US Perspective on the Iran - Israel / US War

Well thanks to SCOTUS ruling today (go to political thread) Trump has nothing but time unlike IRGC which have their own doomsday countdown clock. Shutdown rigs and damage them or allow them to overflow causing environmental disaster.

The Repubs were going to lose the midterms regardless of the Iran war and Trumps not running for reelection.
 
The Repubs were going to lose the midterms regardless of the Iran war and Trumps not running for reelection.
No. Before war GOP was very likely to keep the house and senate maybe losing a seat here or there the war just made it somewhat a sure thing the norm of mid term elections was going to happen... not anymore. With SCOTUS ruling Trump can now comfortably play the waiting game with Iran.
 
No. Before war GOP was very likely to keep the house and senate maybe losing a seat here or there the war just made it somewhat a sure thing the norm of mid term elections was going to happen... not anymore. With SCOTUS ruling Trump can now comfortably play the waiting game with Iran.

The ruling party almost always loses a chamber at midterms.
 
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I thought energy prices werent being effected in the USA according to Trump. The prices in the UK Have literally put an extra $45 on a tank……
Yesterday I went to a busy Gas station near my apartment, and while i was waiting i walked around and check every pumping booth, and saw how much the last person has paid for the Gas, only 1-2 were like in 40's rest were all in 20's. I filled mine with around 43$. Thankfully I am live around 12 miles from my work place, but on average Americans drive 20-25 Miles one way to work, that high price is already making the lower/middle class and even some very die hard Republican fans are calling this Govt stupid, I think Mid terms will go to democrats from the looks, because even the right wing is divided into 2, you have those who are finally seeing how Israel is squeezing American b@lls, and controlling their media/politicians etc, they will either not vote or vote for democrats. only brain dead Republicans which you see some here on PDF too are still in support of Trump administration.
 
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Domestic gasoline prices in the US are going absolutely bananas.

Outage at the BP Whiting refinery, a sharp climb in the price of crude, and massive draws on gasoline inventories is creating a perfect storm.

We're heading to $4.50/gallon national average soon. It likely won't stop there.
 
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Earnings day, and US companies are booming.

As of today, ten US companies with over $1T market cap with SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs later this year expected to add another $3-4T in capitalization.
 
Yesterday I went to a busy Gas station near my apartment, and while i was waiting i walked around and check every pumping booth, and saw how much the last person has paid for the Gas, only 1-2 were like in 40's rest were all in 20's. I filled mine with around 43$. Thankfully I am live around 12 miles from my work place, but on average Americans drive 20-25 Miles one way to work, that high price is already making the lower/middle class and even some very die hard Republican fans are calling this Govt stupid, I think Mid terms will go to democrats from the looks, because even the right wing is divided into 2, you have those who are finally seeing how Israel is squeezing American b@lls, and controlling their media/politicians etc, they will either not vote or vote for democrats. only brain dead Republicans which you see some here on PDF too are still in support of Trump administration.
This tells you everything you need to know (Kalshi Odds)

1777504369360.png

1777504319701.png

1777504512898.png

Unlike Poll, this is what people are actually putting money into it, so there is that.

At the start of Trump presidency, the chance of Democrats winning the Senate was almost none
1777504572899.png

The issue here is that if this war had not been resolved soon, Democrats would not just win the House, but it would be a major blowout; it's not like last time when Republicans picked up the House with +7 seats in 2022. It depends on the war; currently, we are looking at a D+10 swing (That will translate into a 50-56 seat change, but if this goes bad, it can reach a D+15 swing, which means you are looking at around 70 seat changes.) The problem is, as bad as it is now, almost all the projected changes at this moment are more progressive than traditional democrats seats. For a D+15 scenario, that means a serious pullback from the US political landscape. Because unless the GOP elects an extreme opposite to Trump as a presidential candidate, there is pretty much no way the GOP will win anything (not just losing the Presidency, but all 3) in 2028, as the voting public had been pulled too far to the left by then, the Democrats really had a shot with a supermajority in both houses if things continue at the current.trijectory

At this point, Dems is on the track to break the 1974 election record, when they had a D+7 swing and picked up 49 seats after Nixon's Watergate. The only thing that can stop this depends on the Dems ' own stupidity.
 
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4 US companies to spend over $700B in 2026 to build out the AI economy.

Never underestimate the US economy
 
This tells you everything you need to know (Kalshi Odds)

View attachment 194850

View attachment 194849

View attachment 194851

Unlike Poll, this is what people are actually putting money into it, so there is that.

At the start of Trump presidency, the chance of Democrats winning the Senate was almost none
View attachment 194852

The issue here is that if this war had not been resolved soon, Democrats would not just win the House, but it would be a major blowout; it's not like last time when Republicans picked up the House with +7 seats in 2022. It depends on the war; currently, we are looking at a D+10 swing (That will translate into a 50-56 seat change, but if this goes bad, it can reach a D+15 swing, which means you are looking at around 70 seat changes. The problem is, as bad as it is now, almost all the projected changes at this moment are more progressive than traditional democrats seats. For a D+15 scenario, that means a serious pull back from the US political landscape. Because unless the GOP elects an extreme opposite to Trump as a presidential candidate, there is pretty much no way the GOP will win anything (not just losing the Presidency, but all 3) in 2028 as the voting public had been pulled too far to the left by then.
This happens when a whole Party (Republican) revolves around 1 person, and become a more cultist party. I mean Trump is behaving like a Authoritarian, and a man child. Building his golden statues, putting his picture on everything and anything he can find, and not to mention his outbursts over the social media, conflicting statements and picking up beef with everyone who criticize him or his cabinet.
There are several reports of Trump's cabinet and family making millions from Polymarkets, and manipulating markets with constant back and forth of peace deal.

I won't be surprised at all if the Republicans loses the mid-terms and badly loses the 2028 presidential elections but it is not as simple, so far Democrats have been terrible at taking charge, they are also very confused to what they want to do, on one side Democrats major vote bank is anti war and wants America to finally stop Israel's wars and expansion but on the other hand we have scums like Jeffery and Schumer who are more loyal to Israel than America, AIPAC has not even Democrats votes against the Trump's war in Iran, and 2 or 3 resolutions already failed. That's the unfortunate truth of American politics these days, both parties and its senators compete against each other who will be the biggest c(_)ck for Israel. Which isolate the American people who wants to afford groceries, and gas and able to pay for Medicare and get a house. In last 1-2 years I have seen so many co-workers of mine putting out posts on FB and other social media asking people for 20-40$ at the end of month just make ends meet. Mind you that these people are those with jobs, imagine people who are homeless and make much lower pay rate, how they are meeting the ends is beyond me.
 

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