Which is exactly my point, logistics is near impossible to supply Taiwan, and I want to reiterate my point, th3 distance is good for artillery missiles and air force, no Chinese is gonna land without tenderising Taiwan. Taiwan's geography is both a blessing and a curse. If Taiwan is as large as Ukraine, it will be a blessing but Taiwan is a puny island.
For how long? Do you dispute the time window in post 247?
@Pingle Yeah but without nuclear subs for japs, am I right?.
defencepk.com
the invasion windows are April-May or Oct-Nov with 2-3 weeks each.
The D-Day invasion had about 800K troops, for Taiwan, China will need at least 1 mil. Do you have enough ships? You can use civilian ships, but they are not built to quickly disembark fully loaded soldiers and vehicles.
Do you know the tide schedules? PLA troops may need to cross at least one mile of shallow water on foot, which will impede movement, while ships and troops would be under Taiwanese defense bombardment.
How many feasible landing sites? The Taiwanese know all of them.
In Desert Storm, the allies did not 'tendersized' all of Iraqi defenses. So what make you think you can do the same in Taiwan? The answer is 'No', you cannot. And given the narrow landing window you have, which the Taiwanese also know, all Taiwanese defense has to do is survive in sufficient numbers to focus on those landing sites.
That distance will be mined. How many PLA troops
WILL die there? Of course, we can count on you not being part of the invasion force, right? You never served, never been in combat, and have no idea how long it can take to move just one mile. All the while, voices in the radio pushing you to move forward because they have to get off the transports as well.
So, let us assume the invasion will be in the Oct-Nov window. That mean China will start bombarding Taiwan for at least 30 days prior to the invasion. By the, the whole world will know what is coming. Trade to China will decrease. Traffic in the SCS will cease. If after 30 days, the PLA decide that Taiwan have not been properly 'tendersized', there will be no invasion.