Pakistan raises record $3 billion through dual-tranche Eurobond

Actually, there are two components that make it possible. One is the leverage that is being offered to investors, but the more important part is that the bank is able to lend the entire leveraged up gross amount to Indian borrowers at high INR interest rates, without taking much FX risk. Without the second component , the banks will lose money since they are giving the USD loan at a lower interest rate than what they are paying for the USD deposit. That is the real magic.
Obviously, it is not free, and the central bank is taking on a lot of FX risk. Ultimately , it will come down to how well that risk is managed over the next five years when the deposits come due.
RBI is effectively absorbing all the FX hedging cost on the principal amount through the swap. Biggest risk to banks is interest dollars mainly.
RBI may have some valuation risk, but I would not count it too much since it's a swap & there is a match between $ asset and $ obligation. Much more meaningful macro risk to RBI would be monetary policy/liquidity now that the banks are flush with rupees.
 
RBI is effectively absorbing all the FX hedging cost on the principal amount through the swap. Biggest risk to banks is interest dollars mainly.
RBI may have some valuation risk, but I would not count it too much since it's a swap & there is a match between $ asset and $ obligation. Much more meaningful macro risk to RBI would be monetary policy/liquidity now that the banks are flush with rupees.
Dude, there is no free lunch. A swap just means there is an exchange of cash flows with different risk profiles. It doesn't mean the risk is eliminated. In fact, some of the biggest financial disasters have been amplified by the use of swaps. Fully hedging the risk with maturity matched 3 -5 year fx forwards will be very expensive. I doubt the central bank willl pay that cost upfront. Shorter dated forwards and spot hedging through normal FX flows will be cheaper, but will carry timing mismatch risk.

It may still work out but it is risky and it will require a combination of skill and luck to keep hedging costs reasonable.
 
Dude, there is no free lunch. A swap just means there is an exchange of cash flows with different risk profiles. It doesn't mean the risk is eliminated. In fact, some of the biggest financial disasters have been amplified by the use of swaps. Fully hedging the risk with maturity matched 3 -5 year fx forwards will be very expensive. I doubt the central bank willl pay that cost upfront. Shorter dated forwards and spot hedging through normal FX flows will be cheaper, but will carry timing mismatch risk.

It may still work out but it is risky and it will require a combination of skill and luck to keep hedging costs reasonable.
There is no free lunch here as well, risk to banks by interest dollars and risk to RBI through opportunity costs & monetary policy (assuming rupee will depreciate, infact it will definitely depreciate). But RBI obligation is fixed and as per the swap terms it will likely get less rupees at the time of maturity. What else is the issue?
It's basically a INR-USD swap where RBI will absorb the FX hedge on the principal amount and get less rupees back after 5 years.
 

Pakistan raises record $3 billion through dual-tranche Eurobond

Government issues $1.75 billion 5.5-year Eurobond at 7.50% and $1.25 billion 10-year bond at 7.90%; transaction attracts nearly $6 billion demand, twice the amount issued in global orders

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Pakistan has successfully raised $3 billion through a dual-tranche Eurobond transaction, marking the largest-ever international bond issuance by the country in a single transaction, the Ministry of Finance said.

The transaction attracted nearly $6 billion in orders, almost twice the amount issued, from a broad and diversified base of institutional investors across global markets and continents.

According to the ministry, Pakistan issued a $1.75 billion Eurobond with a 5.5-year maturity at a coupon rate of 7.50%, along with a $1.25 billion 10-year Eurobond carrying a coupon of 7.90%, taking the total issuance to $3 billion.

The Finance Ministry said the transaction marked a major milestone in Pakistan’s renewed and increasingly diversified access to international capital markets, with the scale of demand reflecting investor confidence and the country’s ability to access global funding markets at significant scale.

It said competitive pricing across both maturities, together with strong demand extending to the 10-year tenor, demonstrated Pakistan’s ability to mobilise sizeable longer-term financing as international investors reassess the country’s improving macroeconomic and credit fundamentals.

The transaction also represents an important milestone in Pakistan’s broader “Road to Market” strategy.

Following the successful inaugural Panda Bond and improvements in Pakistan’s sovereign credit profile, the Eurobond transaction is the first issuance under the country’s renewed strategic Global Medium-Term Note (GMTN) Programme, creating a platform for diversified access to international capital markets.

The ministry said the objective was not simply to raise additional debt. Pakistan is pursuing a broader strategy of active sovereign liability management aimed at diversifying financing sources, extending maturities, reducing refinancing and rollover risks, and creating opportunities to replace shorter-term and more expensive obligations with longer-duration, competitively priced financing where economically beneficial.

Pakistan has already pursued substantial early retirement of domestic debt ahead of maturity, according to the statement. Extending that approach to external financing forms part of the same strategy of improving the sovereign debt profile.

The ministry said the approach was focused on borrowing on better terms, extending maturities, diversifying funding and reducing refinancing risks, distinguishing active sovereign balance-sheet management from simply raising additional debt.

The Debt Management Office of the Ministry of Finance played a pivotal role in delivering the transaction, the statement said.

Citi, Deutsche Bank, Emirates NBD, MUFG and Standard Chartered acted as joint bookrunners for the issuance.

The government also acknowledged the support of other stakeholders, including legal counsels involved in the transaction.

The ministry said the issuance followed improvements in Pakistan’s economic trajectory over the past three years, which had increasingly been recognised through successive sovereign credit-rating upgrades and the country’s renewed access to international capital markets.

It said the depth of the order book, its geographically diversified institutional investor base and substantial demand for a 10-year Pakistani sovereign instrument provided a market-based signal of renewed confidence in the country’s medium- and long-term economic trajectory.

The ministry, however, said the economic reform process was not complete and that fiscal discipline, structural reforms, export competitiveness, investment and productivity improvements would need to continue and deepen.

It said Pakistan was entering the next stage from a materially stronger position than three years ago, following a transition from crisis towards stabilisation, reforms, improved credibility, ratings upgrades, investor confidence and renewed access to global capital.

In April, the government initially raised $500 million through a three-year Eurobond under its GMTN Programme at a coupon rate of 6.975%. The issuance was later increased to $750 million through a $250 million green-shoe option following stronger-than-expected investor demand. The bond is due to mature in April 2029.

Pakistan also repaid a $1.4 billion Eurobond that matured in April, enabling the government to re-establish a pricing benchmark in international debt markets after several years of relying largely on multilateral, bilateral and commercial financing.

The ministry described nearly $6 billion in global investor demand and the record $3 billion raised in a single transaction as a landmark in Pakistan’s transition from economic stabilisation towards sustainable growth and a stronger platform for future access to international capital markets.



5.5‑year bond at 7.50%

Pakistan borrowed $1.75 billion.

• Interest each year:
\(1.75B × 7.5\% = 0.13125B = \$131.25M\)
• Interest for 5.5 years:
\(131.25M × 5.5 = \$721.875M\)
• Total Pakistan must return:
$1.75B + $0.722B ≈ $2.47B

10‑year bond at 7.90%

Pakistan borrowed $1.25 billion.

• Interest each year:
\(1.25B × 7.9\% = 0.09875B = \$98.75M\)
• Interest for 10 years:
\(98.75M × 10 = \$987.5M\)
• Total Pakistan must return:
$1.25B + $0.988B ≈ $2.24B


Stupidity at the highest levels. How are they going to pay this back, running back to Saudis with begging bowl? Government needs get their act together and stabilize the economy which has been on ventilator for last 15 years.
I am pretty sure that Government is going to raise petroleum levies to pay back these loans.
 
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There is no free lunch here as well, risk to banks by interest dollars and risk to RBI through opportunity costs & monetary policy (assuming rupee will depreciate, infact it will definitely depreciate). But RBI obligation is fixed and as per the swap terms it will likely get less rupees at the time of maturity. What else is the issue?
It's basically a INR-USD swap where RBI will absorb the FX hedge on the principal amount and get less rupees back after 5 years.
There is a huge difference in economic outcomes depending on whether USDINR in five years is at 90 or 200 on a 130 billion dollar bet . I would say that is a substantial risk which is ultimately being borne by Indian taxpayers.
 
5.5‑year bond at 7.50%

Pakistan borrowed $1.75 billion.

• Interest each year:
\(1.75B × 7.5\% = 0.13125B = \$131.25M\)
• Interest for 5.5 years:
\(131.25M × 5.5 = \$721.875M\)
• Total Pakistan must return:
$1.75B + $0.722B ≈ $2.47B

10‑year bond at 7.90%

Pakistan borrowed $1.25 billion.

• Interest each year:
\(1.25B × 7.9\% = 0.09875B = \$98.75M\)
• Interest for 10 years:
\(98.75M × 10 = \$987.5M\)
• Total Pakistan must return:
$1.25B + $0.988B ≈ $2.24B


Stupidity at the highest levels. How are they going to pay this back, running back to Saudis with begging bowl? Government needs get their act together and stabilize the economy which has been on ventilator for last 15 years.
I am pretty sure that Government is going to raise petroleum levies to pay back these loans.
Not to belabor the point, but the actual borrowing rates are 7.75% and 8.25% ( plus fees paid to bankers) since these bonds were issued at a discount ( amount received by Pakistan upfront was less than 3 billion dollars).
 
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Pakistan initially borrowed $3 billion from China at a 7% fixed interest rate for 5 years.

Pakistan pays 7% of $3 billion every year, which equals $210 million.

Over five years, this adds up to:
$210 million × 5 = $1.05 billion

Pakistan must return:

• $3 billion (original loan)
• $1.05 billion (total interest)
Total repayment: $4.05 billion

To pay back China, Pakistan borrowed money from UAE.

To manage its financial pressures, Pakistan raised $1.5 billion locally and borrowed $3 billion from the UAE at 5% interest for 5 years.

UAE Loan Interest
• Annual interest: $150 million
• Five‑year interest: $750 million

Expected Total Repayment
Pakistan would normally repay $3.75 billion.

However, relations between Pakistan and the UAE deteriorated. As a result, the UAE demanded early repayment. Pakistan ended up returning about $3.5 billion, including partial interest.

In Emergency, Pakistan had to borrow money from Saudi Arabia

To repay the UAE quickly, Pakistan raised $500 million locally and borrowed $3 billion from Saudi Arabia as a temporary measure. This was not a long‑term loan, it was a short‑term emergency arrangement to avoid default.

To return money back to Saudi Arabia, Pakistan turn to Global Market to sell Eurobonds.

To repay Saudi Arabia and stabilize its finances, Pakistan issued Eurobonds a common way for countries to borrow money from international investors.

1. $1.75 Billion Eurobond (5.5 Years at 7.50%)
• Annual interest: $131.25 million
• Total interest over 5.5 years: ≈ $722 million
• Total repayment: ≈ $2.47 billion

2. $1.25 Billion Eurobond (10 Years at 7.90%)
• Annual interest: $98.75 million
• Total interest over 10 years: ≈ $988 million
• Total repayment: ≈ $2.24 billion

These Eurobonds helped Pakistan gather the dollars needed to repay Saudi Arabia, but they also created new long‑term repayment obligations.

With top financial minister and best financial advisors, Pakistan’s borrowing pattern shows a cycle.

1. Borrow money to meet financial needs.
2. Repay older loans using new loans.
3. Issue bonds when friendly countries demand repayment.
4. Continue paying interest every year, increasing total debt over time.

This is similar to someone using a new credit card to pay off an old one, manageable in the short term, but costly in the long run.
 
Great more loans what a win for the govt..........
 
Modi has raised $136 billion from overseas Indians at an annual interest rate of over 7%—a staggering figure. And note this: that $136 billion has been recorded as part of India's official foreign exchange reserves! Moreover, this money is not sovereign debt between nations; it cannot be rolled over, written off, swapped, or offset. Given the current situation, India is in a far more precarious position than Pakistan.
 

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