j_hungary
Professional
I don't know how Trump is going to exit the war. I don't think even Trump himself knows how he is going to back out of this quagmire, but as far as I see it, there are only 3 ways to end this for him and fix the Hormuz.Any thoughts? On how can Trump have a plan to exit the war when he did not even a plan to enter the war![]()
1.) Go full on with a ground-based invasion, capture half or all of the Iranian coast, and its islands. That way, you physically take the Strait from Iran, which would mean decades of war, and Trump most definitely needs Congress to agree to it; well, good luck
2.) Set up some exclusion zone in the area to protect the shipping transiting out of the strait, and then unilaterally pull back; it is possible to man the Khasab or Dahit and open a small corridor of shipping lane hugging the coast around the strait. The US had enough troops and assets in the area to hold down the shipping lanes. The downside is this is quite a shallow waterway, which means you probably are not going to get the big ship moving, which means either the US is going to need to protect it or have them exposed to attack. This is the middle ground solution. You don't need to end the war; S trait can be open (to small traffic), and you would have enough troops to pull it out without international help.
3.) End the war, then seek a UNSC resolution like they are currently talking about. Have the UN assemble an DEFENSIVE Escort fleet, either physically escort the ship out with its usual waterway, or force Iran to concede. This is the best of all 3 solutions, however, Trump would have to pull out before a UN fleet would be inserted in the area, and that mean the US won't be able to stop Iran from further their nuclear and ballistic missile capability, which is 2 of the main things in the US strategic goal, which essentially mean America lost this war. This would require the UN (namely France, Russia, and China) not to veto the proposal, and they already said they won't even look at it while the war is still on. If the UN thing is a bust, Trump may ask NATO for assistance, but it will be the same outcome; the US would need to end the war first, then a NATO floatilla would be inserted.
These are the only ways to end this, as far as I can see.






