Syrian Civil War and The future of Syria after liberation

Doesn't Syria have their own oil? Or do they not control it or have the infrastructure to convert and pump it?
We barely have any oil reserves, but we have a bit. The issue is not just that all the oil fields have been severely degraded over the years due to neglect and mismanagement, but all our infrastructure is in a very decrepit and archaic state.

But most importantly, we have no real refining capacity. So whatever little we manage to drill out, we export as crude, but we have to import refined.
 
We barely have any oil reserves, but we have a bit. The issue is not just that all the oil fields have been severely degraded over the years due to neglect and mismanagement, but all our infrastructure is in a very decrepit and archaic state.

But most importantly, we have no real refining capacity. So whatever little we manage to drill out, we export as crude, but we have to import refined.
Yeah tough luck huh the civil war probably didn't help either. Hope some of the other arab neighbours can do some major investments down the line at least now that the war is over.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Haz
Very unfortunate, and very predictable. This was bound to happen, not unexpected at all given our deteriorating economic situation. And of course it was the fuel price rises that was the final straw, such is fate, but there is literally nothing the government can do about it, it's not in their hands. Fuel prices are sky rocketing due to the ongoing Zio war in the Gulf, and of course we were never going to escape it either. The fucking misery man.

The biggest problem right now is that we have no economy or funding, the government is desperate for anything just to keep it afloat. They had no choice but to remove electricity subsidies last year, causing electric bills to sky rocket, and now increase gas prices because of the external conflict going on in the region. And with no money coming in, either from any investments, domestic economic activity, or loans that were promised by the Gult but never came and now are on hold, and probably never going to happen, the government is literally stuck with no available options at it's disposal to alleviate the situation and growing impoverishment. So these protests were bound to happen, and I don't think there is anything that can be done on the economic front to quickly quell the people's justified anger and frustration.

Unfortunately, the country as a whole has no choice right now but to find a way to tough it out until the Zio war ends, and hopefully be able to secure some quick injection of funding from someone, without ripping itself apart or descending into another round of violence and chaos in the meantime. The one silver lining that had nothing to do with these events but could help, is that we literally just had significant economic sanctions that were strangling our ability to attract any foreign investments lifted. So despite being too late to help in averting this crisis, I'm desperately hoping it was still just in time to being able to reduce the duration and severity of this situation and improve things just enough in due time to avert any serious societal collapse again. It's a dire situation right now, but hopefully we still have a chance to avert total disaster.

This most important part for me right now is to see how the government responds and handles this situation. I really hope they do the right thing and let the people vent out their frustration, they know they can't do much to materially improve their economic situation right now or address their concerns, there is literally no money for it, they have problems just meeting payroll it's that serious unfortunately. But at the very least they need to make sure they don't use a heavy hand to crack down on them in fear of losing grip on the situation. That could be very counterproductive and only fuel more disorder and resentment. I'll be watching how they handle this, it's a critical test for them and whether they are truly ready to govern a civil society properly.

I know they've invested a lot of time and effort in the past year to try and professionalize the police and other security forces and train them to a higher standard, but I doubt they actually had enough time yet to properly graduate enough well trained personelle for such a wide scale crisis, they're still a mix of poorly trained ex-fighters and newly hired recruits, and we just added and incorporated bunch more from the Kurdish militias that we've reconciled with just a few months ago and integrated into the security forces as part of the settlement agreement. Depending how large these get and how they develop, we might see some bad instances of security breakdowns or lapses of police conduct. I'm praying no serious violence breaks out or bad actors take advantage of this to start something, but that wouldn't be surprising right now with where the country is at unfortunately. If they can maintain discipline and follow orders properly, and they actually receive the appropriate orders from up top, it would be a great sign of progress on the security and policing front at least for us.

Praying for the best, this will be a serious ongoing challenge for sometime, I hope we can handle it properly and get through it together unscathed.

I hope for the best for the Syrian people. If anybody deserves a break and some form stability and economic oxygen, it would be them, with all they've been through.
 
  • Like
Reactions: Haz
I hope for the best for the Syrian people. If anybody deserves a break and some form stability and economic oxygen, it would be them, with all they've been through.
on a human level, you are right, Damascus is a very ancient city and Syrians have suffered a lot

and on a selfish level, the stronger Syria becomes, the better for Iran as it will be harder for Israel to use Syrian airspace
 
on a human level, you are right, Damascus is a very ancient city and Syrians have suffered a lot

and on a selfish level, the stronger Syria becomes, the better for Iran as it will be harder for Israel to use Syrian airspace

I agree, but Syria has changed in nature.
It was the last socialist and anti-imperialist bulwark state in the Arab world.

But 13 years of brutal civil war and the Caesar act sanctions has unfortunately destroyed a lot. It broke Syria. Naturally they want to focus on rebuilding their society, which means taking an entirely different path geopolitically and a non-confrontational approach towards its neighbors (including the cancer entity)
Im not even going to utter an opinion of Al Jolani. Regardless of who would be in power, Syria will be a hot mess and black hole for years to come.
 
I agree, but Syria has changed in nature.
It was the last socialist and anti-imperialist bulwark state in the Arab world.

But 13 years of brutal civil war and the Caesar act sanctions has unfortunately destroyed a lot. It broke Syria. Naturally they want to focus on rebuilding their society, which means taking an entirely different path geopolitically and a non-confrontational approach towards its neighbors (including the cancer entity)
Im not even going to utter an opinion of Al Jolani. Regardless of who would be in power, Syria will be a hot mess and black hole for years to come.
I liked Syria due to their support for Iran in the 80s. It is clear the current regime would have supported Saddam instead, but well, that's their choice and they have bigger problems now.
 
I liked Syria due to their support for Iran in the 80s. It is clear the current regime would have supported Saddam instead, but well, that's their choice and they have bigger problems now.

Im not so sure. The Iran and Syria alliance made a lot of sense at the time. Syria and Iraq were strategic rivals. They competed for influence and being the champion of pan-Arabism.

Irans strategic interests were totally separate from Syrias, so there was no competition, and a strategic alliance made sense.
Over time, it made less and less sense, other curbing US/Israeli hegemony in the region.

Now, I believe Iran will have no role in Syria nor have a meaningful working relations with them, on the account of Irans role in the civil war.

The nature of Syria has changed, and it may also change for Iran.
Right now Iran is fighting for its survival, but assuming it survives, Im not sure how sustainable Irans geopolitcal stance is. It will probably have to become a revisionist state (as opposed to a revolutionary one) that looks more strictly at material interests rather than ideological interests. To take the path that China did.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Pakistan Defence Latest

Country Watch Latest

Back
Top