Navid09
Registered Member
Is it possible that iranian oil will be going on Chinese ships so that America can't attack them?
Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds
- Thread starter Khorasan Black Flags
- Start date
Is it possible that iranian oil will be going on Chinese ships so that America can't attack them?
FHN
Trusted Member
As the "Iran War" enters its ninth day, the issue of precision-guided munitions stockpiles is gradually coming to the surface... The U.S. military's reserves of long-range stand-off attack weapons, such as the AGM-158 JASSM cruise missile, stockpiled to address a potential Taiwan Strait crisis, currently number just over 4,000, and in this military operation against Iran, 10% to 15% of this strategic reserve has already been consumed—roughly equivalent to the U.S. military's total annual production capacity for such munitions.Due to limited stockpiles and slow replenishment, the U.S. military has been using these high-end munitions in a "careful and calculated" manner. Additionally, with some tactical aircraft still relying on the shorter-range JDAM Joint Direct Attack Munition, fighters have had to approach targets more closely, not only increasing risks of short loiter times and difficulty covering targets, but also reducing overall strike efficiency.To ensure fighter safety, the U.S. and Israel have been launching from distant bases. Israeli pilots are averaging three sorties per day, flying 10,000 kilometers, spending 13-14 hours a day in the cockpit, relying solely on drug use to stay alert, yet managing to drop just 2 bombs per sortie for a total of 6 per day. In contrast, during the Gaza war, Israeli fighters could fly 5-6 sorties daily, and in extreme cases, drop 7-8 bombs per sortie.The Israeli Defense Forces' stockpile situation is even more dire. The IDF's inventory of even standard JDAM guided bombs has already bottomed out, and in recent airstrikes on Iranian residential areas, it has even been reported that they were forced to use unguided iron bombs—a weapon that not only drastically reduces the probability of destroying point targets in modern urban combat but also carries enormous risks of collateral casualties. At the same time, the IDF must also contend with ongoing Hezbollah harassment in southern Lebanon and widespread targets inside Iran, with munitions demands growing exponentially. To address this urgent crisis, the U.S. Department of Defense is urgently allocating 12,000 munitions to Israel to replenish its near-depleted stockpiles.In the realm of low-altitude kill chains, the U.S.-Israeli coalition forces are similarly facing stubborn resistance. A large number of armed reconnaissance drones have been shot down over Iran, and combined with stockpile limitations on precision-guided weapons, the coalition's speed in destroying Iran's mobile launchers falls far short of the levels seen in the previous Twelve-Day War, directly resulting in Iran retaining a considerable asymmetric counterstrike capability.Faced with the dual pressures of ineffective ground target clearance and munitions stockpiles, the U.S. military has been forced into a strategic adjustment, deploying a third carrier strike group to the theater and preparing to deploy strategic bombers. Although the B-1B Lancer has participated in airstrikes, due to fears of Iran's unknown but dense air defense network, these bombers dare not penetrate deep into its airspace and can only launch AGM-158 JASSM cruise missiles from stand-off ranges. However, with stand-off weapon stockpiles inherently limited, this "high-cost, low-penetration" mode of operations offers little in the way of meaningful changes to the battlefield situation. The conflict between the finite stockpiles of high-tech weaponry and the infinite demands of high-intensity attrition warfare is increasingly becoming the key constraint on the war's progress.
Iran should dismiss it and say, thanks, no !
Bengal71
Trusted Member
That's a dude, not even a woman.
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Psyko70
Trusted Member
He is not even relevant. He is like Kevin Hart.
UndercoverJIX
Elite Member
seems USN mighty navy is too scared to come close, forget about escort for the time being.
FHN
Trusted Member
Japan experiences a triple kill in stocks, bonds, and forex. Reposted from Flavio Marin on LinkedIn:“STRAIT OF HORMUZ BLOCKADE: WHY CHINA WILL NOT BE CONSTRAINEDA Hormuz closure is the scenario Western strategists cite most often when assessing China's energy vulnerability. The data says otherwise. China is prepared. Not partially. Not theoretically. Operationally prepared, right now, across every layer that matters.▌RESERVESChina holds 1.18 billion barrels of crude in onshore storage — a record high — plus five underground Strategic Petroleum Reserve facilities. Against a Hormuz-only supply loss of ~5 Mb/d, that is 236 days of cover. Enough time to execute a full industrial response with months to spare.▌COAL-TO-LIQUIDS: THE STRATEGIC BACKSTOPChina operates the world's largest Coal-to-Liquids complex — the Shenhua Ningxia plant, 100,000 barrels per day of Fischer-Tropsch synthetic fuel. Built in 39 months. With 98.5% domestic equipment. No foreign contractors. No imported gasifiers. Total CTL capacity currently under construction or commissioned: ~240,000 b/d, scaling to 360,000–580,000 b/d by 2030. Under a national emergency mandate, five Ningxia-scale plants can be built concurrently in 3–4 years.▌THE INFRASTRUCTURE IS ALREADY THEREThe Haoji Railway — world's longest heavy-haul coal line, running from Inner Mongolia directly into the Yangtze River basin — operates at 10% of its 200 Mt/year design capacity. The Yangtze provides effectively unlimited process water. Three Gorges Dam runs at partial load, its curtailed gigawatts available on demand. The Changji-Guquan UHVDC line carries 12 GW of Xinjiang power east across 3,324 km — already built, already running.▌DEMAND IS FALLING ANYWAYChina's EV fleet is displacing approximately 600,000 barrels per day of liquid fuel demand every year — and accelerating. The gap that Hormuz closure would open is closing organically, before any emergency measure is required.▌THE VERDICTEvery physical constraint — water, coal transport, product slate, geographic isolation of reserves — resolves when assessed against Chinese infrastructure realities. The Hormuz card, as a mechanism to constrain China, has been structurally neutralised.
Aad80
Registered Member
Israel and the US are heading towards a major strategic defeat.
The Strait of Hormuz must remain closed indefinitely until ALL the sanctions on Iran and the Iranian people have been lifted.
The Strait of Hormuz must remain closed indefinitely until ALL the sanctions on Iran and the Iranian people have been lifted.
StrategicBear
Registered Member
I wish they attempt an amphibious landing or escort through Hormuz because I can't wait to see sunken US Navy ships, especially now that the US has sank Iranian Navy ships already, so it's payback time now.
Psyko70
Trusted Member
May God Give Americans so much dumbness and ego that they actually do come to iranian coast for amphibious attacks and get hammered.
Flotilla
Trusted Member
Two things. That missile impacting must be the second one. There is a dust cloud over the place that suggest that this was a second impact. I don't know if It was launched to maximize casualties (seems likely) or just to ensure the destruction of the target. Anyway it was a civil target and therefore a warcrime.
Second point. The missile didn't explode. Tomahawk has a big warhead. The impact should create a big shockwave and explosion, but just wipe out a lot of earth and no explosion. If that missile would explode, much more casualties would registered.
