US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War

[Davey Crockett]

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..? (Resolved): View final results and past odds on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

polymarket.com

 

[Davey Crockett]

But that isn't an existential crisis specifically for the US...that's for almost everybody.

Behind a paywall, unfortunately.

Which Countries Will Run Out Of Energy First<!-- --> | ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

 

[جوبا]

The next steps in the US military campaign against Iran will commit nearly its entire inventory of stealthy JASSM-ER cruise missiles, drawing them from stockpiles devoted to other regions.
The order to pull the $1.5 million weapon from Pacific stockpiles was issued at the end of March, according to a person with direct knowledge of the matter. Missiles at US facilities elsewhere, including the continental US, will be moved to US Central Command bases or Fairford in the UK, said the person, who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive details.
After the moves, only about 425 JASSM-ER out of a prewar inventory of 2,300 will remain available for the rest of the globe. That would be roughly enough for 17 B-1B bombers on a single mission. Another 75 or so are “unserviceable” because of damage or technical faults.
The JASSM-ER, or Joint Air-to-Surface Missile-Extended Range, can fly more than 600 miles and was designed to hit targets at a safer distances to avoid an enemy’s air defenses.
Along with the shorter-range JASSM — which has a range of about 250 miles, about two-thirds of US stockpiles have been committed to the Iran war, the person said.
Supplies of missile interceptors and long-range strike weapons have been at issue since the US and Israel launched their air campaign on Feb. 28. Replacing what has been used would take many years’ worth of production at current levels.
US operations through the first four weeks of the war consumed more than 1,000 JASSM-ERs, the person said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter. US aircraft also fired 47 during the raid to capture Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, the person said.
The US has allocated funds to buy more than 6,200 JASSMs since 2009, and production of the baseline JASSM for US supplies ended about 10 years ago.
Lockheed Martin Corp.’s scheduled production rate for 2026 is 396 of the longer-range version, although as many as 860 can be manufactured if the line, which also produces the LRASM anti-ship missile, is fully geared toward JASSMs.

Source:Bloomberg

 

[Davey Crockett]

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[SolarWarden]

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I swear if they stick a Wu-Tang Clan sticker with a pic of Old Dirty Bastard I'm switching sides!

 

[Davey Crockett]

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[lightning f57]

. I have not been able to really understand why the world subsidizes this spending of ours

More Americans must ask this question. As they saying gos when your on the gravy train its hard to come off.

Most of the developed world has used the security arrangement after WW2 to benefit financially and its in their interest to support that for their own benefit.

However US debt is becoming unmanageable, from around $6trn in 2001 to nearly $40trn now. In 2001 US gdp was around $10trn.

If you include unclaimed liabilities, US debt reaches way over 300% GDP to debt ratio.

Bottom line, the MAGA approach on acting in US self interests makes sense if you properly apply it. The biggest component is make the people more prosperous you do that with less debt, better affordable services, lower taxes. Wasting money on wars where Iran or Yemen are not a threat is going contrary to that.

Check this out:

Israeli Gdp to debt ratio:

2001: GDP $135bn, debt $102bn
2025: GDP $158bn, debt $122bn

Their gdp to debt ratio has improved, in that time how many wars has the US carried out for Israel? Probably all baring Afghanistan invasion. They get economically stronger, US weaker for helping them. How exactly is this helping the US?

 

[Haz]

It is control, and therefore colonialism.

The USA is a colonialist state ...

The USA controls who governs Iraq by manipulating the politics of Iraq and their selected leaders that they are then forced to ask for control of "their" money by the USA.

Why the Trump administration is refusing to accept a third term for Iraq's Nouri al-Maliki

That the US would seek to block Maliki from a third term as prime minister is unsurprising given his disastrous record from 2006 to 2014.

www.atlanticcouncil.org

Step back a bit and take a wholistic view of everything.

They've weaponized that lever numerous times in the past, this should not be news to anyone. When Iraq was seriously pushing to close all US bases in the country and drive them out entirely, the US threatened to hold those oil proceeds hostage too, and the Iraqis backed down.

Just another tool in their colonialism tool kit, nothing has changed.

 

[Haz]

Soldiers given 4 days notice to prepare for deployment... "Four Days"...
View attachment 190150
When soldiers from POL / 92F are being asked to deploy. You don't need any further "Analysis".

What is POL?

 

[F-22Raptor]

The next steps in the US military campaign against Iran will commit nearly its entire inventory of stealthy JASSM-ER cruise missiles, drawing them from stockpiles devoted to other regions.
The order to pull the $1.5 million weapon from Pacific stockpiles was issued at the end of March, according to a person with direct knowledge of the matter. Missiles at US facilities elsewhere, including the continental US, will be moved to US Central Command bases or Fairford in the UK, said the person, who was granted anonymity to discuss sensitive details.
After the moves, only about 425 JASSM-ER out of a prewar inventory of 2,300 will remain available for the rest of the globe. That would be roughly enough for 17 B-1B bombers on a single mission. Another 75 or so are “unserviceable” because of damage or technical faults.
The JASSM-ER, or Joint Air-to-Surface Missile-Extended Range, can fly more than 600 miles and was designed to hit targets at a safer distances to avoid an enemy’s air defenses.
Along with the shorter-range JASSM — which has a range of about 250 miles, about two-thirds of US stockpiles have been committed to the Iran war, the person said.
Supplies of missile interceptors and long-range strike weapons have been at issue since the US and Israel launched their air campaign on Feb. 28. Replacing what has been used would take many years’ worth of production at current levels.
US operations through the first four weeks of the war consumed more than 1,000 JASSM-ERs, the person said, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter. US aircraft also fired 47 during the raid to capture Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro, the person said.
The US has allocated funds to buy more than 6,200 JASSMs since 2009, and production of the baseline JASSM for US supplies ended about 10 years ago.
Lockheed Martin Corp.’s scheduled production rate for 2026 is 396 of the longer-range version, although as many as 860 can be manufactured if the line, which also produces the LRASM anti-ship missile, is fully geared toward JASSMs.

Source:Bloomberg

This report is not accurate. Over 4,100 had been delivered as of two years ago. My estimates were 5,300+ prewar

 

[RescueRanger]

What is POL?

Petroleum Supply Specialist.

 

[Davey Crockett]

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[EugeneP]

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..?

US forces enter Iran by..? (Resolved): View final results and past odds on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

polymarket.com

BTW, market predictions for a ceasefire are 50-50 by July 2026.

At $90 million, that is some serious prediction going on!

US x Iran ceasefire by...?

$89,147,493 has traded on "US x Iran ceasefire by...?" as of April 4, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

polymarket.com

 

[Haz]

Petroleum Supply Specialist.

Ok thank you. I googled it, but can't figure out easily what does it mean when they are being called up to deploy in 4 days?

I actually could use your analysis if possible lol

 

[RescueRanger]

Interesting that the Brit Royal Airforce is now active off Israeli coast with on KC2 tanker, 3 KC135s active in Jordan, over Kuwait and KSA, 1 USN MQ4C over UAE likely providing ISR and if the MQ4C is active, you can bet that a P8 is not far off.

The coronet east out of Tel Aviv - shows holding pattern on Kuwaiti/ Saudi border with 1 x 135 R/T (Able to refuel and fuel other tankers - supports special forces) tail: 62-3550 Angel 23350 - now over Tel-Aviv.