Well, thanks for your confidence in my opinion, but in fact I cannot!
All i can is give you a summary of events and try to individually explain what is indeed confirmed, what's a rumour and what's not!
First, there was indeed an official announcement via social media on X, that however was soon deleted:
View attachment 131822
As such this post raises some important issues:
1. always "an offer" was mentioned only! Never it was claimed - at least in that official post - that a deal was signed, that pilots are training already or when they will be delivered! Nothing more and all claims posted here are unconfirmed rumours!
2. was it indeed a "confirmation" of a fact but why then was it deleted? Was it deleted since it was wrong or since someone officially mentioned something that better should be kept secret?
That's all ... anything else like "we already have them", "they will be delivered by late July", "the PLAAF needs us to make them combat ready" or even - the best BS read here

- we get a FA-18-like variant since it is preferred" (and in fact the one is too stupid to identify a J-10CE!), "we get them with PL-17" is speculative, a rumour or just fake!