US 2026 Midterm Elections Thread

Inflation and Gas price is usually the topic number 1 when people talk about election for past couple of weeks/months, even at work its a hot topic. What i notice at least from the friend circle i have here in Tampa that a lot of undecided voters are now leaning democrats, now if they do something after winning in mid-terms which can then be reflected in the presidential but its a big "IF".
Even if, by some miracle, Trump ends the war in Iran tomorrow, the oil price is going to stay high for the next couple of months to stabilise production and get back on schedule.

In the short term, the only way to alleviate gas prices is basically to suspend the fuel tax, and that's a state issue, not Federal.
 
Well, the House can investigate, but they can't do anything until it past Senate with a supermajority, and there are no way the Dems can win a supermajority in the Senate to overcome Trump's veto.

Making it pointless, as we all know Trump is shit; we don't need an investigation to tell us so lol....

The only thing the Dems can do after winning the Senate (If they can, I still have doubts) is nomination confirmation.
If they take the Senate, they'll be able to nominate as many judges as possible
 
If they take the Senate, they'll be able to nominate as many judges as possible
The President Nominates judges and senate approves them. That was the idea behind checks & balances. Mitch McConnell was able to block Obama's Federal Judicial appointments during the last 2 years of his presidency ensure 100+ federal judicial seats remained unfilled and then ram through rightwing dare I say unqualified nominees to lifetime federal judgeships under Trump's first turn.

Here is the AI recap

Mitch McConnell was able to leave a historic number of federal judicial seats vacant during President Obama’s final two years by utilizing the strict scheduling and gatekeeping powers of the Senate Majority Leader.
Once Republicans won the Senate majority in the 2014 midterms, McConnell assumed complete control over which executive and judicial nominations were allowed to reach the Senate floor for a vote. He used this power to slow the confirmation process to a near-total standstill.

The Mechanics of the Judicial Blockade

McConnell and Senate Republicans executed this strategy using a few primary tools:
• Controlling the Senate Floor Calendar: The Constitution gives the president the power to nominate judges, but the Senate has the sole power to provide "Advice and Consent". As Majority Leader, McConnell simply chose not to schedule floor votes for the vast majority of Obama's nominees, leaving them languishing on the calendar indefinitely.
• Judiciary Committee Gatekeeping: Under McConnell's leadership, the Republican-led Senate Judiciary Committee sharply reduced the number of confirmation hearings it held. If a nominee never received a committee hearing, they could not be voted on by the full Senate.
• The "McConnell Rule" (The Merrick Garland Blockade): The most prominent example of this strategy occurred following the death of conservative Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia in February 2016. President Obama nominated Chief Judge Merrick Garland to fill the seat in March. McConnell preemptively declared that the Senate would not hold hearings, meetings, or votes on any Supreme Court nominee until after the 2016 presidential election, arguing the American public should have a voice in the selection. The seat remained vacant for over 400 days until Donald Trump took office.

The Statistical Impact

By the time President Obama left office in January 2017, the blockade had altered the landscape of the federal judiciary:
• Historical Lows: The Senate under McConnell confirmed judicial nominees at the lowest rate in 30 years. During the final two years of the Obama presidency, the Senate confirmed only 22 formal appellate and district judges.
• Massive Vacancies: This intentional slowdown left over 100 vacancies across the U.S. District Courts and Circuit Courts of Appeals, alongside the single Supreme Court vacancy.
This accumulation of empty seats created a blank canvas for the incoming Trump administration, allowing Republicans to rapidly fill the vacancies with conservative judges and reshape the federal judiciary for a generation.

Mitch McConnell’s judicial strategy didn't just stall Obama's nominees—it set up a pipeline to aggressively reshape the federal judiciary for decades. When the White House flipped, Senate Republicans focused heavily on confirming highly conservative, historically young lawyers to lifetime federal benches.
Here is exactly how the data breaks down:
The Youth Strategy
While no nominees were in their 20s, the administration leaned into youth to maximize how long these judges could hold lifetime power.
• Over Trump's administrations, more than 30 judges in their 30s have been appointed to lifetime seats.
• By comparison, Barack Obama appointed only 9 judges in their 30s during his entire eight years.
• The youngest nominees—including Kathryn Kimball Mizelle, Katie Lane, and Samuel Adkisson—were tapped at just 33 years old.
The Lack of Trial Experience
To seat these young ideologues quickly, traditional standards of trial experience were frequently bypassed, leading to intense pushback from legal groups:
• The American Bar Association (ABA) considers 12 years of legal practice the baseline minimum to be qualified for a federal judge.
• Because many of these picks fell well short of that standard, a historic number of nominees were officially rated "Not Qualified" by the ABA.
• Some of these lifetime appointees had never served as lead counsel in a trial, never argued a motion in court, and never picked a jury before being given the gavel.
For conservative legal architects like the Federalist Society, the lack of traditional trial experience was seen as secondary to ideological alignment and youth, ensuring a conservative judicial majority that will last for a generation.
 
After the first half hour of voting on the 2026 midterm election day in Florida, Republicans achieved gains of nearly +22 points by voting on Election Day.

*This number is higher than the 2024 election number, which was 15+

 
If the Democrats gain both houses of Congress, there will be major oversight. Oversight the Congress is supposed to use, but instead, they almost completely seeded their authority to Trump.

My Comment to the NY Times article by Ken Burns became the highest Recommended one--only behind Mr. Burns' own comment. Almost 3000 Recs already. WOW.


Firstly, let's applaud Ken Burns for his courageous stand, given that a media person risks alienating their audience by writing such articles. And secondly: Totally agree with him on this: The legislator branch of the govt should rein in the runaway train of the executive branch. I have noticed the Congress abdicating its authority especially since Trump II Presidency. If the Democrats win today, which I hope they do by a thumping majority, then I also hope they assert themselves in both domestic and foreign affairs to right the wrongs. God Speed!
 
I did, line was pretty long at my polling place.
People were really animated

Wife and I: 6 minutes it took to pull up the car to the parking, vote and got out of the building--and part of that me figuring out how to insert that card/paper into the scanner; I felt stupid!
She voted Straight Republican.
I voted Straight Democrat. [I wanted to vote a Republican for the House but got too lazy and just stayed with Straight Democrat. Plus wife had to come back to work and was rushing everything--needlessly, IMO].
That helped taking so little time. Semi-rural area helps too.
 
The next 2 years is going to be what we called lame duck, as someone said it on TV a couple of hours ago, if the Dem took the house and/or senate, the only reason why congressmen and senator to go to Washington DC in the next 2 years is to get a free haircut.......

Right but don't expect anything major different about foreign policies. Trump will figure out ways to use his 'Executive Powers'. Such a nice setup of 'Checks and Balances'. NOT!
 
He can veto, but then nothing will be done in the next 2 years, because the President can just veto any bill, but he can't make any, which means there are no policies at all in the next 2 years, either that or both sides had to compromise...

Technically, Congress can simply not pass any budget bill to fund the government, which means a government shutdown in the next 2 years is highly probable.
In other words, not a lot of damage will be done.

Good.
 
The President Nominates judges and senate approves them. That was the idea behind checks & balances. Mitch McConnell was able to block Obama's Federal Judicial appointments during the last 2 years of his presidency ensure 100+ federal judicial seats remained unfilled and then ram through rightwing dare I say unqualified nominees to lifetime federal judgeships under Trump's first turn.
Easy now.

Democrats have nominated and conformed their fair share of activist judges as well.
 
Right but don't expect anything major different about foreign policies. Trump will figure out ways to use his 'Executive Powers'. Such a nice setup of 'Checks and Balances'. NOT!
Obama once said "I've got a phone and a pen,"

Part of this mess we have now is Congress has gladly ceded their responsibilities over the years. They've no one to blame but themselves though they never do.
 
I'm looking forward to truth social tonight seeing Trump calling everyone "suckers," "losers," "scumbags," and misspelling things and other new insults.
I'm about to start a fresh pot of cofveve. Might be a long night. Except for California. It will take them a month to get the votes they need to win.
 

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