Iranian Nuclear Doctrine

[Persian Gulf]

Same applies to Fordow

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there is a reason Fordow was built so far underground

 

[ToddE]

there is a reason Fordow was built so far underground

It will be foolish to run the entire nuclear program on declared sites, above or underground.

I agree with the journalist that if weaponization is the motive (why 60% enrichment otherwise?) then real facilities will not be these known ones. They serve as a bait, a decoy at best.

 

[Persian Gulf]

It will be foolish to run the entire nuclear program on declared sites, above or underground.

I agree with the journalist that if weaponization is the motive (why 60% enrichment otherwise?) then real facilities will not be these known ones. They serve as a bait, a decoy at best.

Israeli intelligence penetration is very deep. strategic hidden nuclear sites are not plausible

 

[ToddE]

Israeli intelligence penetration is very deep. strategic hidden nuclear sites are not plausible

If you read the entire commentary, he says it's quite plausible that they are following the strategy of dispersing the activities even in plain sight and in large numbers, which is not strategic.

 

[Persian Gulf]

If you read the entire commentary, he says it's quite plausible that they are following the strategy of dispersing the activities even in plain sight and in large numbers, which is not strategic.

by 'the entire commentary' you mean this random guy's 3 short tweets? you should probably listen to the David Albright podcast. it's only 40 minutes long, and he is infinitely more knowledgable about Iran's nuclear program than this guy from Twitter.

is the idea that iran could send 1kg of 90% HEU uranium to one site, another 1kg to another site, and repeat for another 20 sites? and somehow build a nuclear warhead from that? that is fantasy.

 

[Cthulhu]

We completely support the mullahs going nuclear.

 

[ToddE]

by 'the entire commentary' you mean this random guy's 3 short tweets? you should probably listen to the David Albright podcast. it's only 40 minutes long, and he is infinitely more knowledgable about Iran's nuclear program than this guy from Twitter.

is the idea that iran could send 1kg of 90% HEU uranium to one site, another 1kg to another site, and repeat for another 20 sites? and somehow build a nuclear warhead from that? that is fantasy.

It is much better to focus on what is being said instead of who is saying it. He is a journalist; he is giving his opinion, just like Albright is giving his opinion.

Micro-dispersing the program post a considerable amount of 60% enrichment or at any further stage is not fantasy. If it's happening then it's a clever move like how militaries spread their key assets instead of putting all the eggs in one basket and thinking the enemy would not attack it with full force. The case of Parchin reinforces this, Iran never acknowledged it as a site having any connection with nuclear activity yet strong indications say otherwise. How many more Parchins are out there? no one knows.

Even if we go by your numbers, multiply the amount you mentioned by 5-6 times and you have a good tactical warhead. 20 such micro sites mean 20 such warheads. Its not impossible.

 

[Persian Gulf]

It is much better to focus on what is being said instead of who is saying it. He is a journalist; he is giving his opinion, just like Albright is giving his opinion.

Micro-dispersing the program post a considerable amount of 60% enrichment or at any further stage is not fantasy. If it's happening then it's a clever move like how militaries spread their key assets instead of putting all the eggs in one basket and thinking the enemy would not attack it with full force. The case of Parchin reinforces this, Iran never acknowledged it as a site having any connection with nuclear activity yet strong indications say otherwise. How many more Parchins are out there? no one knows.

Even if we go by your numbers, multiply the amount you mentioned by 5-6 times and you have a good tactical warhead. 20 such micro sites mean 20 such warheads. Its not impossible.

Albright has been focusing on Iran's nuclear program for decades and has personally studied large amounts of the nuclear archive.

this Shabani guy has not. for starters he doesn't even mention Fordow but talks about the above-ground Natanz, which everyone knows is defenceless

 

[Shawnee]

Israeli intelligence penetration is very deep. strategic hidden nuclear sites are not plausible

ما در طورقوز آباد قالی میشستیم

مساله اینه چقدر طورقوزاباد زیر کوهها یا در خانه ها هست

Weaponization will not be from declared sites.
Declared sites are tech demonstration

 

[Shawnee]

Albright has been focusing on Iran's nuclear program for decades and has personally studied large amounts of the nuclear archive.

this Shabani guy has not. for starters he doesn't even mention Fordow but talks about the above-ground Natanz, which everyone knows is defenceless

Hitting ventilations sites or entrance will not disable declared Fordow. You will need deep granite penetration

Natanz has under mountain part as well. Part of Natanz is not that deep.

Still a bomber needs to enter airspace such as B2 bomber and should carry 10s of tons of TNT per bomb

 

[jauk]

Folks, folks. The idea is dispersing assemblies and miniaturization (the spinners are far smaller and productive).

Small workshops are more than sufficient. I posted DDD/Pataramesh video exactly on this.

 

[Shawnee]

Folks, folks. The idea is dispersing assemblies and miniaturization.

Small workshops are more than sufficient. I posted DDD/Pataramesh video exactly on this.

Small mobile cascades.

30 centrifuges on back of trailers and moving to convolute the traces.

نظر من در مورد طورقوزاباد تریلر های غنی سازی ه که محل رو‌ ترک کردند

قالیشویی!! هم آب رو باز کرد و تا حدی رد رو‌شست ولی اثری از لوله کشی برای سانتریفیوژ پیدا نشد

 

[Shawnee]

Folks, folks. The idea is dispersing assemblies and miniaturization (the spinners are far smaller and productive).

Small workshops are more than sufficient. I posted DDD/Pataramesh video exactly on this.

Where is his video?

 

[jauk]

Small mobile cascades.

30 centrifuges on back of trailers and moving to convolute the traces.

نظر من در مورد طورقوزاباد تریلر های غنی سازی ه که محل رو‌ ترک کردند

قالیشویی!! هم آب رو باز کرد و تا حدی رد رو‌شست ولی اثری از لوله کشی برای سانتریفیوژ پیدا نشد

Exactly. The referenced post:

Post in thread 'Iranian Nuclear Doctrine'
https://defencepk.com/forums/threads/iranian-nuclear-doctrine.805/post-441339

 

[Shawnee]

I highly believe a propaganda attack will be done on Iranian nuclear sites.

Propaganda like the attack on Shahrood or Taleghan.
Hitting empty places and vents and entrances and then making tweets about them as we delayed the facility by 2 years.

Any remotely knowledgeable guy will know what happened in Taleghan or Shahrood.