hyperman
INT'L MOD
It is difficult to see the value of the strategic play that Azerbaijan is making when you consider it is sharing a border with both Russia, and Iran.
You would have thought they would keep their heads, and enjoy the prosperity that they have?
What would the population of Azerbaijan be thinking of his recent moves against Türkiye ?? How has this affected the local calculus ? He seem's very confident in his moves. Yes, he should be green and strange to think that he is thinking of not being green.
His real fear is his own rule. Turkey is a unique danger to it b/c of Turkish soft power capacity as a Turkic state next door, even when it doesn't necessarily want to, Turkey is able to affect things in Azerbaijan, for a soviet era KGB control freak like Aliyev that organic pole existing outside of his own control is offputting.
Also I think he believes Israel is a stronger bet than Turkey, b/c of its influence in Washington.



