how it play out, i expect more of an indefinite deadlock and time wasting by the PKK/SDF to keep the status quo.
Foinikas
Elite Member
You know,I was surprised. I was just checking on wikipedia about the official or unofficial capital of the SDF territory. Turns out,Ayn Issa is the capital of Rojava. I always thought it was Hasakah or Deir Ez-Zor or maybe some other city. It doesn't make sense. Ayn Issa is right on the borders with the SNA-occupied area. They should have gone for a city or town deeper in their territory,to the east.I think the only way to decisively deal with this is a Turkish intervention, honestly I've probably been saying it for years now, but no movement as of yet. I'd rather move now rather than later, while they are still distracted with Iran and other stuff. One Swift offensive around Ain Al Arab to connect the Tal Abyad pocket and the rest of the areas south of it should crumble easily as they are majority Arab Arabs. Hasakah is the only place where it would be messy, but just isolating the PKK to Hasakah will significantly increase leverage on the PKK.
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