US Political News and Trump’s China visit

FBI director doesn't sign warrant; it HAS TO BE from a judge from the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court. An FBI director can order surveillance for 30 days without a warrant as per FISA, then you must seek a warrant from FISC after 30 days.

This is an indictment that does not exist in the first place. You can argue whether or not the FBI had abused its power on FISA and spied on the Trump campaign becuase of the secrecy, but you can't argue the fact that the indictment was not seen by the full panel of the grand jury. Hence, there was no indictment to begin with.

I can go ask a friendly judge and sign a warrant if I don't think I have enough for probable cause. That's because probable cause is very subjective; my definition is not the same as your definition, and that is arguable. It is not the same thing as a prosecutor just asking the foreman to sign an indictment and use it to indict anyone; an indictment had to be considered by a full panel of grand jurors and return a majority verdict. The only thing you can argue in this case is whether Halligan did it because she was ignorant or she had done it because she intentionally rushed the indictment.
I know how the process works. No need for the lecture.

And, as we now know, the judge who signed that warrant is the same judge who is actively thwarting Trump's immigration enforcement actions.
 
I know how the process works. No need for the lecture.

And, as we now know, the judge who signed that warrant is the same judge who is actively thwarting Trump's immigration enforcement actions.
Again, one is you had a friendly judge who may have signed off on stuff that you may not agree with; again, that's arguable, that even my wife, who's a lawyer, cannot say that's a wrongdoing outright. I myself did that when I needed a warrant for something, and I don't think I have enough probable cause, by the way, you can rectify that in a subsequent evidence hearing; you can say I don't have enough probable cause for the warrant and try to suppress that evidence.

The other one is the prosecutor issuing an indictment that had not been through the entire Panel of Grand Jury, that's a misconduct because you can't by the process of grand jury, that's against the procedure of grand jury. And you CANNOT rectify that issue because the indictment is out, you can't un-indict an indictment.

If you are talking about an FBI director who refused to go for a warrant and do a surveillance ops, that's similar, but still not the same again, he could do that for 30 days without a warrant.

One is a judicial discretion, and the other is outright a violation of criminal procedure. Do explain to me how those two are similar?

P.S. Do you think only Dems use this discretion? If Judge Cannon had not used her discretion and delayed the indictment being heard, Trump would have been in court instead of making a run for the Presidency, you say that like it's only the Dem doing this to Trump......
 
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Yes, 14 points is huge, the rest of the poll had it between 5 to 7, that would be enough for a swing to multiple seats toward the Dem. This is the poll by the way


The problem is, Trump isn't really popular right now, even Fox own poll had Trump down by a whopping -17 points and believes the GOP-led Congress and House are being ineffective. That's saying something here.


There will be a wipeout if anyone does not support the Epstein bill yesterday, and even with that, those seats are not safe and you need to think beyond 2026. Because not much is going to change from now til 2026, which means 2028 is now in play, and if this is the number we are looking at, I don't see howthe GOP is going to win 2028, especially when Trump is not on the ticket.
Some predict a 14 point difference is equivalent to a 70 seat shift.

Even beyond Epstein, it’s really down to the economy, as perceived on a day to day basis and being able to make big life decisions; especially buying a home.

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Some predict a 14 point difference is equivalent to a 70 seat shift.

Even beyond Epstein, it’s really down to the economy, as perceived on a day to day basis and being able to make big life decisions; especially buying a home.

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For more detailed information, see our cookies page.

Not sure if this is the same prediction you saw, but I saw an analysis about a week after the November election. If the Democrats lead by +3 points in the generic ballot, it translates to the Democrats "just" taking the House in 2026, maybe talking about +5 seats, it will be the same situation now, just Dem have an edgy lead in Congress.

If the generic ballot is +7 points, the Democrats will take the House with a 15+ seat lead. The Democrats will also be challenging the Senate majority. Even if Dems win, you are looking at either an evenly split Senate or a Dem + 1

If it is +14 points, then Dem will roll over both house and senate, may even be able to challenge Senate supermajority. And specifically, no GOP seats in NY state is safe if Dem had a +14 points lead in Generic Ballot. The greatest CVPI for the GOP in NY is +14.

I don't think +14 is accurate, unless the GOP really fumbles and makes a larger mess than it has now, there is a race to watch, tho, that's the Tennessee 7th district, the election is on Dec 2, 2025, and in a deep red state with a lean red seat (CVPI GOP +10), we all expect the Democrats candidate Behn to lose, but by how much, polls on motivation are currently neck to neck, from +1 to -3, basically all within margin of error. While this seat is +8 before Green steps down in July. This race will show the effect of Trump's policy in a deep red state.


But yes, people vote in 2026 will ask 1 question and 1 question only: Did you feel better off now than in 2024? At this point, only 37% of people think they are better off than before.
 
Not sure if this is the same prediction you saw, but I saw an analysis about a week after the November election. If the Democrats lead by +3 points in the generic ballot, it translates to the Democrats "just" taking the House in 2026, maybe talking about +5 seats, it will be the same situation now, just Dem have an edgy lead in Congress.

If the generic ballot is +7 points, the Democrats will take the House with a 15+ seat lead. The Democrats will also be challenging the Senate majority. Even if Dems win, you are looking at either an evenly split Senate or a Dem + 1

If it is +14 points, then Dem will roll over both house and senate, may even be able to challenge Senate supermajority. And specifically, no GOP seats in NY state is safe if Dem had a +14 points lead in Generic Ballot. The greatest CVPI for the GOP in NY is +14.

I don't think +14 is accurate, unless the GOP really fumbles and makes a larger mess than it has now, there is a race to watch, tho, that's the Tennessee 7th district, the election is on Dec 2, 2025, and in a deep red state with a lean red seat (CVPI GOP +10), we all expect the Democrats candidate Behn to lose, but by how much, polls on motivation are currently neck to neck, from +1 to -3, basically all within margin of error. While this seat is +8 before Green steps down in July. This race will show the effect of Trump's policy in a deep red state.


But yes, people vote in 2026 will ask 1 question and 1 question only: Did you feel better off now than in 2024? At this point, only 37% of people think they are better off than before.
Besides people souring on Trump there is the increased voter turnout amongst millennials and Gen Z; and if it’s an election focused on repudiation of Trump, 14 points shift may actually happen if the economy tanks.
 
Besides people souring on Trump there is the increased voter turnout amongst millennials and Gen Z; and if it’s an election focused on repudiation of Trump, 14 points shift may actually happen if the economy tanks.

Read an article a few days ago online, comparing the Trump economy with the former British Prime Minister Liz Truss's mini-budget debacle. That argue points out 3 similarity between the two, both have currency value dropped during the economic policy, both have the bond yield up, and both have negative investment outlook, there is a forth factor, which was interest rate, while the UK interest rate is up during Truss permiership, US is down, but that's simply because we are two problem, high inflation and not enough job, the Brit faced 1. And if we are facing a problem of stagflation, where GDP didn't grow enough, job loss is high, and inflation is high, and the Fed had to lower rates to sitimulate the market first, because you need capital flow, that's pushing up prices.

We are heading the same way the UK was in September 2022, the problem that it wasn't showing much is because we are simply a bigger (A lot bigger) economy, and there are more equalibirum we can chase, but if you look at the One Big Beautiful Bill Trump just passed, that's the same policy with Truss's mini-budget, I mean, look at it, does it looks familiar?

1763739654674.png

We are adopting the same policy, under a similar outlook, in the UK. I don't know what else I can tell you, but we are expecting the same result that the UK experienced back in September 2022, which is a complete economic shutdown. Which in the end force Truss out as Prime Minister just 47 days into her job.

Would we be at the same shit end of the stick? I don't know, maybe there is some X factor or whatever we can hope for, but I will say this, the economic knowledge I process make me feel grim in 2026. That's what I can say at this point.
 
Read an article a few days ago online, comparing the Trump economy with the former British Prime Minister Liz Truss's mini-budget debacle. That argue points out 3 similarity between the two, both have currency value dropped during the economic policy, both have the bond yield up, and both have negative investment outlook, there is a forth factor, which was interest rate, while the UK interest rate is up during Truss permiership, US is down, but that's simply because we are two problem, high inflation and not enough job, the Brit faced 1. And if we are facing a problem of stagflation, where GDP didn't grow enough, job loss is high, and inflation is high, and the Fed had to lower rates to sitimulate the market first, because you need capital flow, that's pushing up prices.

We are heading the same way the UK was in September 2022, the problem that it wasn't showing much is because we are simply a bigger (A lot bigger) economy, and there are more equalibirum we can chase, but if you look at the One Big Beautiful Bill Trump just passed, that's the same policy with Truss's mini-budget, I mean, look at it, does it looks familiar?

View attachment 161015

We are adopting the same policy, under a similar outlook, in the UK. I don't know what else I can tell you, but we are expecting the same result that the UK experienced back in September 2022, which is a complete economic shutdown. Which in the end force Truss out as Prime Minister just 47 days into her job.

Would we be at the same shit end of the stick? I don't know, maybe there is some X factor or whatever we can hope for, but I will say this, the economic knowledge I process make me feel grim in 2026. That's what I can say at this point.
We have the world’s reserve currency, so there is that, but most indicators look really rough.
 
We have the world’s reserve currency, so there is that, but most indicators look really rough.
Problem is, being the world's largest reserve currency means the world can't afford to have the US economy broken, that does not mean they can't afford for the American Citizen to live a good life, yes, being the world's dominant currency means our economy won't collapse, that does not mean people won't suffer.........
 
Problem is, being the world's largest reserve currency means the world can't afford to have the US economy broken, that does not mean they can't afford for the American Citizen to live a good life, yes, being the world's dominant currency means our economy won't collapse, that does not mean people won't suffer.........
Hopefully we have the fiscal space to bounce back and correct from this mistake when it become obvious. Holding spending steady, while the economy grows could be a way to partially close the budget deficit, while hopefully inflation keeps coming down, and we don’t spend any money saved on giveaways like the stimulus checks to everyone or tax cuts for the rich. We need to pour this money back into our infrastructure and housing.

Unfortunately, it does look like the bad times will only get worse for far too many Americans; hence the only solution will be what is happening with consumer products being applied to other major ticket items; shrink-flation; cheaper housing needs to be build to downsize people’s lifestyles, so they have more money to put towards other needs and wants.

The other problem is that once interest rates dip, any borrowing gets put into the AI bubble and non-productive uses. A market correction is also very much overdue, to end good money chasing bad.
 
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Two Muslims; Zohran and Lina Khan working to lower the cost of beer at yankee stadium ;) :

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Donald Trump to designate Muslim Brotherhood as foreign terrorist organization - report​

According to Just the News, Trump had been planning the move since his first term as president.​

US President Donald Trump looks on as he walks to board Marine One to depart for Joint Base Andrews, from the South Lawn at the White House in Washington, DC, US, November 22, 2025
US President Donald Trump looks on as he walks to board Marine One to depart for Joint Base Andrews, from the South Lawn at the White House in Washington, DC, US, November 22, 2025(photo credit: REUTERS/AARON SCHWARTZ)ByMIRIAM SELA-EITAMNOVEMBER 23, 2025 18:22Updated: NOVEMBER 23, 2025 20:00
US President Donald Trump plans to designate the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist organization, he told Just the News on Sunday.

"It will be done in the strongest and most powerful terms," he said. "[The] Final documents are being drawn."

According to Just the News, Trump has been planning the move since his first term as president.








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U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a meeting with Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., November 18, 2025 (credit: EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/REUTERS)
U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a meeting with Saudi Crown Prince and Prime Minister Mohammed bin Salman in the Oval Office at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., November 18, 2025 (credit: EVELYN HOCKSTEIN/REUTERS)

Texas designates Muslim Brotherhood, CAIR as terror groups

Trump's declaration comes days after Texas Governor Greg Abbott announced he would designate the Muslim Brotherhood and the Council on American-Islamic Relations (CAIR) as foreign terrorist organizations and transnational criminal organizations.
“The Muslim Brotherhood and CAIR have long made their goals clear: to forcibly impose Sharia law and establish Islam’s ‘mastership of the world,’” Abbott said in a press release.

“The actions taken by the Muslim Brotherhood and CAIR to support terrorism across the globe and subvert our laws through violence, intimidation, and harassment are unacceptable.”

Michael Starr contributed to this report.
 

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