Iran - Israel/US War: Israel-US declare war on Iran, Iran responds

[Persian Gulf]

Iranian officials never disclosed how many missiles were fired.

irrelevant to what I was saying but sure

 

[Persian Gulf]

 

[Persian Gulf]

A translation of part of this Israeli Channel 13 report on the Iranian missile strike on the Bazan oil refinery in Tel Aviv:

"Under the fog of war, the damages from fires at the refineries have been concealed since the beginning of the war with Iran. Tonight, we are revealing documentation and the results of missile impacts on one of Israel’s most sensitive facilities."

"A very severe blow was dealt to the power generation station. This is the building you see in front of us."

"Next to those two smokestacks?"

"Yes, those two smokestacks are part of the power station—steam boilers. In fact, this was what supplied the energy needed for all the factories."

"These are the same buildings that exploded in the power station compound; here is the main pipeline bridge that transferred materials between different sections of the plant; and here is the operational area of the petroleum product tankers. These three impacts, together, completely shut down the Bazan refinery.

This plant was one of only two refineries in the country that produced gasoline, diesel, jet fuel, and even household cooking gas."

"I said there would be a direct hit, and that the enemy knows exactly where to strike; and that its goal is both contamination and fire—and that’s exactly what they did the next day."

"The blow to the power station suddenly disabled all electricity and steam production at the refinery, and all Bazan Group facilities were paralyzed. We are trying to restore production capacity to the pre-attack state—and as quickly as possible."

"Bazan has effectively shut down. Yes, the Bazan refinery was taken out in a single day—not by us, not by the government, but by Iran."

 

[Persian Gulf]

Israel claims Iran fired 574 missiles at Israel in 12 days

Israel and the US attempted to intercept 258 of these missiles, intercepting 201/258 (78%), with 57 (22%) successful impacts at these highly protected areas

the remainder of the missiles fired by Iran (316) were not intercepted and many of these impacted in what Israel calls 'unpopulated' areas, such as military bases (see below). though many likely missed and hit open areas too.



57 + 316 = 373 missiles impacted in Israel / 574 missiles fired = 65% overall missile penetration rate (35% interception rate)

the problem is not penetration or quantities, it is accuracy and reliability. this is what is needed to convert missile impacts into achieving military objectives.

@ShapurII

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

90% missiles interception rate! as per IDF and US zionist dogs

 

[Mighty_Dragon_Strike]

View attachment 137024

Israel claims Iran fired 574 missiles at Israel in 12 days

Israel and the US attempted to intercept 258 of these missiles, intercepting 201/258 (78%), with 57 (22%) successful impacts at these highly protected areas

the remainder of the missiles fired by Iran (316) were not intercepted and many of these impacted in what Israel calls 'unpopulated' areas, such as military bases (see below). though many likely missed and hit open areas too.

View attachment 137026

57 + 316 = 373 missiles impacted in Israel / 574 missiles fired = 65% overall missile penetration rate (35% interception rate)

the problem is not penetration or quantities, it is accuracy and reliability. this is what is needed to convert missile impacts into achieving military objectives.

@ShapurII

people keep saying, less and less BM were fired as conflict spread..

you have to look at two things:

1. rate of BM production
2. rate of AD missile production.

BM production rate can outstrip AD missile production!

 

[vmro]

Excellent analysis by someone who has the credentials to make the claims in the video.

MIT is as far as I know the most prestigious institution in USA in technology field...

So respected expert from respected American institution is practically considers Iran among nuclear powers, because they got everything they need to create at least 10 nukes in practically no time...

 

[ShapurII]

View attachment 137024

Israel claims Iran fired 574 missiles at Israel in 12 days

Israel and the US attempted to intercept 258 of these missiles, intercepting 201/258 (78%), with 57 (22%) successful impacts at these highly protected areas

the remainder of the missiles fired by Iran (316) were not intercepted and many of these impacted in what Israel calls 'unpopulated' areas, such as military bases (see below). though many likely missed and hit open areas too.

View attachment 137026

57 + 316 = 373 missiles impacted in Israel / 574 missiles fired = 65% overall missile penetration rate (35% interception rate)

the problem is not penetration or quantities, it is accuracy and reliability. this is what is needed to convert missile impacts into achieving military objectives.

@ShapurII

Yes, my 44% interception rate was based on similar calculations, but initially they claimed Iran had fired 600 missiles.

Overall, they intercepted 40% of the missiles, give or take 5%.

If we had continued to fire more missiles, the interception rate would've likely fallen below 20% after a week. We just needed to keep going.

I think our missiles did fine, it was our drones that disappointed us and was a major blow to our deterrence. And our cruise missiles were not used for unknown reasons, probably because we didn't have enough drones to fire simultaneously at the time.

 

[Persian Gulf]

Yes, my 44% interception rate was based on similar calculations, but initially they claimed Iran had fired 600 missiles.

Overall, they intercepted 40% of the missiles, give or take 5%.

If we had continued to fire more missiles, the interception rate would've likely fallen below 20% after a week. We just needed to keep going.

I think our missiles did fine, it was our drones that disappointed us and was a major blow to our deterrence. And our cruise missiles were not used for unknown reasons, probably because we didn't have enough drones to fire simultaneously at the time.

missile launch rate did drop dramatically in the final days

even with 80% penetration rate 10 missile launches a day will not achieve anything even with good accuracy let alone with 100-500m CEP

 

[Ali_Baba]

Iran mishandled the entirety of the conflict including the ending. If Israel is crazy enough to start again, then hopefully Iran is better prepared and it will be able to extract a very serious economic cost to offset the 10's of billions of dollars of damage that Israel did to Iran through destroying some very very expensive infrastructure in Iran.

By dollar value alone, Israel is many many multipliers head of Iran interms of nominal cost of infrastructure destroyed in Iran versus Israel. It is not about counting number of missiles, but the economic cost of the target that was destroyed and the appropriate retaliation that exacts a similar economic cost.

 

[Persian Gulf]

sigh

 

[Arash]

Any day, the war will start again.

Of course it will restart...... that's why I don't understand why Iran wants to negotiate with u.s. or e.u.

 

[Homajon]

Israel Killed 100 Imprisoned Trans Iranians. I Could Have Been One of Them.

The attack on Evin Prison showed the absurdity behind Israel’s promises to deliver freedom through bombs.

truthout.org

Man, I never thought about that, but it makes absolute sense: in Muslim countries for Mossad and CIA the LGBTQ are the perfect target, they have no other choice than to cooperate.

This is an extremely weak spot of Muslim countries!!!

 

[aerospace_enthusiast_newb]

missile launch rate did drop dramatically in the final days

even with 80% penetration rate 10 missile launches a day will not achieve anything even with good accuracy let alone with 100-500m CEP

Depends on how many interceptors the Israelis had. Another week of 10-15 ballistic missile launches per day would have been disastrous for Israel. The Wall Street Journal just confirmed this. They also confirmed that the penetration rate increased.

Same with the U.S. They used up a significant amount of THAAD interceptors:
US used 14% of its THAAD stockpile against Iran, a report says. It could take years to replenish. Source: Stars and Stripes

Imagine sustained volleys of SRBM's on U.S. targets in the Persian Gulf. No way they could have defended against that. Furthermore, the 14% of THAAD interceptor stockpile is the entire U.S. worldwide stockpile. They need to keep a large reserve in case of outbreaks of hostilities in East Asia (China, DPRK) or Eastern Europe (Russia).

When you also consider the fact that Iran hit the radome at Al-Udeid Airbase in Qatar with high precision, you could draw the conclusion that the U.S. is somewhat deterred.

 

[Homajon]

Israel Killed 100 Imprisoned Trans Iranians. I Could Have Been One of Them.

The attack on Evin Prison showed the absurdity behind Israel’s promises to deliver freedom through bombs.

truthout.org

Man, I never thought about that, but it makes absolute sense: in Muslim countries for Mossad and CIA the LGBTQ are the perfect target, they have no other choice than to cooperate.

This is an extremely weak spot of Muslim countries!!!

Sociologists assume something between 5% to 8% of every population are homosexuel. In Irans case with a population of 92million, that would be at least 5million homos that have no other choice to cooperate....what a huge target bank for Mossad and CIA