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Iran is not going to overthrow Pres Trump. Not directly at least.The real goal for Irán is to overthrown Donald Trump as a President.
Irán cannot perform reach any agreement with someone that broke his compromises two times.
as usual Artesh simply does not exist and Iran does not have an army
so random civilians and tribesmen have to do their job for them
I respect Amir Hatami but this is a shit show and Artesh must be dissolved or merged with the IRGC
irans normal armyWhat is "Artesh"?
Iran does not want an endless war. But from Tehran’s perspective, if the choice is between a temporary ceasefire after which the war is likely to resume, and continued fighting under current conditions, it is more likely to keep fighting, not to “open the straits” on someone else’s terms.
Any proposal put before Iran would have to include not only a halt to the current operation, but also a credible commitment that it will not be resumed - in effect, an end to the campaign. It would also have to narrow future talks to two issues only: Hormuz and the nuclear file, explicitly excluding missiles and support for regional allies. And those talks would have to take place on the assumption that Iran retains both its leverage over Hormuz and its nuclear capabilities.
From the Iranian point of view, this is the only realistic path to stopping the war.
Further escalation, including strikes on Iranian infrastructure, is unlikely to change these core calculations. If Washington is unwilling to move toward these terms, then it will eventually have to expand the war without illusions about the cost—particularly the enormous consequences for the global economy.
Iran does not want an endless war. But from Tehran’s perspective, if the choice is between a temporary ceasefire after which the war is likely to resume, and continued fighting under current conditions, it is more likely to keep fighting, not to “open the straits” on someone else’s terms.
Any proposal put before Iran would have to include not only a halt to the current operation, but also a credible commitment that it will not be resumed - in effect, an end to the campaign. It would also have to narrow future talks to two issues only: Hormuz and the nuclear file, explicitly excluding missiles and support for regional allies. And those talks would have to take place on the assumption that Iran retains both its leverage over Hormuz and its nuclear capabilities.
From the Iranian point of view, this is the only realistic path to stopping the war.
Further escalation, including strikes on Iranian infrastructure, is unlikely to change these core calculations. If Washington is unwilling to move toward these terms, then it will eventually have to expand the war without illusions about the cost—particularly the enormous consequences for the global economy.
I heard that the Strait of Hormuz are the territorial waters of Iran and Oman, and that they're not international waters.Iran does not want an endless war. But from Tehran’s perspective, if the choice is between a temporary ceasefire after which the war is likely to resume, and continued fighting under current conditions, it is more likely to keep fighting, not to “open the straits” on someone else’s terms. ...
I have two questions.
May I ask which Iranian politician currently has the ability to persuade all Iranian armed groups to cease fire?
What kind of guarantee does Iran need to obtain in order to believe that it is a permanent ceasefire?
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