United States elections 2024
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Yommie
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Exclusive poll: Black voters aren't thrilled with Biden but dislike Trump more
Even among 'double-haters' Biden is likely to gain more support than Trump, new USA TODAY poll shows.
www.usatoday.com
Exclusive poll: Black voters aren't thrilled with Biden but dislike Trump more
A new poll of Black voters in Michigan and Pennsylvania, shows Biden has lost ground - but not to Trump
Phillip M. BaileyTerry CollinsRachel BarberFrancesca ChambersUSA TODAY
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Black voters helped put Joe Biden in the White House four years ago. They may not vote to give him a second term, even though they dislike former president Donald Trump far more, according to an exclusive new USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll.
The poll, of Black voters in the swing states of Pennsylvania and Michigan, found that Biden is still the first or second choice of the vast majority, while most would avoid Trump.
Like many Americans, Olivia and Macayla Jones aren't happy with either one.
"I guess you can call us double-haters,” said Olivia Jones, 22, from Lansing, Michigan, a senior at Central Michigan University.
But the African American sisters' votes will be among the most highly sought after by presidential hopefuls who may see their fortunes come down to just a few thousand votes in pivotal battleground states like Michigan and Pennsylvania.
Prep for the polls: See who is running for president and compare where they stand on key issues in our Voter Guide
"I'm not voting for Trump, but I’m not excited about voting for Biden," she added. "None of my close friends are excited about either candidate. It’s a universal feeling."
Macayla Jones, 23, a communications coordinator for a youth center in Bellville, Michigan, said she will likely end up voting for Biden as "the less of two evils, which still kind of disturbs me."
More:Biden has a problem with Black voters. So does Trump.
In 2020, Biden carried 92% of Black voters nationwide with Trump winning just 8%, according to Pew Research Center validated voter studies.
Less than 150 days until Biden faces his predecessor again, however, various campaign yardsticks indicate African American support for Biden is far more anemic this time around.
In states like Michigan and Pennsylvania, where the race could be decided by the slimmest of margins, the president can hardly afford to lose any support from his most reliable base as he faces a rematch with Trump.
For his part, Trump said his campaign is making inroads with the Black community. But polls, including the USA TODAY/Suffolk survey released Sunday, show those might not be as big as he thinks.
The poll shows Trump remains deeply unpopular with African American voters, who indicate they still favor Biden and will opt for third party candidates like Cornel West or Robert F. Kennedy Jr. before casting their ballot for the former president.
Again and again, in this poll and others, the majority of Black voters say they may not be in love with Biden but, as Kevin Hill, 46, of Oakland, California, put it, "What's the alternative? Trump?"
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Both candidates face challenges and opportunities
David Paleologos who directs Suffolk's Political Research Center and led the new poll, said the good news for Biden is that he might be able to win back some of those voters who say they're not big fans or prefer third-party candidates. In Michigan, for instance, he's the first choice of 54% of voters in both states and the second choice of an additional 45%, the poll showed.Trump is polling somewhat higher than the 2020 exit polls, with about 15% in Michigan saying they'll support him and 11% in Pennsylvania, compared to single-digits in the last election.
The silver lining for Trump, Paleologos said, is that because Biden won 13 times Trump’s support from Black voters the last time, to maintain the same level of support, Biden would need to earn 13 new Black votes for every vote he loses to Trump.
"That's why Trump feels a sense of improvement in the Black community," Paleologos said. Still, whether those people who support Trump, who tend to be less educated, lower income, independent and inconsistent voters, will actually turn out in November remains to be seen.
"Why would they vote in 2024, if they didn't in 2020?" Paleologos asked. "The least-connected, the least involved people matter the most in these swing states."
The new phone survey was conducted with 500 African American registered voters in Pennsylvania and an equal number in Michigan between June 9 and 13. The poll in each state has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, meaning results that are close might have happened by chance.
By focusing on African Americans in these swing states, the poll reveals new information about how likely voters feel about key issues facing the country and where the candidates have strengths, weaknesses and opportunities.
Many of their positions are similar to those of most other Americans'. More than half of those polled in both states say they think the country is headed in the wrong direction. They list "inflation/economy" as their top issue heading into the fall's election.
These Black voters also stand apart on some cultural issues. They oppose book bans and strongly support the teaching of African American history in public schools.
A little over half of those polled said they are against transgender minors getting gender-affirming medical care, well above the national average from other surveys.
Support for abortion with few restrictions, at about 70% in both states, comes in above the 63% seen in a recent national poll.
Ronald Bennett, 67, of Pittsburgh, said Biden's support for legalizing abortion at the national level is one of the reasons he will vote for the president's reelection.
"A woman has control over her own body, not no man and not no president," he said.
'Less enthusiasm' for Biden but disgust for Trump
Of the Black voters polled who voted for Biden in 2020 but said they weren't supporting him now, more than a third said they haven't been impressed with his performance in office. Fourteen percent said he's now too old for the job, one percent more than those who said they're concerned about his support for Israel during the war in Gaza; and 11% said Biden hasn't kept his promises.Interviews with voters anecdotally supported these findings, with several expressing fatigue with Biden and his party. Chiefly, they expressed a frustration with legislative failures on policies Black voters are invested in, such as police accountability and voting rights, according to various experts and national civil rights leaders.
Alicia Coulter, 46, of Los Angeles, said she gets that people have reason to be unhappy with the current president. But she said the Republican-led backlashes against diversity initiatives and classroom curriculum, in addition to Trump's history of incendiary and racist remarks, should be enough to motivate them to vote.
“I'm frustrated that certain age groups, especially millennials and Gen Z, question if Trump would do better for them in terms of lowering taxes and improving the job market," Coulter said.
"Let’s use some common sense here."
According to a Washington Post-Ipso poll in April, Biden bests Trump among Black voter in terms of trust on handling issues they care about such as the economy, crime, abortion, the war in Gaza and racism by at least 3-to-1 margins.
Bennett, who worked as a certified nurse aid in a senior living facility until he had to go on disability after a 2012 stroke, said he likes Biden because "he's a union man."
Bennett remains concerned about inflation. The $16 he gets every month in food stamps is only enough to buy a loaf of bread and a dozen eggs.
"They act like they give you a lot when they give you food stamps but food stamps is not enough for the price of food now," he said. "Once I pay all my bills and everything, I have nothing."
Still, he doesn't think it's Biden's fault ‒ or that the economy would be any better under Trump.
"Everybody blames the president but the president only has a certain amount of control over the economy. He can’t change the way things is," Bennett said.
Trump supporters
James Jones, 42, of Detroit, said he voted for Trump in 2020 and plans to again in November.A married father of two adult children with a self-professed “do-it-yourself” mentality, Jones said he simply believes Trump has more of America’s interests in mind than Biden and the Democrats.
“I think that Trump is focused on what America needs and not so much the rest of the world. We need more of that,” said Jones, a handyman. “He’s going to make sure that our money is being spent here instead of elsewhere. He believes in let’s look out for us. He’s for our country, plain and simple.”
Jones said he’s not worried about Trump’s recent convictions and doesn’t think that will stop him from returning to the White House.
In the USA TODAY/Suffolk poll, 64% of Michigan voters said the conviction will make them less likely to support Trump, while 9% said they are now more likely to support him. (In Pennsylvania, the comparable figures were 65% and 5% respectively.)
Just over half of Michigan voters surveyed would send Trump to jail for his transgressions while about 20% would impose a hefty fine. In Pennsylvania, 61% want him to serve time, while 17% said a fine would suffice.
Jones voted Democratic for years, but chose Trump in 2020, because he felt the Democrats were taking Black votes for granted. He said he even regrets voting twice for former President Barack Obama.
“If I had only known then what I know now,” Jones said. “I think the Democrats have tricked (Black voters) for far too long. We can do better.”
Turning to a third party
In both states, 15% to just over 16% of voters said their first choice candidate belongs to neither the Democratic nor Republican party.Both independents Cornel West and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. were essentially tied in both states with 6% to 8% each, well within the poll's margin of error. Green Party candidate Jill Stein received the support of just 1% of those polled and the Libertarian Party's Chase Oliver barely registered with voters at all.
Beza Wossene, 37, of Philadelphia, said fellow academic Cornel West resonates with her. The Democratic Party is about the status quo, she said, while West represents the dramatic change the county really needs.
Her own financial struggles ‒ despite a master's degree and job as a college administrator ‒ have reinforced for her the problems with America's economic, social and racial situation and driven her to consider a third-party candidate, she said.
"I thought if I did everything that my parents didn't do that I would be able to get myself out of the working class," Wossene said. But "making ends meet, month to month with two young children has become really, really challenging with the cost of gas and the cost of food."
In addition to economic issues, she said she's upset that the Democrats didn't do more to protect abortion rights, and she's convinced she'll have to leave the country, send her children to private school or homeschool them.
"They're not really learning the truth; they're not learning history," she said of students in public schools.
Kevin Nathaniel Hylton, 64, of the New York City borough of Brooklyn, said he plans to vote for Kennedy, whom he describes as a fighter against "corporate corruption," which he believes stands in the way of Black rights and civil liberties.
“I don’t think he does enough, but I feel he will do more in the White House than those other two,” Hylton said about Kennedy whom he’s met twice. He came away impressed.
Hylton, a musician and former registered Republican, said he doesn't hate the main party candidates, though he didn’t vote for either Biden or Trump to become president four years ago. But he has a long memory.
He still hasn’t forgotten when Trump reportedly disparaged Haiti and other African nations in 2018.
And he still takes great offense to Biden's May 2020 comment during an interview with national radio personality Charlamagne tha God “if you have a problem figuring out whether you’re for me or Trump, then you ain’t Black.” Biden later apologized.
If Kennedy doesn't make the ballot in New York, Hylton said he'll stay home in November. “That’s a sign telling me not to vote again.”
Understanding the stakes
Still many voters, like Sanford Howie II, of Inglewood, California, remain unsure about who to support in November.In the USA TODAY/Suffolk poll, 14% of voters in both Michigan and Pennsylvania said they are undecided.
Howie, a longtime registered Democrat, has been worried about Biden's decision-making. And he doesn't trust Trump.
"I honestly don’t know what I’m going to do this time," Howie, an accountant for a large construction company, told USA TODAY. "I don’t necessarily believe in either of them right now."
Olivia and Macalya Jones, the two sisters living in swing state Michigan, understand how their peers' votes could tip the scales in 2024.
"And my fear of Trump has to overpower my hatred for Biden. Because we can’t go back to that,” Olivia Jones said.
Both worry whether either Biden or Trump will tackle the topics they care about, such as a cease-fire to end Israel's war in Gaza, safeguarding reproductive rights, eliminating student loan debt and pushing for more gun reforms.
“I would prefer candidates who better represent our generation and what we want to see this country look like,” Macayla Jones said. “Someone who’s listening to us.”
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U.S. Supreme Court rejects 'Trump Too Small' trademark
The U.S. Supreme Court on Thursday rejected a political activist's attempt to trademark the phrase 'Trump Too Small,' saying the federal trademark office did not violate the First Amendment when it declined to register the mark.
U.S. Supreme Court rejects 'Trump Too Small' trademark
Devan Cole and John Fritze
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Published June 13, 2024 1:13 p.m. EDT
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Justice Clarence Thomas wrote the majority opinion for a unanimous court.
“Our courts have long recognized that trademarks containing names may be restricted. And these name restrictions served established principles. This history and tradition is sufficient to conclude that the names clause — a content-based, but viewpoint-neutral, trademark restriction — is compatible with the First Amendment,” Thomas wrote, referring to a provision of the federal trademark law at issue in the case.
“We conclude that the names clause is of a piece with a common-law tradition regarding the trademarking of names,” he added later. “We see no reason to disturb this longstanding tradition, which supports the restriction of the use of another’s name in a trademark.”
The dispute can be traced back to a memorable squabble between then-candidate Donald Trump and Florida GOP Sen. Marco Rubio during the 2016 Republican presidential primary, in which the senator joked about the size of Trump’s hands ahead of a debate and said, “You know what they say about men with small hands.”
Trump shot back during the debate, stretching his hands out for the audience to see and insisting Rubio’s suggestion that “something else must be small” was false.
“I guarantee you, there’s no problem,” Trump said at the time.
A host of headlines ensued, including one from CNN that read, “Donald Trump defends size of his penis,” and another from Vanity Fair that said: “Donald Trump Assures America He is Well-Endowed.”
Two years later, attorney Steve Elster sought to register “Trump Too Small” as a trademark for use on T-shirts. He said in his registration request that the proposed trademark aims to “convey that some features of President Trump and his policies are diminutive.”
“The mark criticizes Trump by using a double entendre, invoking a widely publicized exchange from a 2016 Republican primary debate in which Trump commented about his anatomy, while also expressing Elster’s view about ‘the smallness of Donald Trump’s overall approach to governing as president of the United States,’” attorneys for Elster told the justices in court papers.
Federal law bars people from registering a trademark of a name of a living person without their consent. The U.S. Patent and Trademark Office refused registration because the use of the name “Trump” would be construed by the public as a reference to the former president. The question for the Supreme Court was whether the prohibition could be squared with the First Amendment. Elster appealed to the USPTO’s Trademark Trial and Appeal Board, which also refused registration. A federal appeals court, however, later held that the refusal violated Elster’s First Amendment rights.
Justices differ on reasoning
Justice Amy Coney Barrett, in a concurring opinion, said she agreed with the court’s decision but not its reasoning. Thomas relied heavily on the nation’s history and tradition with trademark law to settle the case. Barrett said it could have been dealt with based on the court’s past precedent.“The government can reasonably determine that, on the whole, protecting marks that include another living person’s name without consent risks undermining the goals of trademark,” Barrett wrote, in an opinion that was joined in part by the court’s liberal wing. The bar on trademarking someone else’s name, she wrote, “is therefore constitutional, both facially and as applied” to this case.
Justice Sonia Sotomayor similarly wrote in a concurrence joined by the court’s other two liberals that she would have applied the court’s First Amendment precedent to decide the case. She said she was “reluctant” to go down the path chosen by Thomas and her other colleagues.
The provision of federal trademark law upheld in the case, Sotomayor wrote, “is constitutional because it is a viewpoint-neutral, reasonable limitation on a trademark’s registration.”
At oral arguments, the justices seemed inclined to side with the trademark office, with several raising doubts that Elster’s free speech rights had been trampled on by the agency. Nothing stopped Elster from making or selling the T-shirts.
“The question is: Is this an infringement on speech? And the answer is no,” Sotomayor said at one point. “There’s no limitation on him selling it. So there’s no traditional infringement.”
Thomas similarly posited that if Elster’s “argument is that somehow your speech is being impeded, I think it would be good to know precisely how it’s being impeded or burdened.”
In two recent cases, the court bolstered First Amendment protections when it declined to back decisions by the USPTO to deny trademark registrations based on other parts of the Lanham Act.
In 2017, the court ruled in favor of Simon Tam, an Asian-American musician and political activist who named his rock band “The Slants” in an attempt to take back a term that once was directed as an insult. He sought to register the name with the trademark office but was turned away on the ground that it is disparaging to “persons of Asian descent.”
Two years later, the justices struck down a provision of the Lanham Act that prohibited the agency from registering “immoral” or “scandalous” trademarks, clearing the way for a clothing designer to apply for a trademark for a clothing line called “FUCT.”
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21 percent of independents less likely to back Trump: Poll
BY LAUREN SFORZA - 06/17/24 8:17 AM ETSHAREPOST
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Former President Trump’s conviction in the New York hush money case could turn some independent voters away from him, a poll released Monday found.
The Politico/Ipsos survey found that 21 percent of independents said they are less likely to vote for Trump after the conviction, adding that the guilty verdict in Trump’s hush money case is very important to how they will vote in November. Five percent of independents said the verdict was an important factor and that the conviction makes them more likely to support Trump.
Just a small share of Republicans surveyed said they would be less likely to back the former president after his conviction.
Forty-one percent of Republicans said the conviction has no impact on their support for Trump and that it was not important in how they will vote. Twenty-eight percent of Republicans said that they were more likely to support Trump and that the guilty verdict was not important in how they vote.
Just 7 percent of Republicans said they are less likely to support Trump and that the conviction was important in determining their vote.
A New York jury found Trump guilty last month on all 34 counts of falsifying business charges after hearing weeks of testimony from high-profile witnesses. The former president repeatedly railed against the case, labeling it as politically motivated.
His sentencing is scheduled for July 11, which is just four days before the Republican National Committee’s national convention where he will likely be formally nominated as the GOP’s presidential nominee.
Republicans in the new survey were also more likely to say the hush money trial was not fair. Sixty-seven percent of Republicans said that the verdict was not “the result of a fair and impartial judicial process,” while 27 percent of independents and 5 percent of Democrats said the same.
The poll also found that 63 percent of Republicans said President Biden was directly involved in the Manhattan district attorney’s decision to bring the New York state case against Trump. Twenty-three percent of independents said the same, according to the poll.
President Biden at the end of May condemned Trump’s unfounded assertions of a biased legal system as “reckless” and “dangerous.”
The poll was conducted June 7-9 among 1,027 U.S. residents. It has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.
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New Polling Shows the Real Fallout From the Trump Conviction
A new POLITICO Magazine/Ipsos poll shows that Trump’s criminal conviction hurts him with independents.
In the weeks since the verdict, both parties have sought to shape the public’s initial reaction, with Republicans largely denouncing it and Democrats citing the result as further evidence that former President Donald Trump is unfit for office. | Pool photo by Charly Triballeau
By ANKUSH KHARDORI
06/17/2024 05:00 AM EDT
Donald Trump’s criminal conviction didn’t instantly upend the 2024 presidential race. But the results of a new poll should be worrying for Trump.
In the weeks since the verdict, both parties have sought to shape the public’s initial reaction, with Republicans largely denouncing it and Democrats citing the result as further evidence that Trump is unfit for office. To figure out how this unprecedented moment is being processed by the electorate, POLITICO Magazine partnered with Ipsos in a new survey.
Among the most notable findings in our poll: 21 percent of independents said the conviction made them less likely to support Trump and that it would be an important factor in their vote. In a close election, small shifts among independent and swing voters could determine the outcome.
And yet there is also good reason to believe that Trump and his allies’ efforts to discredit the prosecution and conviction have cast doubt on the validity of the verdict among many people and limited the potential fallout for the former president-turned-felon.
A sizable number of Americans, including independents, question whether the verdict was the result of a fair and impartial process. And although most respondents rejected the idea that the prosecution was brought to help President Joe Biden, a large number (43 percent of all respondents) either strongly or somewhat agreed that was the rationale for the case.
Taken as a whole, the results of the poll suggest that Americans’ views on the Trump verdict may still be malleable — and could get better or worse for Trump.
There are plenty of upcoming events and variables that could change public opinion before November, to say nothing of the ongoing efforts by political operatives on both sides of the aisle to influence (or not) public perceptions. That includes Trump’s sentencing in Manhattan (July 11), which could entail a period of incarceration, as well as Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s testimony before Congress about the case (July 12), where Republicans are sure to hammer him.
The recent conviction of Hunter Biden on gun charges and a scheduled trial in September on tax charges could also influence Americans’ perceptions, particularly since those cases dramatically undermine Trump and Republicans’ claims that the former president has been the victim of a “weaponized” Justice Department.
In the wake of Trump’s guilty verdict, we also sought to measure Americans’ trust in key figures in the criminal justice system — including lawyers, judges and juries — and compared the results against a survey that was taken roughly a year ago, as Trump’s criminal prosecutions were still getting underway. The data showed a drop in levels of trust among Republicans in particular.
But the least trusted actors in the legal system are not the lawyers prosecuting or defending the cases, or even the kind of state judges presiding over Trump’s case. They are the Supreme Court justices themselves, whose public approval has taken a considerable hit in recent years thanks to unpopular rulings issued by the conservative supermajority and a series of rolling ethical controversies involving Republican appointees Samuel Alito and Clarence Thomas.
This poll was conducted from June 7-9 and had a sample of 1,027 adults, age 18 or older, who were interviewed online; it has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points for all respondents. This is the fourth poll on the Trump prosecutions that POLITICO Magazine has conducted in partnership with Ipsos since last summer.
Here are the key findings.
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1. Trump’s Conviction Is an Electoral Liability — Particularly Among Independents
The notion suggested by some pundits that a conviction might help Trump in the general election was always deeply counterintuitive, and our post-verdict numbers rebuff that prediction.
A plurality of respondents in our poll (38 percent) reported that Trump’s conviction would have no impact on their likelihood to support Trump for president, but the results were decidedly lopsided among those who said it would affect their support. Thirty-three percent of respondents said that the conviction made them less likely to support Trump, while only 17 percent of respondents said that it made them more likely to support Trump.
The results were worse for Trump among respondents who said they were political independents. Thirty-two percent of them said that the conviction made them less likely to support Trump. Only 12 percent of them said that it made them more likely to support Trump.
2. Trump’s Conviction Could Drive Voters Away from Him
It is one thing for someone to say that the verdict makes them more or less likely to support Trump, but more important is whether the issue actually helps determine their vote, particularly given the array of other issues — the economy and immigration, to name just two — that are clearly important to many voters this year.
In an effort to isolate the effect of the verdict, we also asked respondents how important the conviction would be in deciding how they vote in November. Here too, the results were not good for Trump.
Twenty-two percent of respondents said that the conviction is important to how they will vote and that it makes them less likely to support Trump. Only 6 percent of respondents took the other side of that question — reporting that the conviction is important to how they will vote and that it makes them more likely to support Trump.
A nearly identical net-negative effect showed up among independents. Twenty-one percent of independents reported that they were less likely to support Trump and that the conviction is important to their vote. Just 5 percent of them said that the conviction is important to how they will vote and that it makes them more likely to support Trump.
3. Many Americans Remain Skeptical of the Verdict
There is, however, a silver lining for Trump: The numbers could be worse. In fact, our poll showed that a sizable number of Americans harbor reservations about the prosecution and the verdict.
We asked respondents, for instance, whether they thought that the guilty verdict was the result of “a fair and impartial judicial process.” A plurality of respondents said yes (46 percent), while others either disagreed (32 percent) or said that they did not know (19 percent).
Those trends largely held among the subset of independents, with a plurality of them saying that they thought that the verdict was the result of a fair and impartial process (46 percent), while others disagreed (27 percent) or said that they did not know (24 percent).
4. Many Americans Question the Origins of the Prosecution
We also asked several questions designed to probe whether and to what extent Americans associated the case with a partisan effort to prevent Trump from being reelected, as he has repeatedly claimed. Although there is no meaningful evidence that the prosecution was designed to prevent Trump’s reelection, the numbers suggest that Trump has succeeded in casting doubt on the integrity of the prosecution.
We asked respondents whether they thought that President Joe Biden was “directly involved” in the decision to bring the case. A majority of respondents either said yes (29 percent) or that they did not know (25 percent).
The numbers were even more favorable to Trump when we asked whether they believed that the Justice Department was “directly involved” in the Manhattan DA’s decision to prosecute Trump (despite a similar lack of evidence to support this view). Roughly a third of respondents said that they thought that DOJ was directly involved (36 percent) while another third (34 percent) said that they did not know.
5. Many Americans Believe that the Prosecution Was Brought to Help Joe Biden
We also asked respondents whether they thought that the prosecution was brought to help Joe Biden.
Most respondents (51 percent) disagreed with the claim, but a still-sizable chunk of them (43 percent) agreed that the case had been brought to help Biden.
The results were roughly similar among independents: 44 percent agreed that the case had been brought to help Biden and 50 percent disagreed.
These figures may be movable, however, given other data from the poll that suggests a notable contingent of Americans still lack a firm understanding of the case. Roughly a third of all respondents (31 percent) and independents (33 percent) said that they still do not understand the details of the case well.
6. Trust in the Justice System Has Eroded Among Republicans
We also surveyed respondents about how much they trust key actors in the criminal justice system — including prosecutors, defense attorneys, judges and juries.
Two notable points emerged, particularly when we compared the results with an earlier survey conducted by Ipsos in July 2023 that posed similar questions.
First, the biggest shift in opinion over that time occurred among Republicans. Democrats generally maintained or increased their levels of trust in these actors, while Republicans’ trust decreased across the board — and by greater margins.
Last year, for instance, 60 percent of Republican respondents reported that they had either “a great deal” or “a fair amount” of trust in citizens serving on juries, but in our latest survey, that number dropped to 42 percent. A year ago, 41 percent of Republican respondents reported a great deal or a fair amount of trust in prosecutors; that figure has now fallen to 32 percent.
Second, the least trusted group of actors did not turn out to be the usual suspects — prosecutors or defense attorneys — but the Supreme Court justices. Just 39 percent of all respondents reported having a great deal or a fair amount of trust in the justices — a figure that roughly tracks the court’s historically low approval ratings under the conservative supermajority.
It remains to be seen whether the public’s trust in the court will deteriorate even further given the array of controversial issues and litigants that remain on their docket as the current term wraps up in the coming weeks.
Among them? Another Trump prosecution.
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Iowa poll: Trump nearly 20 points ahead of Biden
BY LAUREN SFORZA - 06/17/24 12:13 PM ETSHAREPOST
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Former President Trump holds a nearly 20-point lead over President Biden in Iowa, a state that former President Obama carried twice, according to a new poll.
The new Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa poll found 50 percent of likely voters will back Trump in November’s election, while 32 percent said they will vote for Biden. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. received 9 percent of support, the poll found.
The Des Moines Register noted that the figures are about unchanged from the last Iowa poll in February, where Trump had 48 percent of support among likely voters to Biden’s 33 percent. Fifteen percent said in the last poll they would vote for someone else.
However, Biden supporters in Iowa are slightly less likely to change their mind on who to support. Nineteen percent of Biden’s supporters said they might change their mind on who to vote for, while 24 percent of Trump’s supporters said their minds are not made up.
The poll also found that Biden’s approval rating remains low, with just 28 percent of Iowans approving of how the president has handled his job. This is a slight downtick from the 29 percent who approved of Biden in February’s poll.
While Trump has a comfortable lead in the state, the poll found that he could have some trouble with independent women. Fifty-eight percent of independent women have an unfavorable view of Trump while 41 percent have a favorable view, The Des Moines Register reported.
Trump has carried Iowa in the last two presidential elections, flipping the state back to Republicans after Obama won the state in 2008 and 2012. Trump won Iowa in 2020 with about 53 percent of support.
The poll was conducted by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines between June 9 and 14 among 806 Iowans. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
November’s election is set to be a likely rematch of the 2020 election as recent polls have shown the two frontrunners headed toward another close race.
The Hill/Decision Desk HQ’s national polling average shows Trump with about a one-point lead over Biden based on 749 polls.
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