Quwa
Research Partner
Older post, but I believe the PAF would acquire a new SOJ for each offensive wing it intends to raise. Each 'wing' would be a composite force similar to what we saw during Swift Retort: 2~3 combat aircraft squadrons, 1 long-range AEW&C, and 1 SOJ.We need 3 Bombadier jets minimum for one to be up 24 hours in wartime
The 3 combat aircraft squadrons could comprise of 1 crewed NGFA squadron, 1 jet-powered UCAV squadron, and if possible, 1 multirole unit. So, based on what the PAF said so far and its actions up to this point, a wing could be:
- 14~16 NGFA (e.g., AVIC J-35A)
- 14~16 UCAV (e.g., Bayraktar Kizilelma)
- 16~24 MRCA (e.g., J-10CE or JF-17B3/PFX)
- 1 Erieye-ER (or equivalent) AEW&C
- 1 HAVSOJ (or equivalent) EA/ECM aircraft
So, an offensive wing comprising of NGFAs and UCAVs could do things like obstructing potential IAF OCAs (ideally in coordination with Army Fatah/Babur units), destroying an ordnance factory (or fuel depot), etc.
I can see the PAF aiming for 3 permanent offensive wings - i.e., 1 to cover each region - and 1-2 temporary wings that can be raised during wartime. So, a new SOJ could go to each of the new wings (i.e., 3 in total), with upgraded Falcon DA20s being available for the temporary wartime units.
In tandem with that, I do think the PAF will quietly pursue the Erieye-ER from Saab, and aim to integrate it onto the Global 6000. Not sure if they'd need the full-out GlobalEye configuration as the ground-sensor stuff can be loaded to HALE UAVs. The SAR/GMTI probably doesn't help much in a conventional war as the PAF probably wouldn't use such high-value assets for managing CAS. If that's a need, a UAV would be better.
This is just my theory, but there are signs of the PAF thinking along these lines. For example, we got SPD orgs developing their own counterparts to the JSM and SPEAR-3 via the Rasoob 250 and AZB-82LR, respectively. These are both very long-range SOWs with an emphasis on using accuracy to strike the right targets rather than relying on a larger explosive yield to offset a wider CEP. Benefit? You can load more Rasoob 250s or AZB-82LRs onto your aircraft, especially in their internal bays.
One other point... Swift Retort was a PAF-only story. But now, we're also talking about the rise of the PA long-range strike element. While combined arms maneuvers aren't likely, I do think they'll broadly coordinate, e.g., if there's something to hit that requires both a PAF offensive wing and an Army Fatah/Babur unit, it'd happen...
And if we don't hear about the PAF pursuing the Erieye-ER, then, IMO, they're probably trying to field their own original GaN-based AEW&C. Our industry could do the design work (of the overall AEW&C system when accounting for all subsystems), integration, and testing. They'd just need a good GaN TRM supplier and a partner to assist with a fuselage-mounted array (and associated aerodynamic testing). Definitely something the likes of Leonardo or Airbus DS could help with on the down-low. Both of them had showed up at IDEAS 2024, and it wasn't to market the Typhoon IMHO. In fact, I wouldn't be surprised if the actual intent was to support the PAF's next AEW&C and SOJ needs. @Oscar @arslank01 @Bilal
As for peacetime EW... I think a lot of that will offloaded to land-based and UAV-based ELINT systems. In peacetime, the PAF would need something it can scalably deploy to as many areas as possible.
Last edited:





























