US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War

[Ali_Baba]

Like others would love to have this war over with. But I've seen so many roller coaster ups and downs I don't know what the hell to think

What this war against Iran has done, is exposed the limitations of Israel's military power and both Türkiye and Egypt will be learning a lot of lessons from this. Israel can fight for 3-4 weeks at most, after which its ability to fight war against Iran decreases massively. Last time Israel managed 12 days, this time it lasted a bit longer. While airpower is more powerful than missiles in terms of "bombs on target" and "destructive power", it is limited by pilots factors where as missiles have a longer persistence window. Israel cannot take away Iran's missile power. The vast majority of bases are back to operation already, none of them were penetrated, only entrances closed with very very expensive munitions.

Israel has learnt it simply cannot take on and beat Iran on her own, it needs the US to do it and even the US has limitations as demonstrated in this war. We will find out in time, how much of what the USA thinks it has destroyed in Iran, turns out to be true and how much was decoys, and how much of it was empty buildings! I would take the dollar value of damage done in Iran right now, with a pinch(large) of salt.

I do personally think it is over as there is nothing new that Israel and USA can do now, that they have not tried to do before. The target bank is empty and what is left, is more war crimes only. USA/Israeli military tactics and plans have run out of choices options and Iran's clock is working in Iran's advantage now.

UAE has already waved the white flag of surrender by giving Iran's money back to Iran to not bomb it any further. The appetite for more war by the PGCC is not there anymore.

The only thing left now is how much horse trading there is to be done, and how much of the USA's strategic oil reserves get used up in that horse trading for the final deal.

( imho ! ).

 

[Ali_Baba]

Jeremy Scahill: Iran Fears Trump MENTALLY ILL​

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Very interesting video, in particular the use by Iran of psychologists in Iran to understand what is going on with Trumps dementia ridden brain and how to structure their narrative in light of that, which worked and then the MOU progressed successfully.

 

[VCheng]

even the US has limitations as demonstrated in this war. We will find out in time, how much of what the USA thinks it has destroyed in Iran, turns out to be true and how much was decoys, and how much of it was empty buildings! I would take the dollar value of damage done in Iran right now, with a pinch(large) of salt.

That is a fair assessment. Everyone has limitations, and everyone will be analyzing this war for a long time to come, to learn, and apply, any lessons as may apply to their own situations.

For now, cessation of hostilities, and easing the adverse pressures building up in the global economy, as well as within Iran and USA, are important, but we all must wait for the final, signed agreements, to see how the situation is likely to evolve for the region itself.

What is clear that much will change. A lot.