Worth watching is a recent video by the 'China Uncensored' guy Chris Chappell in his other channel 'America Uncensored'. Per him, the widespread tariffs are to force other countries to reduce trading with China.
Maybe you are right, though I need you to be wrong! Haha!
I don't know much about trade/commerce/finance but my 'hunch' says that what Trump is doing right now might work after short to medium term pain; but then people in America are so spoiled that even very short term pain will be politically too much and thus Trump reverses a chunk of the tariffs (but still targetting China, because the goal is to isolate China). And as long a there is no hot-war, let the best strategists win!
@Hamartia Antidote
The only issue is, it does not work that way.
If the goal for Tariff is to contain China, then levying them on EU and Canada et el is a BIG (CAPITAL BIG) mistake, because this will basically force them toward China.
This is NEVER going to work the way Trump rolling out those tariff to begin with, Tariff is a policy to protect industry, but what industry is this Tariff policy is protecting? There are no industry in the US. That's the exact reason why we buy a lot of stuff overseas to begin with. You can't build an industrial base in a few years, it took Apple a decade to move just 10% of their manufacturing base out of China, and you are talking about moving them back to America, how much difference would you think moving it out of China and moving into Vietnam or India is going to be versus moving it out of China and then move them back in America.
As I explained before, this Tariff is not going to work because it is basically banking on company that got royally screwed in this (average 20% drop in price) to go back to US and Invest under Trump, I mean, are you kidding me? You literally just wipe me out of 20% of my company value and want me to spend more money to invest in the US? Thanks but no thanks. Even if they wanted to, where do they get the capital to do it?
On the other hand, looking at Canada and EU perspective, they aren't going to see US as a reliable partner anymore, they are going to invest at least try to distribute their investment in a structural kind of way, which mean they are actually going to divest against the US and invest more in third country, China included. If China do play this hand well, they can absorb 30-40% of the entire North American (bar US) + EU market + Asia Pacific market. I mean when the last time is to have the Prime Minister of Japan, President of South Korea and Premier of China to have a sit down and talk, this is going to profoundly change the trading dynamic and US is going to be left out because of this stupid tariff.