US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War

[RescueRanger]

Some visuals from the CENTCOM area:
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That looks like a TARS...
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F15

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A strike on alleged SAM launcher at Naval Base - Jask, Iran. 0047 local time.

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Explosion in Tabriz residential buidling:

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IL76 captured here on final approach to Mehrabad Intl, Tehran with XPDR (Transponder) switched off.

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Movement of military personnel reported @ IRGC Fajr 19th Division base in Fars Province Iran

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Explosions reported in Shiraz, Fars, Iran

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[RescueRanger]

Boeing RC-135W Rivet Joint 1x HEX: AE01D0| Tail 62-4139 - CALLSIGN OLIVE 39 - departed Andrews Air Force Base after refueling - direction RAF Mildenhall (UK0 for refuel and final destination NSA Souda Bay (Crete) where it will replace 62-4138 which has been operating for almost 5 month deployed to CENTCOM AOR where it flew at least 39 missions to date.
View attachment 221283
View attachment 221284
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Patriot batteries now arrive in CENTCOM AOR [Took off from
Fort Bliss - Home to 1st Armored Division 32d Army Air and Missile Defense Command 5th Armored Brigade 93d Military Police Battalion Army Field Support Battalion:
View attachment 221285
@AZ_HighCountry
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A lot of US military flights particularly tankers headed east - are now no longer using the Mode-S hex of AE05A5 - instead using a code not assigned to the United States.

Context: This is an attempt to mask movement of aircraft from prying eyes.
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As expected OLIVE 39 had brief stop in UK for refueling and now departing for NSA Souda Bay.



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Updating this- post to avoid spammy posts:
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USAF KC135 | 58-0125 Callsign: LAGER 78 was on a training exercise with fighters from 52 Fighter Wing out of Spangdahlem, Germany - declared Emergency and had to RTB RAF Mildenhall citing hydraulics issue.


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[RescueRanger]

The USAF has flown 34 recorded C17 Flights into CENTCOM AOR recorded since October 8th, 2026, with the greatest surge being recorded during October 27th through to October 29th.

Note: I have deliberately withheld the ICAO route code and final destination from this table.

 

[F-22Raptor]

New update

 

[RescueRanger]

New update

"I didn't see the IRGC out there AT ALL!" - Adm. Brad Cooper

Meanwhile in the REAL WORLD!

The IRGC are literally deploying small boats alongside tankers, attaching mines and blowing up their engine rooms...



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[RescueRanger]

@AZ_HighCountry good read here:

https://www.iiss.org/globalassets/media-library---content--migration/files/publications---free-files/strategic-dossier/md-dossier-2026/iiss_the-gulf-at-war_30102026.pdf

 

[RescueRanger]

Royal Air force (UK) KC3/A330-243 MRTT tanker (ZZ335) from RAF Akrotiri currently operating towards the southwestern mainland regions refueling RSAF aircraft.

 

[Ali_Baba]

New update

He is the NEW Baghdad Bob !!!!

 

[F-22Raptor]

"I didn't see the IRGC out there AT ALL!" - Adm. Brad Cooper

Meanwhile in the REAL WORLD!

The IRGC are literally deploying small boats alongside tankers, attaching mines and blowing up their engine rooms...


View attachment 221452
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He’s specifically referring to IRGC conventional naval vessels, which are indeed entirely sunk. Coop knows they’re still harassing commercial vessels, otherwise they wouldn’t be striking launchers.

Bottom line, oil flow is back to prewar levels.

 

[F-22Raptor]

He is the NEW Baghdad Bob !!!!

View attachment 221456

He’s 100% accurate, Irans navy is sunk and transit is back to prewar levels.

 

[Ali_Baba]

He’s 100% accurate, Irans navy is sunk and transit is back to prewar levels.

 

[F-22Raptor]

The vast majority of ships Iran does manage to hit continue on to the Gulf of Oman, conduct the STS transfer, and get repaired.

Oil prices remain elevated due to threat of war and Iran being forced to retaliate. Also shipping costs due to elevated risk.

 

[F-22Raptor]

View attachment 221460

The conflict has shifted to an economic war, that Iran is thoroughly losing.

- Oil flow back to prewar levels
- 0 Iranian oil exports
- American control of Hormuz due to naval blockade
- Iranian economy in free fall, while the US is growing near 3% in 2026.

 

[PK781]

He’s 100% accurate, Irans navy is sunk and transit is back to prewar levels.

but tankers are being hit daily and that's not looking good when the world runs out of good tankers and vessels and LNG tankers.
The US was supposed to ensure that but they still can't

 

[F-22Raptor]

but tankers are being hit daily and that's not looking good when the world runs out of good tankers and vessels and LNG tankers.
The US was supposed to ensure that but they still can't

They’re hitting <10% of tankers that are crossing daily and the majority of those are getting repaired in the Gulf of Oman.

Oil prices are elevated because the US operation has been so wildly successful that markets are pricing in Iranian retaliation.