United States elections 2024

[Yommie]

Sen. Warren: Biden is reminding us health care is on the ballot​

 

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Trump eyes Sen. Marco Rubio as a potential VP pick

The shortlist remains on the long side. But the senator from Florida is gaining traction, six sources told NBC News.

www.nbcnews.com

Trump eyes Sen. Marco Rubio as a potential VP pick​

The shortlist remains on the long side. But the senator from Florida is gaining traction, six sources told NBC News.

Former President Donald Trump with Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., at a rally at the Miami-Dade County Fair in Miami in 2022.Joe Raedle / Getty Images file

March 20, 2024, 7:40 PM EDT / Updated March 21, 2024, 11:59 AM EDT
By Dasha Burns, Matt Dixon and Jonathan Allen
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. — Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., is moving up the list of former President Donald Trump's potential vice presidential picks, according to six people familiar with the presumptive Republican nominee's search for a running mate.
Rubio is hardly alone in the field; the cast of hopefuls for the job is large enough to fill an entire season of "The Apprentice." Trump estimated the number at 15 in a interview March 13 with Newsmax, and one of the sources said Rep. Elise Stefanik, R-N.Y., retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson and Sen. Tim Scott, R-S.C., are among those in the mix.

"The list is long, and it's extremely early in any kind of process," a Trump adviser said. "No one has been directly reached out to yet, and I do not expect that for some time."
Two sources familiar with planning said there is a growing consensus around a June announcement of a vice presidential pick — at least a month before the convention — but there are no firm plans yet.
But Trump's apparent seriousness about Rubio, 52, a third-term senator, hints at his priorities and presents an intriguing set of potential complications.
Rubio is young and telegenic, he has spent more time in federal office than Vice President Kamala Harris, and, at a time when Trump is bullish on his chances of winning over Latino voters, he would be the first Latino person on a major-party presidential ticket.
In other words, Rubio, the Miami-born son of working-class Cuban immigrants, looks good on paper and on television — a powerful combination for Trump.
"It's pretty clear from Trump's orbit that Rubio is in play," said a veteran Florida GOP operative. "It makes sense because he checks almost every box if they can get past both being from Florida."
The Constitution prohibits electors from voting for a president and a vice president from their own states.
"The Electors shall meet in their respective States, and vote by Ballot for two Persons, of whom one at least shall not be an Inhabitant of the same State with themselves," Article II, Section I, Clause 3 reads.
But that didn't stop Dick Cheney, a longtime Texan, from changing his residence to Wyoming in 2000 so he could run with Texan George W. Bush.
It's not clear whether Rubio would be interested in moving to be vice president, and he has raised the Constitution as a possible impediment — without fully ruling out the No. 2 slot — before.
"We’re both from the same state, so that’s probably not going to work that way,” Rubio said when he was asked about joining a Trump ticket on Fox News in January.
Spokespeople for Rubio and Trump both declined to comment for this article.

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Trump has declined to name candidates on his list, but he has given some insight into his thinking.
"It's very important you pick the right person in case something happens," he told WABC radio in New York on Tuesday. "You want to have somebody that can step into that role and be great."
He added that he doesn't think his choice will have much bearing on the outcome of his rematch with President Joe Biden.
"In terms of an election, historically, it doesn't help at all," he said. "I guess it could hurt if you pick somebody that was a disaster."
The Trump team plans to test out top contenders on the campaign trail — auditions of a sort — at rallies and events in the coming months. It will also assess a necessary skill that Rubio has shown: the ability to raise money. He collected nearly $50 million for his 2016 presidential run.
There's a scenario being discussed in Florida political circles in which Rubio could resign his Senate seat to move to another state and join the ticket. That would give a big plum to Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, Trump's vanquished rival from this year's primary, in the form of a Senate appointment to hand out.
"The more interesting part is what it means for Rubio's Senate seat and who DeSantis would appoint," the veteran Florida GOP operative said.
Eight years ago, Trump and Rubio exchanged heated barbs — including some thinly veiled shots at each other's manhood — when they competed for the 2016 GOP nomination. Trump nicknamed Rubio "Little Marco" during that campaign, and Rubio fired back that Trump had "small hands."
But their relationship improved as Rubio backed Trump's White House agenda and endorsed him right before January's Iowa caucuses this year.
CORRECTION (March 21, 11:59 a.m. ET): A previous version of this article misstated the historical significance of having Sen. Marco Rubio on a Republican presidential ticket. He would not be the first nonwhite person on the ticket; Charles Curtis, Herbert Hoover’s vice president, had Native American ancestry and was the first, in 1928.

 

[Yommie]

https://www.cnn.com/2024/03/22/politics/vice-president-trump-election/index.html

Trump’s vice presidential shortlist is very long — and in flux​

By Kristen Holmes and Alayna Treene, CNN
5 minute read
Updated 1:59 PM EDT, Fri March 22, 2024

Clockwise from top left: Marco Rubio, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem and JD Vance.
Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images
CNN —
At a fundraiser in New York, Donald Trump asked donors what they thought of Arizona Senate candidate Kari Lake as a running mate.
In recent conversations, the former president has appeared fixated on Ohio Sen. JD Vance.
And Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, New York Rep. Elise Stefanik, former Trump Cabinet official Ben Carson and even former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley are among some of the names on a lengthy list Trump has mentioned over the past several months.


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The presumptive GOP nominee is floating them all as he weighs who the next potential vice president will be.
Trump routinely asks allies, donors and Mar-a-Lago members for their take. Sources said his interest in potential candidates is frequently changing and is often based on recent conversations with various allies.
“One day he is trashing someone, and the next day he is asking allies about that person as vice president. Sometimes he’s just curious what people think of them,” one Trump adviser told CNN.
In recent weeks, Trump has expressed increased interest in Rubio, Vance, South Carolina Sen. Tim Scott and South Dakota Gov. Kristi Noem, according to multiple sources who have been briefed on the matter or have spoken to the former president about it.


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Trump advisers have indicated that the former president is nowhere near to making a formal decision on whom he wants to run with, the sources said. Trump has also not personally discussed the role with many of the names he has floated, according to conversations with people close to the potential candidates.
While Trump volleys names and potential candidates begin jockeying behind the scenes, his campaign has compiled a list of more than a dozen potential vice presidential picks to be vetted, sources familiar with the matter told CNN.
One source described the list as “unsurprising,” indicating that it was composed of a number of names that had already been out in the public space, many of which Trump himself had floated. While the campaign is tracking names, multiple sources cautioned that the former president would ultimately make the decision on whom he would share the ticket with whether they were vetted or not.
Trump has indicated privately that he will announce a vice presidential pick in the early summer before the Republican convention, three sources told CNN.
Trump and those in his inner circle had at one point considered an announcement of his running mate shortly after he had secured enough delegates to win the GOP presidential nomination, and advisers say that Trump may yet decide on an earlier announcement.
Trump allies argue that there are pros and cons to each timeline. An early announcement would mean being able to potentially fundraise off that selection — especially helpful as his team struggles to compete financially with President Joe Biden’s campaign.
Announcing later, though, can create suspense and increase attention around the former president as Republicans jockey to serve as his second-in-command.
Recently, Trump has told allies that it does not matter whom he picks as his running mate, indicating that it is him alone who will carry the 2024 Republican ticket, multiple sources told CNN.
“Trump knows that people who are going to vote for him are going to vote for him, and those who aren’t are not going to change their mind because of a running mate,” one source close to the former president told CNN.
However, sources noted Trump’s political savvy and said he would looking for a running mate’s potential to help him with specific voting blocs with whom he is more vulnerable.

A surprise name​

Some close to the former president were most surprised by how seriously Trump is considering Rubio, the Florida senator who clashed heavily with him during the 2016 GOP presidential primary.
After announcing his third presidential bid, Trump privately expressed anger toward Rubio for not endorsing him early on, often pointing out to advisers that he had held an event for the senator in Miami ahead of his last election. Rubio endorsed Trump earlier this year.
However, Trump’s consideration of Rubio is “very much real,” as one source with direct knowledge of the discussions told CNN.
“He likes Rubio because he’s Hispanic, young, a good speaker, natural charisma,” a senior Trump adviser said.


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The former president recently went as far as to acknowledge there would be a delegate issue with selecting Rubio because the two are both residents of Florida, a second source briefed on the matter said, something some of Trump’s senior advisers also pointed out.
There is no law preventing a president and vice president of the US being from the same state. However, Article II of the Constitution prevents electors in each state from voting for two people from the same state.
The rule would be even more relevant in a close election, and the Trump campaign currently predicts that the 2024 race will be close, according to conversations with multiple Trump advisers.
Responding to reports about his name being floated, Rubio told conservative radio host Glenn Beck that “anybody who gets a chance to serve as vice president of the United States should consider that an honor.”
The senator added: “I have never spoken either to President Trump or anybody on his campaign about this or anybody else that they’re considering for vice president.”
Multiple allies have attempted to pitch Trump on South Carolina’s Scott, who is believed to be under consideration. However, one source who discussed Scott with Trump said he seemed uninterested during their conversation. Others close to the former president disagreed with this read and noted that Trump has been incredibly impressed by Scott as a surrogate after the senator suspended his own 2024 presidential campaign.
Outside of a potential vice president, there will be hundreds of administration jobs to fill if Trump is elected, and Trump-aligned organizations are hard at work vetting applicants to build out potential staff. It is expected that Trump’s team will draw heavily from a database of loyalist applicants being compiled by Project 2025, a transition effort run by the conservative Heritage Foundation. One of Trump’s most trusted former aides, John McEntee, is consulting on the personnel part of the project.
This story has been updated.

 

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https://www.politico.com/news/2024/03/20/noem-trump-china-tariff-plans-00148043

Trump VP contender Noem ducks question on his China tariff plans​

The South Dakota GOP governor declined to directly weigh in on Trump’s threat of steep new tariffs on Chinese goods.

Donald Trump's proposed tariffs on China could have a deep impact on South Dakota's economy. | Susan Walsh/AP
By MEREDITH LEE HILL
03/20/2024 03:36 PM EDT

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Trump veepstakes candidate and South Dakota GOP Gov. Kristi Noem on Wednesday ducked a question during a congressional hearing when pressed about the former president’s talk of slapping steep new tariffs on all Chinese goods — a move that could trigger immense financial fallout for farmers in her state.
“I think that that is a proposal that people are still looking at and having conversations about,” Noem replied at a House Agriculture Committee hearing on the threat of China to American agriculture.

Trump and his allies have floated new tariffs as high as 60 percent on all Chinese goods, which they argue will bring manufacturing back to the U.S. However, American farmers and agribusinesses are still reeling from Trump’s first trade war that hit hundreds of billions of dollars worth of Chinese goods with tariffs. Beijing’s retaliation effectively cut off U.S. producers from their largest export market.


Noem declined to weigh in on the merits of Trump’s proposals. Rep. David Scott (D-Ga.), the top Democrat on the panel, asked Noem whether farmers in her state were prepared to face the financial consequences of such a move by Trump, should he win the presidency.


Kristi Noem endorses Trump for president in 2024

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“And that is a great conversation for you to continue to have as well with the Republican members here as well to weigh in, to make sure we get the best policy in place,” Noem added. “Because policy is what matters and the debate and the discussion is incredibly important.”



Noem, a former U.S. representative, also declined to weigh in on the matter when asked about Trump’s tariffs as she left the hearing Wednesday.
Trump’s initial trade war with Beijing and new tariff threats have alarmed some Republican lawmakers in rural districts and has sparked intraparty fights as the GOP presses to hammer China ahead of November and de-link the world’s two largest and deeply intertwined economies.
“Tariffs end up costing Americans,” said Rep. Don Bacon, a Republican from Nebraska, another farm state where farmers rely on China’s export market. Bacon added he is “willing to have the conservation” about China’s unfair trading practices and other malign behavior, but said suggested he’d be wary of new tariffs that could blow back on U.S. farmers.
Trump’s trade war inflicted deep and long-lasting damage on U.S. soybean farmers, one of the top crops grown in Noem’s state.
Immediately after Noem testified before the panel Wednesday, Josh Gackle, a farmer from North Dakota who heads the American Soybean Association described the immense fallout for U.S. soybean farmers after Trump’s initial 2018 trade war with Beijing. U.S. soybean sales to China were a top casualty of the trade war and total losses to U.S. farmers topped $27 billion, Gackle noted.
“The sheer sale of China’s demand for soybeans cannot be replaced,” Gackle said, warning that new tariffs would inflict new and potentially worse financial damage for American farmers than in 2018 as countries like Brazil rise to fill the void.

 

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[Yommie]

Joe Biden leads Donald Trump in eight polls

Joe Biden has a lead of between 1 percent and 3 percent over Donald Trump, according to three recent polls.

www.newsweek.com

Joe Biden Leads Donald Trump in Eight Polls​

Published Mar 22, 2024 at 10:56 AM EDTUpdated Mar 23, 2024 at 12:44 PM EDT


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By James Bickerton
US News Reporter
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President Joe Biden leads former President Donald Trump in a contest between the two candidates, according to eight recent polls.
The surveys give Biden a slight lead on a national basis ranging from one to three points, though it isn't clear if it would give him an overall victory due to the Electoral College.

On March 12, Biden and Trump each won a series of primary elections to become their party's presumptive presidential nominees. This focused attention on how a likely presidential election between the two rivals would play out.
A Mainstream Research/Florida Atlantic University survey of 1,053 American adults conducted between March 15 and 17 found that among likely voters, 47 percent would vote for Biden "if the election for president were held today" against 45 percent for Trump. Four percent said they would vote for "another candidate," while four percent said they were "undecided."

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Former President Donald Trump (left) speaks during a Buckeye Values PAC Rally in Vandalia, Ohio, on March 16 and President Joe Biden speaking at Stupak Community Center on March 19 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Biden... MoreKAMIL KRZACZYNSKI/AFP/IAN MAULE/GETTY
Ipsos and Reuters conducted a poll of 3,356 registered voters between March 7 and 13 that found 39 percent would vote for Biden "if the 2024 election were today," against 38 percent for Trump with 11 percent for "some other candidate." The remainder were either unsure or not voting.

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Civiqs surveyed 1,324 registered U.S. voters online between March 9 and 12, finding that 45 percent would vote for Biden in an immediate presidential election against 44 percent for Trump.
An Emerson College survey of 1,350 registered voters on March 5 and 6 had Trump and Biden tied at 45 percent. However, once undecided voters were asked which candidate they leaned toward, Biden ended up at 51 percent against 49 percent for Trump.

The most recent YouGov/The Economist survey, published by the latter on March 22, gave Biden a one-point lead at 45 percent.
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A Kaiser Family Foundation poll gave Biden a three-point lead over Trump, with 47 percent of the vote. The survey of 1,072 registered voters took place between February 20 and 28.

Finally a TIPP poll gave Biden a one-point lead with 44 percent support.
Newsweek has contacted representatives of Trump's and Biden's 2024 presidential campaigns for comment by email.
If Biden wins the popular vote in November, he could still lose the White House to Trump due to how the Electoral College works, as Hillary Clinton did in 2016. Recent surveys have given Trump the lead in the battleground states of Michigan, Georgia, Pennsylvania and North Carolina.
Trump also polled ahead of Biden in three out of five national polls conducted over a short period in late January.

Following Trump's and Biden's primary wins on March 12, U.K.-based bookmaker Betfair offered odds of 11/10 (48 percent) on Trump winning November's presidential election against 2/1 (33 percent) for Biden.
Speaking to Newsweek Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said: "There has been £12.5 million [about $16 million] wagered on the Betfair Exchange market and 44 percent of that has been for Trump, punters [bettors] have been consistently backing him to return to the White House. However, Joe Biden has been the bigger mover in the market recently and he's closing the gap on Trump."

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