Operation True Promise II - dozens of Iranian ballistic missiles hit Israel

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Guynextdoor said:
No third party will give Iran nuclear weapons at this point.
China won't, Pakistan under no circumstances.
Russia will only posture. They know that if they do, then even India will stop buying oil from them. That kind of a dramatic escalation is not acceptable to anyone.
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Russian situation is very interesting since they are in a all out war now with collective west and they will do anything in their power now to ensure their allies (which are not many) and specially those who helped them in their hour of need (which Iran did against Ukraine), get whatever they need to preserve their sovereignty. Israel is extension of west in ME and Russia would never would like the status quo of power dynamics get imbalanced if Iran gets pounded badly. Its very probable that Iran and Russia already have the D-day plan in place.

Also, do not rule out north Korea.

China yes, wont get invovled.

Pakistan, absolute no. Asim Muneer and his gang are American poodles.

India is no player in this, in whatever capacity.
 
FuturePAF said:
Your probably right, but if a significant portion of key Iranian oil infrastructure is destroyed, it’s possible Iran may feel the need to make the world pay with higher oil/gas prices by making the most western leaning Arab oil states also lose some oil/gas infrastructure.

This is why I think Israel (and/or the USAF) will try to strike a couple Iran’s nuclear sites as well as the missile production facility at Isfahan.
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All buried far too deeply under mountains deep inside Iran and so any attacks would cause minor damage if they get through Iranian air defences.

Dimona would be destroyed in return in this case.

Entity has little options here and US will not dare get involved as it risks losing too much.

Iran would have to have been very sure of its capabilities after what it did on Monday.
 
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UKBengali said:
Wow, was it Hezbollah drones or Iranian missiles?

If Iranian missiles then this means they have CEP of 30m or less and so even more bad news for the entity.
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They were burning fuel, cz of incoming attack
 
UKBengali said:
All buried far too deeply under mountains deep inside Iran and so any attacks would cause minor damage if they get through Iranian air defences.

Dimona would be destroyed in return in this case.

Entity has little options here and US will not dare get involved as it risks losing too much.

Iran would have to have been very sure of its capabilities after what it did on Monday.
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Before the election, Biden would not want to see major escalation and a spike to oil prices. I suspect the US would only green-light a strike on one of the smaller Iranian missile production facilities near Isfahan. Below some kind of threshold Iran would be asked (probably by intermediaries like Qatar as broker) to bear to end this round of strikes.

After the election, should Trump win, it before January 20th, if Iran has nukes, it will have to test one to raise the stakes for deterrence, and make it a fait accompli before Trump is in office.

Remember Trump really fears and respects nuclear weapons.

(If the US deep state doesn’t want Iran to test nukes it would “let” Kamala win)

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FuturePAF said:
Before the election, Biden would not want to see major escalation and a spike to oil prices. I suspect the US would only green-light a strike on one of the smaller Iranian missile production facilities near Isfahan. Below some kind of threshold Iran would be asked (probably by intermediaries like Qatar as broker) to bear to end this round of strikes.
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Yes it will be token but the entity risks another Iranian response as far as Iran is concerned, they are even now.
 
t.me

Kalibrated

The satellite images from new areas of Nevatim airbase in Israel have finally been released and they show extensive strikes on the hardened aircraft shelters that house F-35s.
t.me t.me
The satellite images from new areas of Nevatim airbase in Israel have finally been released and they show extensive strikes on the hardened aircraft shelters that house F-35s.
photo_2024-10-04_05-31-43.jpg
photo_2024-10-04_05-31-42.jpg
photo_2024-10-04_05-31-41.jpg

F-35s are stored in shielded underground hangars

t.me

Operação Especial Z 🇷🇺🤝🇧🇷

🇮🇷🏴‍☠️🇮🇱 Almirante Ali Fadavi, Vice-Comandante-Chefe do IRGC: 'Se o regime sionista cometer um erro, atacaremos toda a sua infraestrutura energética, centrais de energia, refinarias e campos de gás' Ele acrescenta: 'O regime sionista tem apenas 3 centrais de energia e algumas refinarias, a...
t.me t.me
Admiral Ali Fadavi, Deputy Commander-in-Chief of the IRGC:

'If the Zionist regime makes a mistake, we will attack its entire energy infrastructure, power plants, refineries and gas fields'

He adds: 'The Zionist regime has only 3 power plants and a few refineries, its infrastructure can be easily destroyed. Iran, on the other hand, is a vast country with many facilities spread across the country.'
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