United States elections 2024


Trump leads Biden in Michigan, ties in Pennsylvania, polls show​

President Joe Biden beat out his Republican rival in both states in the 2020 presidential election.
Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump arrives to speak at his Super Tuesday election night watch party.


Donald Trump arrives to speak at his Super Tuesday election night watch party at the Mar-a-Lago Club in Florida, on March 5, 2024. Trump garnered 50 percent support from surveyed Michigan voters compared to Biden’s 42 percent in a hypothetical matchup. | Jamie Kelter Davis for POLITICO
By OLIVIA ALAFRIZ
03/22/2024 11:20 AM EDT



Donald Trump held an eight-percentage-point lead over Joe Biden in Michigan while tying with his Democratic rival in Pennsylvania, according to a pair of new polls released Friday.
The former president garnered 50 percent support from surveyed Michigan voters compared to Biden’s 42 percent in a hypothetical matchup, according to the CNN poll. In Pennsylvania, Trump and Biden both earned 46 percent of the vote.



Biden beat out his Republican rival in both states in the 2020 presidential election, winning Michigan by nearly three percentage points and Pennsylvania by slightly more than one percentage point.




But voters in both swing states are dissatisfied with their options in the 2024 presidential election, the polls showed. Fifty-three percent of Michigan voters and 52 percent of Pennsylvania voters said they were dissatisfied or very dissatisfied with the candidates.
Trump has faced backlash over his mounting legal troubles and his efforts to overturn the 2020 election, while Biden has been saddled with questions about his age and mental acuity.
In both states, about one third of Trump voters and almost two-thirds of Biden voters said their pledged support was more of a vote against their opponent than for that candidate.
In Michigan, 63 percent of Biden voters and 38 percent of Trump voters characterized their support as such. In Pennsylvania, it was true for 61 percent of Biden voters and 34 percent of Trump voters.
The CNN polls surveyed 1,132 registered voters in Pennsylvania and 1,097 in Michigan online and by phone from March 13 to March 18. The margin of error is plus-or-minus 3.8 percentage points in Pennsylvania and 3.6 percentage points in Michigan.
 

Trump tops Biden by 8 points in Michigan poll​

BY TARA SUTER - 03/22/24 10:13 AM ET
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Former President Trump topped President Biden by 8 points among Michigan registered voters in a poll of a hypothetical rematch of the 2020 election.
The CNN poll released Friday found 50 percent of voters say they would support Trump if the presidential election were held today, and 42 percent would support Biden. Five percent say they would support somebody else, and 2 percent say they don’t plan to vote.


The poll also found approval of Biden’s handling of his job is flat at 35 percent, the same percentage as in November.
Additionally, 40 percent of the registered voters polled in Michigan say they have a favorable opinion of Trump, versus 33 percent who say the same about Biden.
Biden flipped Michigan in the 2020 presidential election, after Trump won it in 2016. The president handily won the Michigan Democratic primary last month, but an option on the ballot for voters to choose “uncommitted” received more than 100,000 votes following a campaign that urged voters in the state to choose the option to send Biden a message about their disapproval of his handling of the war in Gaza.

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In a polling average from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ on the 2024 election in Michigan, Trump is leading Biden, 45.4 to 42.1 percent.
The CNN poll was conducted March 13-18, featuring a sample of 1,097 registered voters. It has a sampling error of 3.6 percentage points.
 

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